생활고 자살' 文정부 출범 후 증가세로… 작년 3390명
하루평균 9.3명꼴, 2년째 증가세…
20·30대 '극단적 선택'도 늘어 / 뉴데일리
---->좌파 사회주의 정책은 사람을 죽인다
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문재인 권력핵심층 새끼들이 버닝썬, 신라젠, 사모펀드 같은 걸로 개인적으로 다 해 쳐 먹었네.
조국이 사모펀드는 권력 핵심층의 개인적인 일탈이 아니라, 그냥 유행이었네.
금융정책 위원장 위원장인가, 얼마 전에 별 이유없이 자살한 인간도 이런 것과 무관하지 않은 거 같고.
부동산 좋아하는 넘들은 이혜원이나 김의겸처럼 개발정보 빼내서 해 쳐 먹은 거지만, 부동산은 장기간 돈이 묶일 수 있으니까,
단기간에 빼 먹을 수 있는 방법으로 사모펀드와 같은 방식이, 문재인 권력 햄심층 개새끼들 사이에서 유행한 모양이네.
문재인이 사위라는 그 새끼도 페이퍼 회사 만들어서 펀드로 해 쳐 먹고 외국으로 먹튀 했다는 의혹을 받고 있고.
이건 뭐 대형 게이트 수준이네. 뭐 이런 개쓰레기들이 다 있냐.
이러니 죽기살기로 권력 안 놓을려고, 공수처법에 목숨 걸고 개질알을 하는 거지.
문재인이 이 개새끼 진짜 사람새끼 아니다.
그 패거리들까지 포함해서, 이 새끼들 대가리 속에는 하나같이 먹고 튈 생각 밖에 안 함. / 일베
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법무부, 靑 몰래보고! 윤석열 검찰 격노! (진성호의 융단폭격)
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외신번역] 한국과 중국, 조만간 동시에 '경제위기' 발생한다(?)
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조국부부 알려진 재산은 빙산의 일각,
어마어마 [서정욱]
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Daniel Holland
I’m now positive that people who claim to have seen aliens have actually just seen baby owls.
외계인을 보았다는 하는 사람들은 새끼 올빼미를 보았다고 확신한다.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1194886790118809600
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Joe Norman
There are moments where I almost feel pity on a guy like this
But invariably they re-reveal themselves
Steven Brainiac Pinker: "If you don't recite my corporate propaganda you are a mindless killer"
What a f**ing piece of trash.
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Claire Lehmann
Why anyone who adjusts their opinions, business operations, social life or private life according to what Twitter thinks is a fool
아래 글을 보면 알 수 있듯이, 자신의 의견이나 사회적, 사적 생
활을 트위터에 따라 맞추면 바보가 된다.
트윗 사용자의 반 이상은 연봉 5만 달러 이상이고, 80%는 부유
한 밀레니얼 세대(1985년 ~ 2000년 경 출생)들이다,
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Claire Lehmann
There is this Christian virtue called “charity,” @matthewschmitz. Which means that despite people’s shortcomings & past sins we should recognise that they still have value, & forgive them. Perhaps you could look these ideas up?
기독교적 도덕에 자선이라는 게 있다. 이는 사람들의 단점과 과거의 죄악에도 불구하고, 그들이 인간으로서 가치를 지니고 있으므로 용서해주어야 한다는 것이다.
But more important than the consequences for scientific analysis are the consequences for practical reasoning. For Aquinas the first specification of the natural law is to preserve oneself in being, and for Warren Buffet the primary investing rule is “first survive.” Even if five out of six doctors certify Russian Roulette as safe—and even if we add enough incentive to yield an attractive “cost benefit analysis”—we know better than to play even once.
No doubt many attendees hoped for specific investing advice, and it’s not proprietary: the Kelly Criterion is more convex than dollar-cost averaging (the default for those with 401k-style regular investments), and wherever possible “clip the left tail” (limit downside) while maximizing possible upside (a diverse portfolio of options where most might lose but only a little, while you have a chance of eventually winning big; or less, honorably, by investing borrowed money in real estate where default can limit any losses.)
But prudence applies to more than growing your bank account, and the excitement of RWRI seems to be around its application to other phenomena in everyday life. The dominant modern metaphor of the machine invites us to expect things to be static, constrained by a “blueprint,” predictable, reducible to parts, and easy to manage. But in the real world, systems – organisms, ecosystems, cities and markets, families and projects – are dynamic and complex, resist reductive analysis, and remain always somewhat mysterious.
