2019년 8월 2일 금요일

주사파 장악한 청와대 



주사파가 청와대를 장악했다.  문재인은 꼭두각시 일 뿐이다.

이제 반일선동을 통해서 총선을 준비할 것이고, 보수를 토착왜구의 굴레에 가두려 할 것이다.
또한 자해 공갈단 식으로 지소미아 파기를 유도하여 한미일 연대를 깨뜨리고,
그 다음은 미국과 동맹관계를 거의 허수아비처럼 만들려고 할 것이다. 

만일 그것도 부족하면 주한미군 주둔비용 삭감투쟁을 통하여 미군 철수를 유도하고, 동남아에서 
미국의 입지를 약화시길 것이다. 트럼프는 이런 상황을 자의반 타의반 식으로 수용한다.

이틈을 틈타 중국은 한국의 수많은 보수, 진보 정치인들에게 자금을 대주고 미군철수, 사드반대 투쟁을
부축이거나 눈감게 할 것이다. 

한국은 전자산업 몰락과 건설경기 침체로 인하여 70년대 초 수준까지 떨어지고 필리핀과 동격이 될 것이다.

아시아는 일본이 아시아를 장악하려하고, 여기에 중국이 맞서는 형상으로 재팬된다. 대만, 인도네시아는 각자
유리한 편에 달라붙어 연명한다. /   출처 일베

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 한국경제 수박밭 경제로 낙하

8월 2일 일본 내각이 95%의 찬성율로 아베의 경제전쟁을 지지했다. 그런데 그 경제전쟁은 누가 촉발시켰는가? 아베가 아니라 문재인이었다. 1965년 한일협정을 무시하고, 한국에 진출해 있는 일본의 229개 기업의 재산을 몰수하고 이를 경매하여 강제징용자들에게 배상해주눈 절차를 강행한 데서 촉발됐다. 이러한 행위는 야만의 짓이다. 아베가 이런 강경한 대응을 취하지 않는다면 아베는 일본자존심을 추락시켰다는 이유로 일본국민들로부터 돌팔매를 당할 것이다. 결론적으로 문재인은 아베가 이러한 조치를 취할 수밖에 없도록 막다른 골목으로 몰아넣은 것이다.

         반역자 문재인의 음흉한 전략

문재인은 어째서 일본으로 하여금 한국경제를 파탄시킬 수밖에 없도록 몰아갔을까? 첫째는 그것이 그가 속한 주사파들의 목적을 달성하는 최단의 첩경이었기 때문이다. 주사파의 목적이라는 것은 ‘태어나서는 안 되는 한국을 소멸시키고 남한의 재산과 국민을 김정은에게 몽땅 바치는 것’이다. 이를 모르는 국민들은 이 분야에 대해 약간의 학습을 해야 한다. “에이 설마~” 이런 마음가짐을 갖는 사람들은 그야말로 개돼지들이다. 이런 인간들 때문에 이 나라가 원시인에 유사했던 조선인의 탈을 벗어나지 못하는 것이다. 둘째 이유는 일본이 부당하게 한국경제를 박살내고 있다고 선전 선동하여 개돼지가 90%를 차지하는 국민들로 하여금 반일감정으로 똘똘 뭉치게 하여 그 표를 가지고 내년 총선에서 정권을 완전 장악하겠다는 것이다. 1석2조의 이익을 위해 대한민국 경제를 박정희 대통령 이전의 수박밭 경제로 후퇴시키겠다는 것이다.

