2022년의 우상호가 1980년대의 우상호에게 까똑까똑2 http://www.ilbe.com/view/11421940852 우상호 “먹고사는 문제 급한데…피살 사건이 중요하냐” 열람 거부/ 동아일보 야 우리 586은 민주투사가 아니라 그냥 반국가 폭도일 뿐이야! 1980년대에 "인권이 중요한 게 아니라 먹고사는 문제가 시급하다"던 전두환에게 독재자라고 정권타도 외친 새끼 그로부터 40년이 지난 2022년에 "공무원 인권이 중요한 게 아니라 먹고사는 문제가 시급하다" 이 지랄 하는 중임 (2020년대 현재와 1980년대 두 시대 중에 먹고 사는 문제가 가장 절실했던 때가 어느 시대냐?) 1980년대의 전두환이 옳았으며 1980년대의 586 폭도들이 틀렸음을 지 아가리로 스스로 자백하고 있는 중임 무너져 가는 더불어 콩사탕 되살리자고 추대한 비상대책위원장이 저런 찐따 머저리 새끼니까 콩사탕도 완전히 끝났다고 봐야 될 듯 1줄 요약 결국 1980년대의 586은 정권찬탈이나 하려는 폭도일 뿐이고 전두환이 진정한 대한민국의 애국자였음 ㅇㅇ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 차기대통령/ 일베 댓글 ㅇㅂ 좌빨 몸통 문죄인을 잡아야합니다 윤정부에 현재 외환보유고가 얼마나 되는지 발표하라고 요구합시다. 박정권때 근근히 재정흑자로 바꿔놨는데 문정권지나고 재정적자가 190조원 입니다. 적자로 돌아선 이유를 윤석열 정권은 반드시 밝혀야됩니다. 그런데 청와대 안드가고 용산에서 지랄옘병하는 이유 뭔지아세요? 그건 청와대에 보관된 문죄인 기록물을 안보겟다 입니다. 한마디로 문죄인은 단죄시키지 않겟다는 겁니다. 문죄인 정권동안 외환보유고 공식 발표 한번도 없습니다. 그건 재정을 불투명하게 운영하고 북에다 퍼줬다는 겁니다. 다른 정권때는 분기별로 외환보유고 꼬박 꼬박 발표 했습니다. 그리고 북에다 얼마나 퍼줬는지도 밝혀서 국민에게 실상을 알려주라고 강력히 요구해야됨 지난 정권동안 국민을 속이며 뭔짓을 했는지 디테일하게 조사하고 문정권의 민낮을 탈탈 털어내라고 윤석열에게 요구해야됨 그리고 국가채무가 정확히 얼마이며 세금을 적절히 썻는지 투명하게 낱낱이 밝혀야됩니다 편법으로 북한에 수십조는 갖다바쳤을 겁니다. 문죄인 잡아 족치라고 국민들이 윤석열 뽑아준거임 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 미쳐버린 2023년도 " 최저임금 " 협상 근황 ㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋ 테슬라100주 http://www.ilbe.com/view/11421961276 노동계 30% 인상된 1만 1860원 요구 ㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋㅋ 주휴수당 제외임 ㅅㅂ 그냥 이 나라는 한번쯤 망하는게 답일까????? 죽창만이답이다/ 일베 댓글 9434원에서 최대 9618원 참고로 한국의 최저임금은 주차.월차가 포함이 안되어있음 포함시킨다면 이미 1만원은 넘은 상황임 그리고 내.외국인 시급 차등적용을해야하고 외노자 선호 현상을 생각해서 보완적으로 내국인 100명에 외노자 10명 이런식으로 법제화가 필요함 일본이 위의 방식을 적용하고있음 근데 과연 한국 정치인 ㄱㅅㄲ들이 이렇게할까 의문임 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ " 실업급여 "가 폐지되야 한국이 살아난다........... 테슬라100주 http://www.ilbe.com/view/11421956807 이미 고용보험 고갈된지 오래임 20대들 사이에선 최대한 오래동안 실업급여 타는 법이 나돌고 있음 자기취업 자체를 부정하고 단기취업 실업급여 타는 법이 인터넷에 난무함 거기에 각종 취업장려금(아이러니하게 일자리를 더 안 구함) 애초에 취지가 다른 일자리 구하기 전에 생계를 위해 만들어진 제도인데 이젠 일하고 놀고 먹는 시스템으로 변질됨 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 한국은 "586 운동권세력" 박살내지 않으면 앞날이 암담해진다.... 좌빨잡자 http://www.ilbe.com/view/11421938937 586세력은 "민주화세력"이 아니구 "반국가 퇴보세력"임이 이미 다 밝혀졌다. 그런데 왜 국민의 1/2이 놈들을 격렬하게 추종하는가??? 이 반국가세력을 추종하는 놈들을 강력하게 철퇴를 내리지 않으면 대한민국의 미래는 없다....... 이자들의 대부인 김대중이 부터 때려잡아야 한다. 도대체 이샠히가 그동안 저지른 역적질이 한두껀인가? 근데 어쩌자구 이샠히를 추종해 이 병신샠히들아.......... 그샠히를 추종하는 것도 용서가 안되는데 북괴 김정은이를 추종하는 막가는 작태.... 이 병신샠히들아!!!!! 제정신이니?????????응??? 눙깔이 뼈도 그렇지 어떻게 북괴를 추종해???? 이 미개한 샠히들아!!!!!! 병신 놈현, 그리구 더 정신병자샠히 문제인...... 얘들 정신질환자 아니니????제정신이야?????? 허휴 속터져!!!! ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 미국 남부 텍사스 주 근황… 아기일베따랑해 http://www.ilbe.com/view/11422047219 아래는 푸틴의 연설문 중 일부다. "Properly speaking, the attempts to use us in their own interests never ceased until quite recently: they sought to destroy our traditional values and force on us their false values that would erode us, our people from within, the attitudes they have been aggressively imposing on their countries, attitudes that are directly leading to degradation and degeneration, because they are contrary to human nature. This is not going to happen. No one has ever succeeded in doing this, nor will they succeed now." "엄밀히 말하자면, 우리를 그들[서방]의 입맛에 맞추고 휘두르려는 불순한 시도는 최근까지도 지속되어 왔습니다 - 그들은 우리의 유구한 가치를 파괴하려고 했고, 우리를 점진적으로 침식시킬 불순한 거짓 가치를 강제하려 했습니다. 