Indeed, the sign of health in any living system is its ability to survive, and even strengthen, under stress. The whole seems to have an intrinsic but elusive logic that communicates order—including growth and healing—to the parts. Organisms and organic systems are (within a certain range at least) the opposite of fragile—they don’t simply endure but are made stronger in response to stress (“antifragile,” the title of Taleb’s fourth book).
Consider all the different manifestations of pressure on a system, which Taleb calls the “disorder brothers”: uncertainty, variability, imperfect knowledge, chance, chaos, volatility, disorder, entropy, time, the unknown, randomness, turmoil, stressors, error. If something doesn’t “like” any one of these, it’s not going to like the others (and will therefore be short-lived before failure). On the other hand, if something is made stronger by these, it is antifragile—and therefore also displays the “Lindy” effect (the longer it lasts, the longer it is expected to continue lasting).
The insights are useful to check the ambitions of modern power. Should we trust a model that recommends engineering drastic change in the atmosphere, or should we defer to and protect the Earth’s proven, inscrutable systems of climactic balance? Should we tinker with DNA to design a new kind of pest-resistant crop, or should we respect the nucleic wisdom encoded in long-proven varieties? Risk management’s “precautionary principle” can be understood as respecting essential systems that are Lindy and making sure one doesn’t interfere with whatever makes them antifragile: solve world hunger with better distribution logistics (low downside, huge upside), not by playing God with crop genes (huge possible downside).
In social life, this suggests a bias in favor of traditionalism (including respect for religion) as well as encouragement for experimenters and entrepreneurs (tinkerers, who actually try new technology, not scientists and economic “experts” who merely theorize). In political organization, it shows the wisdom of localism—or what Taleb calls “fractal localism,” to distinguish it from simplistic decentralization. (A “fractal” exhibits structure reproduced multiple times at different scales. Benoit Mandelbrot, a hero of Taleb’s, coined the term after noticing in the 1960’s that the “randomness” of financial market fluctuations exhibited non-Gaussian and scale-invariant structure.) Political community is healthiest when people making decisions also have the most at stake in their outcomes (“skin in the game,” the title of Taleb’s fifth book). In aesthetics too, we can appreciate that much of what makes for timeless beauty and usefulness involves iterated complexity at multiple scales: in a forest as in a cathedral, what is fractal is both functional and lovely.
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펑스룬의 <이윤탕액경> 해독
馮世綸·解讀《伊尹湯液經》
Daniel Holland
I’m now positive that people who claim to have seen aliens have actually just seen baby owls.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1194886790118809600
------------------------------------------------------
Joe Norman
There are moments where I almost feel pity on a guy like this
But invariably they re-reveal themselves
Steven Brainiac Pinker: "If you don't recite my corporate propaganda you are a mindless killer"
What a f**ing piece of trash.
정말 황당한 쓰레기 같은 글이다.
Steven Pinker
How mindless opposition to genetically modified foods can cripple & kill. Golden rice could save children. Until now, governments have barred it. https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/11/11/golden-rice-long-an-anti-gmo-target-may-finally-get-chance-help-children/ …
유전자 조작 식품에 대한 반대는 (식량 부족으로 사람들을) 죽인다. 골든 라이스는 아이들을 살릴 수 있다. 하지만 정부들을 그걸 막고 있다.
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Claire Lehmann
Why anyone who adjusts their opinions, business operations, social life or private life according to what Twitter thinks is a fool
아래 글을 보면 알 수 있듯이, 자신의 의견이나 사회적, 사적 생
활을 트위터에 따라 맞추면 바보가 된다.
트윗 사용자의 반 이상은 연봉 5만 달러 이상이고, 80%는 부유
한 밀레니얼 세대(1985년 ~ 2000년 경 출생)들이다,
---------------------------------------------------
Claire Lehmann
There is this Christian virtue called “charity,” @matthewschmitz. Which means that despite people’s shortcomings & past sins we should recognise that they still have value, & forgive them. Perhaps you could look these ideas up?
기독교적 도덕에 자선이라는 게 있다. 이는 사람들의 단점과 과거의 죄악에도 불구하고, 그들이 인간으로서 가치를 지니고 있으므로 용서해주어야 한다는 것이다.