           사실상 경제 봉쇄

화이트국가 대열에서 이탈되면 1,110여개 소재 수입 일정부 허가 품목으로 전환된다. 이는 무슨 뜻인가? 이 1,110여 개의 소재가 들어가는 한국제품은 공장의 셔터를 내려야 한다는 뜻이다. 생각해보자. 이 품목에 대해 일본은 한국의 주문이 있을 때 정부 공무원들은 한국기업들이 제출한 사용처별 물량을 꼼꼼히 분석하고, 사후 확인을 하겠다는 것이다. 한국이 일본의 속국이 되는 것은 물론 사실상 이 1,110개의 소재에 대해서는 한국에 수출을 하지 않겠다는 것이다. 왜 그런가? 한국경제는 수출에 의존한다. 특정 제품에 대해 한국기업은 해외 발주업체가 요구하는 납기를 맞추어야 한다. 그런데 일본이 언제 수출허가를 내줄지 몰라 납기를 보장할 수 없다. 납기를 보장 할 수 없으면 해외 바이어들은 한국업체를 무시한다. 결국 한국기업은 일본이 나중에 소재수출을 하락한다 해도 그 소재가 아무런 소용이 없게 되는 것이다. 한국에서 수출을 하는 업체 치고 일본 소재를 사용하지 않는 업체는 거의 없다. 한국경제가 셔터가 내려지는 것처럼 한 순간에 폭망할 것이라는 진단이 여기에서 나오는 것이다. 여기에서 한국이 얼마나 일본 소재에 의존하고 있는지, 일본이 왜 소재산업의 왕국인 것인지에 대한 이해를 도울 수 있는 자료 2개를 제시한다.

  한국이 소재산업의 불모지가 될 수밖에 없는 이유

나는 방위사업 업체들을 많이 방문할 기회가 있어서 한국산업의 현장을 비교적 자시히 안다. 그리고 일본 산업의 부흥과정을 비교적 많이 연구해 대기업들을 많이 다니면서 강욘을 했다. 이 나라 이 시대의 한국인들은 지만원이 안보만 알고 5.18만 아는 제한된 분야에 침몰한 한 인물로 생각하고 있는 모양이다. 그러나 나는 경영학자이고 그것도 수리공적을 도구로 하는 분석적 경영학자다. 아마 유튜브를 하고 있는 사람들 중에서 나만큼 일본산업의 실상, 한국산업의 실상, 일본 품질관리의 핵심을 꿰뚫는 사람 드물 것이다. 그들은 현상을 말하고 나는 본질을 말할 수 있는 사람이다. 이에 더해 나는 시스템적 시작을 가진 사람이다. 이런 배경으로 나는 오늘 일본이 취한 조치가 얼마나 소름끼치도록 무서운 것인지 말할 수 있는 것이다. 어제 나는 아베가 오늘 반드시 공격 버튼을 누를 것이라고 장담했다.

         한국은 운명적으로 소재산업 불모지 

허접한 문재인과 그 졸개들은 우리도 곧 소재산업을 일으킬 수 있다고 국민을 선동했다. 문재인의 말은 1,000% 거짓말이다. 이 나라는 구조적으로 소재산업이 생길 수 없다. 이 나라는 소재산업의 황무지다. 사막이라는 뜻이다. 한국이 소재 부품 산업에 취약할 수밖에 없는 이유가 있다. 첫째가 정부의 원시적 규제다. 조립을 하는 대기업이 하청업체로부터 특정 부품과 소재를 구매하려면 경쟁입찰을 붙여야 한다. 납품 업체들은 농산물이나 수산물 경매장이나 다름없는 입찰경매장에서 최저가 낙찰제로 경쟁을 해야 한다. 일단 낙찰이 되면 대기업은 가격을 후려치고, 어음을 주고 결산 단계에서 납품업체를 괴롭힌다. 이렇게 열악한 환경에서 하루하루를 때우는 식으로 생존경쟁을 해야 하는 기업이 무슨 수로 훌륭한 소재나 부품, 새로운 소재나 부품을 개발하기 위해 연구개발비를 쏟아 붓겠는가? 우리도 소재산업을 육성하겠다는 인간들은 뭘 모른 자식들이다.

 일본은 소재산업의 왕국

반면 일본은 어떤가? 일본 조립업체는 부품 및 소재 업체를 매우 까다롭게 엄선한다. 일단 엄선되면 모든 소재-부품 업체들이 대기업의 영구적인 식솔이 된다. 토요타 패밀리, 혼다 패밀리가 구성되는 것이다. 대기업은 이들 납품업체들에게 품질향상의 노하우를 학습시키고 연구개발에 필요한 자금을 지원한다. 장사꾼 스타일인 한국의 대기업들과는 천지차이다. 따라서 한국의 중소기업은 연구개발의 여력 없고, 물량이 적어 판매해도 원가를 뽑아내지 못한다. 더구나 소재산업은 막대한 중금속의 배출을 요한다. 연구개발에도 돈, 환경상의 오염물질을 처리하기 위해서도 막대한 돈이 필요하다. 이를 한국에서는 사기업이 부담하라 방치한다. 하지만 일본은 정부가 국가예산을 가지고 이런 비용을 처리한다. 한국의 정치꾼들이나 날 파리 학자들이 이런 숨은 메커니즘을 알 수 있겠는가?

