투표를 15초안에끝낸 투표소가 223개.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
민경욱 미래통합당 전 의원
팔로우 더 파티`(Follow the Party)가 `제2의 프로듀스101 조작사건이다. 며칠 전까지 `팔로우 더 파티` 대신 `팔로우 더 고스트 (follow the ghost)`가 나온다고 목에 핏대 올리고 주장을 펴던 자가 오늘은 엉뚱한 공식을 들고 나와서 맞는 스펠링이 달랑 네 개밖에 없다고 자기 부정을 하는 꼴을 보니 참 급하긴 급했던 모양이다.
그럼 그대가 주장하던 `팔로우 더 고스트`는 어떻게 나왔나?
기소가 될 증거라고 했던데 그럼 로이킴이 기소가 되나? 도대체 무슨 혐의가 되는지 어디 그 근거나 좀 들어보자. `팔로우 더 고스트`라고 한 그대도 함께 기소돼야 하는 게 아닌가?
로이킴의 `팔로우 더 파티`는 지금 우갤과 미시건대학교 교수가 붙어서 집중 검증을 하고 있으니 고교 이후 수학 공부를 단 1초도 하지 않은 그대는 그 저렴한 입을 다물라!
민경욱을 출당시키라더니, 자진 탈당하라더니, 사과하라더니, 이제는 제발 좀 사과해 달라고? 아이고, 저열하다.
잘 모를까봐 가르쳐주겠는데 이번 21대 총선이 바로 첨단 디지털 범죄로서 제2의 프로듀스 101 사건일세. 갈팡질팡하는 그대는 프로듀스 101의 사기 원리조차 모르면서 보좌진이 써준 원고를 읽으며 카메라 플래시 세례를 즐겼던 제2의 A4일 뿐. (신문사 기사에서 발췌했음)
-------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
미국과 호주 … 중국에게 내정간섭과 욕설 … “연합군, 선제공격 임박?”... 이슈진단#.155 ... 2020.06.12. ... [박훈탁TV]
미국, 영국, 호주, 캐나다, 프랑스의 전함들이 남중국해와 동중국해에 가득 차 있다고 한다.
정말 역사적인 사건이 일어날 것인가?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
마스크 착용과 수퍼전파자의 봉쇄가 문제를 해결하는 저비용의 효과적인 방법이라는 것을 관료들은 이해하지 못한다.
Bureaucrats can't get it in their head that masks & constraining superspreader locations are a much much cheaper, less disruptive, & more effective way to solve the problem.
Catherine Rampell
N.C. Health Secretary Warns Of Surge In Cases, Possible Return Of Stay-At-Home Orders
-------------------------------------------------------------
로스바드의 원칙들
경제 위기에서 로스바드의 첫 번째 원칙은 시장의 조정 과정에 정부가 개입하지 않는 것이다.
오스트리아 경제학은 디플레를 필수적인 정화 과정이라고 보고 있다.
Rothbard's Rules
Mark Thornton
When an economic crisis hits, everybody from the Fed chairman to the man on the street knows that the Fed must print more money and reduce interest rates and that the government must spend more money and go deeper into debt. This is seen as necessary to “fill the gap” left by the private sector.
This approach is entirely wrong. In fact, it is highly counterproductive.
Murray Rothbard’s number one rule in an economic crisis is for the government not to interfere with the market’s adjustment process, or, in Wall Street terms, “the correction.” The more government intervenes in the economic crisis, the longer and the more grueling it will be. It can even perpetuate the depression as it did during the Great Depression.
However, the government has been intervening in most economic crises for the last century. This approach started shortly after the founding of the Federal Reserve in 1913. If printing money can paper over a problem, it seems like an easy, straightforward solution to politicians.
The United States had economic crises during the previous century. Two big ones were caused by the First and Second Banks of the United States. The ones after the War Between the States were quickly resolved because the national government could do precious little to intervene.
Even after the Fed was born, intervention was not the rule. During the depression of 1920–21 the Fed raised interest rates in the same way it did in the early 1980s. President Harding also balanced the budget. Both times it was grueling, but the economy quickly recovered, with full employment, rising wages, and a growing stock market.
What are the interventions that Rothbard wrote about that hamper market adjustment? In his America’s Great Depression (1963, pp. 19–23) we find the following:
First, government can attempt to delay or prevent bankruptcy or foreclosure by lending money or establishing moratoriums on rents and mortgage payments. This keeps prices up and prevents necessary adjustments.