Matthew Schmitz
Quillette claims to support academic freedom and to oppose woke mobs. Then they publish Deirdre McCloskey, who tried to destroy J. Michael Bailey’s career. It’s almost as if they only champion academic freedom when it benefits right-liberals.
맥클로스키는 과거에 마이클 베일리의 경력을 파괴하려 했던 사람인데, 그의 글을 게재해주는 이유가 뭐요?
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탈레브가 개설한 <리얼 월드 리스크 인스티튜트Real World Risk Institute> 참관 후기
Optionality and the Intellectual Life: In Gratitude for the Real World Risk Institute
By Joshua P. Hochschild -November 13, 2019
But more important than the consequences for scientific analysis are the consequences for practical reasoning. For Aquinas the first specification of the natural law is to preserve oneself in being, and for Warren Buffet the primary investing rule is “first survive.” Even if five out of six doctors certify Russian Roulette as safe—and even if we add enough incentive to yield an attractive “cost benefit analysis”—we know better than to play even once.
No doubt many attendees hoped for specific investing advice, and it’s not proprietary: the Kelly Criterion is more convex than dollar-cost averaging (the default for those with 401k-style regular investments), and wherever possible “clip the left tail” (limit downside) while maximizing possible upside (a diverse portfolio of options where most might lose but only a little, while you have a chance of eventually winning big; or less, honorably, by investing borrowed money in real estate where default can limit any losses.)
But prudence applies to more than growing your bank account, and the excitement of RWRI seems to be around its application to other phenomena in everyday life. The dominant modern metaphor of the machine invites us to expect things to be static, constrained by a “blueprint,” predictable, reducible to parts, and easy to manage. But in the real world, systems – organisms, ecosystems, cities and markets, families and projects – are dynamic and complex, resist reductive analysis, and remain always somewhat mysterious.
Indeed, the sign of health in any living system is its ability to survive, and even strengthen, under stress. The whole seems to have an intrinsic but elusive logic that communicates order—including growth and healing—to the parts. Organisms and organic systems are (within a certain range at least) the opposite of fragile—they don’t simply endure but are made stronger in response to stress (“antifragile,” the title of Taleb’s fourth book).
Consider all the different manifestations of pressure on a system, which Taleb calls the “disorder brothers”: uncertainty, variability, imperfect knowledge, chance, chaos, volatility, disorder, entropy, time, the unknown, randomness, turmoil, stressors, error. If something doesn’t “like” any one of these, it’s not going to like the others (and will therefore be short-lived before failure). On the other hand, if something is made stronger by these, it is antifragile—and therefore also displays the “Lindy” effect (the longer it lasts, the longer it is expected to continue lasting).
The insights are useful to check the ambitions of modern power. Should we trust a model that recommends engineering drastic change in the atmosphere, or should we defer to and protect the Earth’s proven, inscrutable systems of climactic balance? Should we tinker with DNA to design a new kind of pest-resistant crop, or should we respect the nucleic wisdom encoded in long-proven varieties? Risk management’s “precautionary principle” can be understood as respecting essential systems that are Lindy and making sure one doesn’t interfere with whatever makes them antifragile: solve world hunger with better distribution logistics (low downside, huge upside), not by playing God with crop genes (huge possible downside).
In social life, this suggests a bias in favor of traditionalism (including respect for religion) as well as encouragement for experimenters and entrepreneurs (tinkerers, who actually try new technology, not scientists and economic “experts” who merely theorize). In political organization, it shows the wisdom of localism—or what Taleb calls “fractal localism,” to distinguish it from simplistic decentralization. (A “fractal” exhibits structure reproduced multiple times at different scales. Benoit Mandelbrot, a hero of Taleb’s, coined the term after noticing in the 1960’s that the “randomness” of financial market fluctuations exhibited non-Gaussian and scale-invariant structure.) Political community is healthiest when people making decisions also have the most at stake in their outcomes (“skin in the game,” the title of Taleb’s fifth book). In aesthetics too, we can appreciate that much of what makes for timeless beauty and usefulness involves iterated complexity at multiple scales: in a forest as in a cathedral, what is fractal is both functional and lovely.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
펑스룬의 <이윤탕액경> 해독
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