결론적으로 오늘 아베가 누른 발사버튼은 한국경제를 초단기에 사망시키는 초고성능의 폭탄이다. 일본소재를 사용하는 모든 기업들은 규모의 대소에 관계없이 공장 문을 셔터로 닫아야 한다. 그리고 일단 폐업하면 적어도 수십 년 동안에는 소생이 불가하다. 아니 소생하려는 사람이 없을 것이다. 3만 달러 소득이 1만 달러 소득으로 추락하는 데 걸리는 시간은 불과 수개월일 것이다. 나는 경영학자라 이걸 알지만 아마도 경제학자들은 이걸 모를 것이다.

                문재인의 적색 전략

문재인은 일본과 끝까지 싸울 것을 선언했다. 국제여론전을 펴고, 국내에서는 반일감정을 고조시키게ᅟᅢᆻ다는 것이다. 한국도 보복할 것이라고 한다. 그리거ㅗ 국민들거ㅘ 기업들에는 김정일식 ‘고난의 행군’을 강요했다. 이 추세대로 8개월만 더 몰고 가면 내년 4월 선거에서 완승할 것이고 그러면 문재인의 재집권이 보장된다는 것이다. 문재인에는 전략이 있는가? 오로지 GOSOMIA(정보협력)다. 이걸 결렬시키겠다고 엄포를 놓으면 미국이 놀라 중재에 나설 것이라는 참으로 허접한 생각인 것이다.

아마도 아베는 미국과의 정보 공조로 확보한 비밀을 갖고 있을 것이다. 문재인이 저지른 역적행위일 것이다. 만일 아베나 트럼프가 그 방역적 정보를 까면 문재인은 한국에서 돌팔메를 맞고 유엔에서 설치한 국제재판소에 의해 처형될 것이다. 시진핑이 북한에 석유를 퍼준 것과 문재인이 퍼준 것은 그 범죄의 죄질과 죄목에 있어 그 성격이 완전히 다르다. 문재인은 적장에게 금지된 무기를 준 것이다.

              대 책

유일한 대안은 문재인이 일본에 비는 것이다. 그러나 문재인은 절대로 그걸 안 한다. 따라서 유일한 해결책은 문재인을 빠른 시일 내에 퇴진시키는 일이다. 매주 토이일 점점 더 많은 국민이 광화문에 가야 한다. 그리고 어느날 전 공간을 가득 메워야 할 것이다. 전제조건을 인도의 간디처럼 철저하게 비폭력, 아무리 생각해도 이 길밖에는 없다. 이시기에 “반일은 곧 매국”이다. 이런 구호를 널리 확산해야 할 것이다. 매일 1인당 일본맥주 1팩씩 가기 운동이라도 벌여야 한다, 우리의 친구는 아베, 우리의 적은 문재인, 모든 분들의 열성적 참여를 바란다.