서방이 우리에게 강요한 이러한 가치[극단적 여성우월주의, 호모주의, 소비주의, 이기주의, 쾌락주의, 무신론 등]는 이미 자국에서 강제하고 있는 가치들이며, 이것은 직접적으로 사회의 전반적인 타락과 퇴폐를 불러왔습니다. 이것은 바로 이러한 가치들이 인간의 본성에 직접적으로 위배되는 가치들일 것이기 때문입니다. 앞서 언급한 이러한 일들은 러시아에서는 일어나지 않을 것입니다. 그 누구도 러시아를 흔들려는 시도를 성공하지 못했고, 앞으로도 성공하지 못할 것입니다." --->푸틴은 굳이 분류한다면 전통주의자라고 할 수 있다. 다 옳은 것은 아니지만 좌파적 선전선동이 횡행하는 세상에서는 그래도 신선하다. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2022년의 대폭락이 다가오고 있다! 연준은 맘 대로 금리를 정할 수도, 불황과 호황을 제멋대로 만들어낼 수도 없다. 단지 돈을 찍어서 호황의 환상을 만들 뿐이다. 하지만 결국에 현실에 의해 그 모든 게 물거품이 될 거다. 현재의 위기의 실제 원인은 통화 팽창이다. 연준이 찍어낸 돈은 시장으로 흘러가 순간적인 호황을 만들어냈지만, 그 돈을 회수하는 과정에서 발생하는 불황을 피할 수가 없게 되었다. 현재 많은 기업들이 파산하고 있는데, 그렇게 되면 은행들도 위기를 피할 수가 없다. 금리는 언제나 어디서나 시장이 정하는 것이다. 중앙은행은 돈을 찍어서 금리에 영향을 미칠 뿐이다. 현재의 위기가 심각한 것은, 지난 2년간의 불량투자만이 문제가 아니라, 지난 15년간 쌓여온 자본 파괴를 결산해야 하기 때문이다. 아마도 연준은 금융계와 정부의 압력으로 다시 인플레 정책으로 돌아갈지도 모르지만, 그렇다고 경제 위기를 막을 수는 없다. The Great Crash of 2022 Kristoffer Mousten Hansen We are now well past the corona crisis of 2020, and most of the restrictions around the world have been repealed or loosened. However, the long-term consequences of arbitrary and destructive corona policies are still with us—in fact, we are now in the middle of the inevitable economic crisis. Proclaiming the great crash and economic crisis of 2022 is at this point not especially prescient or insightful, as commentators have been predicting it for months. The cause is still somewhat obscure, as financial and economic journalism still focuses on whatever the Federal Reserve announces. But the importance of the Fed’s moves is greatly exaggerated. The Fed cannot set interest rates at will; it cannot generate a boom or a recession at will. It can only print money and create the illusion of greater prosperity, but ultimately, reality reasserts itself. The real driver of the present crisis is monetary inflation. Back in 2020, I (along with many others) pointed out the role of inflationary monetary policy in the corona crisis. While consumer price inflation is now the most apparent consequence, the real damage occurred in the capital structure of the economy. This is the cause of the present crisis. A Business Cycle, of Sorts While to most people the most obvious consequence of the corona inflation was the transfer payments they received from the government, the real action occurred in the business sector. Through various schemes, newly created money was channeled to the productive sector from the Fed via the Treasury. The result was a classic business cycle of unsustainable expansion ending in inevitable depression. The immediate effect of the inflow of easy money was twofold. First, it hid some of the economic distortions that lockdowns and other restrictions caused. Since they received government funds to make up for lost revenue and to cover higher costs, businessmen maintained production lines that really should have been shut down or altered in some way due to lockdowns. Second, easy money induced capitalists to make new, unsound investments, as they thought the extra money meant greater capital availability. These investments were unsound not because the government quickly turned off the money spigot again: they were unsound because the real resources were not there; people had not saved more to make them available. The supply of complementary factors of production had not increased, or not