Second, the Fed can adopt an easy money policy of inflation. This keeps prices up and interest rates down, whereas economic recovery is based on lower prices and higher interest rates.
Third, efforts during a depression to keep wages higher than market rates when prices are falling means that real wage rates rise. The result is massive unemployment.
Fourth, policies to keep prices up also raise the cost of living and can result in surpluses of goods with no buyers.
Fifth, efforts to stimulate consumption discourage saving, a prime ingredient of recovery. Food stamps and taxes on wealth, capital, and profits encourage consumption and discourage savings. Because government spending is entirely consumption, its budget should be slashed permanently.
Sixth, policies to subsidize unemployment, such as unemployment insurance, only increase unemployment and discourage people from searching for jobs or accepting lower-paying ones.
In summary, Rothbard’s approach for dealing with an economic crisis suggests that government should not prevent prices and wages from falling or stand in the way of bankruptcies. The road to recovery involves higher interest rates and price deflation. This leads to a painful but effective and historically tested process that is fully opposed by mainstream economists.
To show you the common sense of this deflationary approach, consider what is typical in an economic crisis. During a hypothetical economic crisis, we might see the following:
The price of capital falls drastically. Thing like stocks, real estate, and land fall by up to 90 percent. The Dow and NASDAQ lost around 50 percent after the housing bubble. The Dow lost more than 90 percent of its value during the Great Depression.
The prices of basic commodities, like energy, grains, and metals, fall significantly, sometimes by more than 50 percent, as did gasoline after the housing bubble.
The price of labor falls noticeably, with the prices of highly skilled labor falling by more than 50 percent in some cases and those of manual labor falling even further. After the dot-com bubble burst, computer programmers could not find work and often opted to retrain for other occupations.
The prices of consumer goods fall somewhat, but although luxury goods prices might fall by 20 percent or more, the declines in the prices of necessities is minimal, because the demand for goods like toothpaste and soap is largely unaffected while the demand for others, such as rice and potatoes, often increases.
The obvious implication of these changes in relative prices is that entrepreneurial people should buy up the cheap capital goods, commodities, and labor to produce consumer goods or hire the abundant skilled workers to produce innovative consumer goods to sell for profits.
Mainstream, especially Keynesian, economists use the metaphor of a black hole to describe an economy experiencing deflation as utter destruction. I have dubbed this fear apoplithorismosphobia. As shown above, Austrian economists see deflation as part of a necessary cleansing process, and they use the metaphor of the shock absorber to describe the impact of deflation. The historical record supports the Austrian view of deflation.
In terms of silver linings, it’s worth noting that Microsoft and Google were small companies when they started in the late 1970s and the late 1990s, respectively, but that both greatly expanded in and after the subsequent economic crises. Microsoft did so in the depression of the early 1980s, and Google did so in the aftermath of the collapse of the tech-stock bubble in the early 2000s.
Still, there is great skepticism that the US government would ever sit on the sidelines and not pursue the interventionist, big government agenda. True enough, but there is actually a silver lining here too. If the government continues to pursue this failed approach, things will only get worse and we could end up in a hyperinflation:
The value of the US dollar has already fallen immensely and is currently only strong vis-à-vis other fiat monies. It has suffered an official inflation rate of 2,500 percent since the Fed began operations. The M1 money supply—what we think of as money—has increased from around $250 billion when the United States was taken off the gold standard in 1971 to $5 trillion today, up from $4 trillion just a couple of months ago! That is an increase of 1,900 percent. The M3 money supply, which includes all forms of money, increased from $685 billion in August 1971 to over $16 trillion today, an increase of 2,200 percent.
If the federal government continues to run massive deficits and the Fed continues to monetize government debt, interest rates will increase and foreigners and their central banks, who are large holders of both our currency and our debt, will lose confidence. If they decrease their demand for our government debt, it will start us down the road to hyperinflation and possibly a totalitarian form of government.
The silver lining here is that proponents of the free market would likely get what they have long wanted through the political process: a return to the gold standard, the repeal of Social Security and welfare, an end to the warfare and surveillance states, and a return to a decentralized form of federalist government.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bears ears national monument
때로는 저런 황야가 그립다. / 일베 발췌
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
댓글 없음:
댓글 쓰기