2019.8.3. 지만원
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사건의 발단은 불산이다.
불산은 농축우라늄 제조공정에 반드시 필요하다.
불산은 유통기한이 2-3개월내로 아주짧기 때문에 다른 불산 생산국보다 가까운 일본에서 수입하는것이 유리하다.
불산은 위험물로 일반항공화물로는 운송이 불가능하다.
농축우라늄 제조공정에 고농도불산까지는 필요없지만 북한자체 생산되는 불산은 30%정도의 함량으로 공정에 부적합하다.
문정부에서 일본에서 거의 매달 불산을 수입하다가 3년치나 되는 불산을 한꺼번에 수입했는데, 그 행방이 묘연하다한다.
유통기한이 2-3개월정도되는 불산을 3년치나되는 어마어마한량을 한꺼번에 구입했으니 일본에서는 그 사용처가 의심이 되었겠지.
사라진 불산행방의 꼬리를 잡은건지 정황만 있는건지는 모르겠지만.. (뚱딴지같은 귤조공 사건도 있고하니)
일본은 G20 회담전까지 불산의 사용처를 알려달라고 통보한다. 근데 아무 답변을 못한거지.
그래서 이제 한국에서 수입할때 사용용도를 적어야 수입할수 있도록 화이트리스트에서 불산을 제외시킨거지. 
사용용도등 수입서류등을 작성하면 절차상 시간이 좀더걸린다 뿐이지 수입을 못하도록 하겠단건 아니다.
일본갔던 이재용이 귀국할때 싱글벙글하던 사진보면 이해가 감. (원료조달엔 차질없겠다는 거겠지)
이걸 문정부는 방귀낀놈이 성낸다고, 뜬금없이 토착왜구라든지 친일파 경제적침략등의 단어를 써가며 반일감정을 부추긴거지. 
( 총선득표수를 노린것도 있겠지만, 사라진 불산사건에서 시선을 돌리려 대법원판결과 반일감정을 역었다고봄)
여기에 국민들은 무슨 난리라도 난듯이 불매운동 반일운동등으로 놀아나고 있는거지.
개인적 짧은 소견 적어봄.

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<화이트리스트 除外>가 意味하는 '세 가지'

펀드빌더

韓國이 화이트리스트(백색국가群)에서 제외되는 것과 관련한, 근본 원인과 배경, 파급 등에 대해서는 이미 '趙甲濟 기자'를 필두로, 여러 전문가의 구체적 분석들이 이루어진 상태이므로 새삼 또 거론할 필요는 없을 듯 싶다. 여기서는, '화이트리스트 除外'가 韓國에게 던지는 세 가지 意味를 언급하고 싶다. 그것은, ①근린 배려 외교(사죄 외교)의 종언, ②韓國의 高비용 低효율化, ③日本의 NO가 초래할 安保危機다. 순서대로 간단히 보자.


결론적으로 이번 사태는, 韓國의 '外交'(①사죄 외교의 종언), '經濟'(②高비용 低효율化), '安保'(③일본의 NO가 초래할 安保危機) 분야에 걸쳐 골고루 커다란 불이익을 각각 안겨주는 결과를 낳았다. 여기서 만약, 文在寅 정권이 이런 불이익(①,②,③)을 예상하지 못했던 것이라면, 문재인 정권은 '大실패'에 해당한다. 그런데 만약, 이런 불이익을 충분히 예상하고도, 某種의 목적下에 일부러 방치한 쪽이라면, 文在寅 정권은 현재로서 '大성공'을 거둔 셈이다. 
  
  文在寅 정권 사람들이 이런 式으로 50%의 성공확률이라도 가진 것으로 보이는 데 반해, 안타깝게도 많은 기업들과 일반 국민들은, 文在寅 정권이 어느 경우(大실패 or 大성공)에 해당하든 전혀 상관없이, 오직 피해만 보게 된다는 것이 서로 다른 점일 것이다.(국민들 피해확률 100%)
. (발췌)

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수출규제는 징용판결과 관련없다


운마 씹새야 팩트는 알아야할 거 아니냐?

이 사건의 전말은 징용판결이랑 관련성 0인데 ㅋㅋ

1. 문재앙 정권에서 3년치 전략물자(불산, 소재, 기계부품)를
한꺼번에 수입함

2. 일본은 한국을 믿었기에 별다른 의심없이 전략물자를 넘겨
줌 (일본이 한국을 신뢰한다는 표시가 화이트리스트임)

3. 재앙이가 대북석탄 구입을 하면서 제재를 어김. (저번에 일본이 찾아냈지)