as much as suggested by the increase in money available for investment. As the businesses expanded and increased demand for these complementary factors, their prices therefore rose. To keep the boom going, businesses have started to borrow more money in the market, driving up interest rates. But there is no cheap credit to be had at this point, since there haven’t been additional infusions of cheap money since the initial inflation of 2020, so interest rates are quickly rising. This is the real explanation of the inversion of the yield curve: businesses are scrambling for funding as they find themselves in a liquidity shortage, since their input prices are rising above their revenues. It’s not the market front-running the Federal Reserve or any other fancy expectations-based cause: interest rates rise because businesses are short on capital. The following chart shows the increase in producer prices compared to consumer prices—an increase of almost 40 percent since the beginning of 2020 is clearly unsustainable. That consumer prices have not increased as much is a clear indication that we’re dealing with a business boom and that businesses can’t expect future revenues that will cover their elevated costs. Nor are we simply seeing oil price increases due to disruptions in supply. Oil and energy commodities complement virtually all production processes, so inflation-induced investment will lead to an early rise in oil and energy prices. 도표 생략 Eventually, interest rates will be bid too high, and businessmen will have to abandon their investments. Many will throw inventories on the market at almost any price to fund their liabilities, cut back their workforces, and likely go bankrupt. This appears to be happening already, as CNBC is reporting many layoffs in tech companies. A likely consequence of this bust will be a banking crisis: as the share of nonperforming loans increases, bank revenues will dry up, and banks may find themselves unable to meet their own obligations. A crisis could develop, leading to what has been called “secondary deflation”: the contraction of the money supply as deposits in bankrupt banks simply evaporate. While that is a consummation devoutly to be wished, it is unlikely, to put it mildly, that the Federal Reserve will let things get to that point. This neatly brings us to a central question: What is the central bank doing right now? The Contractionary Fed Surprising as it sounds, the Fed really is pursuing a tightening policy. Not necessarily the one they officially announced—they are not, in fact, reducing their balance sheet, but an extremely tight policy nonetheless. It is worth pointing out that the Fed is really a one-trick pony: all it can do is create money, either directly or indirectly by giving banks the reserves necessary for bank credit expansion. All the stuff about setting interest rates is secondary, if not irrelevant: the market always and everywhere sets interest rates. Central banks can only influence interest rates by, you guessed it, printing money. While the Fed was very inflationary back in 2020 as figures 2 and 3 show, it has since reversed course and become not only conservative, but outright contractionary. That is, not only has the growth rate slowed down, but there was a real, if small, fall in the quantity of money in early 2022. This contraction is not immediately evident if we only look at the Fed’s overall balance sheet, because since March 2021, the Fed has aggressively increased the amount of reverse repurchase agreements (reverse repos) they hold (or owe, technically). In a reverse repo transaction, the Fed temporarily sells a bond to a bank (just as they temporarily buy a bond from a bank in a repo transaction). This sucks reserves from the system, just as repos add reserves to the system. From virtually zero in March 2021, the amount of reverse repos has increased to $2,421.6 billion as of June 15, reducing the amount of available reserves by the same amount. The Fed balance sheet has not shrunk due to simple accounting: the bond underlying the repo transaction is still recorded on the Fed balance sheet. Banks, meanwhile, benefit from this transaction even though their reserves are temporarily reduced, earning a practically risk-free 0.8 percent (the Fed increased the award rate on reverse repos to 1.55 percent on June 15 and will likely increase it in the near future as the market rate keeps rising). Whatever this is, it’s not a policy that will feed inflation—in fact, inflation really will be transitory if the Fed continues its present policy. This is somewhat ironic, as the Fed has increased its holdings of inflation-indexed bonds, suggesting its economists themselves do not believe the transitory narrative. Of course, it’s possible that the Fed may simply be gearing up for the next round of inflationary policy. What is certain is that the Fed is now neutralizing its previous inflation. The great 2020 inflation went first to the US Treasury account at the Fed and then to the government’s favored clients. As the government drew down its account, money went to the banks and was deposited at the Fed as reserves. At this point, the inflation could have accelerated. The banks were already flush with reserves and could have extended credit on top of the tidal wave of additional reserves flowing into them. This would likely have happened as the market rate of interest started rising, if not earlier, but by sucking banks’ reserves out the Fed is limiting banks’ inflationary potential. Credit expansion is still possible, as the banks maintain a historically elevated reserves-deposits ratio of around 20 percent and have since 2020 been liberated from any kind of legal reserve requirement. But by reducing the reserves in the system, the Fed is effectively preventing this development. After peaking at over 23 percent, the reserve ratio has steadily declined since September 2021, hitting 19 percent in April, as shown in figure 5. Since reverse repo transactions have continued in May and June, the monetary contraction seen in the first quarter is likely ongoing, although we will have to wait for more recent money supply figures to confirm this. What Happens Now? Whatever happens next, one thing is clear: the crisis is already upon us. Stock market declines and financial market chaos are really epiphenomena, headline capturing though they may be. The damage has already been done. And while I’ve here focused on the covid era, we were already heading for crisis in 2019—the coronavirus just provided an excuse for one last gigantic inflationary binge. This means that it’s not simply the malinvestments of the last two years that needs to be cleared out—it’s the accumulated capital destruction of the last fifteen years that’s now becoming apparent. How much capital was wasted in tech start-ups that had no chance of ever turning a profit? As this piece in The Atlantic points out, enormous amounts of capital were poured into technology projects aimed at the hip urban millennial lifestyle—and now that they cannot cover operating costs with endless infusions of venture capital, prices are spiking and companies are laying off workers. The boom in construction is also at an end, as demand for housing is unlikely to remain elevated as mortgage rates rise. In all likelihood, the Fed is not going to stay the course. Pressure from finance and from government is likely to force it back into inflation, but this inflation can’t prevent the bust. As Ludwig von Mises pointed out, you can’t paper over the economic crisis with yet another infusion of paper money; the crisis will play out, whatever the central bank decides to do. What the Fed can do is continue funding the government and bailing out the financial system when they come under pressure. Both will be very inflationary. We should not celebrate the Fed for refraining from inflating the money supply at the moment—after all, its previous recklessness caused the problems to begin with—but let’s hope the Fed stays the course for now.1 The longer a new round of inflation is delayed, the more radical will the purge of malinvestment and clown-world finance be. High inflation is also possible, perhaps even more likely, given the political pressures. In that case, Weimar, here we come! 1.The June 15 numbers suggest that the Fed may be reversing course: it has bought $20 billion worth of mortgages and sold $8.6 billion worth of US Treasurys, increasing the balance sheet by $14.1 billion overall. Deposits continued to decline, falling by $100 billion, but the accumulation of reverse repos reversed sharply from Tuesday to Wednesday (June 13–14) and fell by almost $60 billion. If this is a real policy reversal, the contraction is already over; however, the amount increased slightly on Thursday. Kristoffer Mousten Hansen is a research assistant at the Institute for Economic Policy at Leipzig University. He received his PhD from the University of Angers and is a former Mises Institute research fellow. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 이시진의 16대 후손인 후투이胡塗醫가 지었다는 책 問道中醫 . 성은 바꾸었다고 하고, 유럽으로 건너가 지금은 스위스에서 금융계에서 일을 하고 있다고 한다. The Celestial Secrets of Real TCM: 問道中醫──古傳中醫闡微 (Chinese Edition) Kindle Edition Chinese Edition by Kevin Hu, (Author), 胡塗醫, (Author), 胡涂医, (Author) Format: Kindle Edition 唐‧王冰序《黃帝內經》時說，《素問》《靈樞》本各有九卷，“雖復年移代革，而授學猶存，懼非其人，而時有所隱，故第七一卷，師氏藏之，今之奉行，惟八卷爾”。本書所述“古傳中醫”，正是“時有所隱”但仍然“授學猶存”的那部分真傳，這部分的內容，才是中華民族的真正絕學——上古的天人之學、性命之學。《問道中醫》目前公開的，雖只是冰山一角，但已足以一新世人耳目。 本書從陰陽、經絡等中醫基礎入手，探索中醫本質，解讀《黃帝內經》，闡釋養生真要，指出人體自身有大藥，理法一如，有一整套完整完備的理論和方法指導人們實修實證，達到身心健康，以道證醫，以醫證道。書中介紹了四十餘種自我鍛煉、調理方法，對治各種身心疾患。其中收錄的作者與網友問答，一如現場問診，令人豁然開朗，極具指導價值。書末收錄本書養生方法索引、古傳中醫答疑，談禪論道，啟迪人心。 胡塗醫，生於南方小山村，在國內接受大學教育後留學歐美。現旅居瑞士，供職於金融界，閒來無事喜歡寫寫博客。因為從小體弱多病，被迫學習古傳中醫，他常自稱不是醫生，但偶爾會為有緣人診治疾病，為人低調，不敢為天下先。本書是根據作者在新浪博客的內容整理而成，若要更深入瞭解作者，請去訪問他的博客“胡塗醫治糊塗病”。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------