4. 혹시나 해서 일본정부가 3년치 전략물자의 행방을 문재앙
정권에 물어봄

5. 문재앙 정권에서 알려줄 수 없다고 함

6. 일본정부는 북한으로 전략물자가 흘러들어갔을 것을 의심
하여 계속 위치와 행방을 물어봄. 그런데 알고보니 이 전략물자
행방이 묘연함

7. 문재앙 정부 계속 위치 추적 거부함.  찔리는게 없으면 행방
공개하면되는데 진짜 북한에 흘러들어갔는지 해명을 못하거나
거부함

8. 일본은 대북제재를 준수하는 나라이기 때문에 불산을 비롯
한 전략 물자수출 규제를 시작함. 또 일본산 기계가 북한 군용물자 생산에 이용되는것도 의심되어 다른 카드도 만지는 중

9. 결론 : 문재앙 잘못



참고로 불산은 핵미사일 정밀제조에 쓰일 수 있는 물품이고
일본산 공작기계는 군용차량제조같은 정밀가공분야에 쓰이는품질 좋은것들임
(우리나라도 방산부문에서 쓰고있다. 현대위아랑 로템, 한화같은 곳에서 국산화 노력은 하고있지만 여전히 일본 기술 조언없이는 힘듬)

재앙이가 행방을 안밝혀서 이 꼬라지 난거임

북한이 아니라면 왜 그걸 못 밝힐까?
일본은 죄가없다.  단지 자신들의 전략물자의 행방을 알고자했을 뿐이다.


5줄 요약

1. 문재앙의 대북제재 위반의심사태 여러차례 발생
2. 일본정부가 전략물자 위치 요구함
3. 한국정부 아몰랑 시전하다가 제재먹음
4. 그런데도 아직 징용판결로 반일 선동하고 자빠졌음.

출처 일베
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자한당이 얼마나 병신이냐 하면


민주연구연이 반일불매가 총선에서 유리하다는 내용의 보고서를 만들어서 의원들한테 돌렸으면 이미 게임 끝난거였다.

자한당은 강력 반발해서 추경 보이콧 하고 장외투쟁 예고하면서 양정철 퇴출 및 이해찬 대국민 사과 정도는 요구하면서

판을 크게 려서 국민들한테 보고서 내용을 알렸어야 했다.

이것만 이슈 잘 시켰어도 좌파 반일시위는 민주당 선거운동이라는 프레임 씌워서 작살내고

민주당은 나라 망하고 국민 어렵게 해도 오직 표만 생각하는 파렴치한 당이라는 프레임으로 반은 죽여 놨어야 했다.

근데 자한당 대변인 논평 하나 달랑 내는 거 보고 역시 자한당이구나 싶더라.

이거 잘 조져 놨으면 오늘 문재인 담화쇼도 무력화 시킬 수 있었는데,

뭐 제대로 하는 것도 없고 밥 떠서 입에 넣어줘도 안 먹겠다고 뱉고 있음.

이게 당이냐?
출처 일베
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb's Wisdom‏ 
"A prediction is wrong only if it costs you something. A prediction is right only if it makes you something. The rest is tawk.


예측은 그것이 당신에게 무엇인가 대가를 치르게 했을 경우에

만 틀린 것이다. 또 예측은 그것이 당신을 무엇인가를 얻게

했을 경우에만, 맞는 것이다. 그 나머지는 모두 말일 뿐이다.

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb‏인증된 계정 
Never complain about your enemies. You can insult them, anger them, expose them, but never whine about them. Push them to complain about you.

절대 적들에 대해 불평을 말하지 말아라. 그와 반대로 적들을

몰아세워서, 그들이 너에 대해 불평하도록 하라!

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미제스의 문화적 배경
 
대중의 취향과 어리석음이 역사를 지배하는 세상에 살고 있다는 깨달음으로, 미제스는 끝내 비관주의자로 일관하게 되었다.
 
 
The Cultural Background of Ludwig von Mises
 
 
Erik von Kuehnelt-Leddihn
 
Writing for Americans about the cultural background of Ludwig von Mises, an eminent former compatriot of mine, poses some difficulties: how to present you with a world radically different from yours, a world far away, which in many ways no longer exists. For example, the birthplace of this eminent economist was for nearly fifty years within the confines of the Soviet Union. Who was this great man and scholar? In what ambiance did he live before he came to the United States, where he continued to publish his crucially important works and to inspire new generations of economists? We have to go back to the old Austro-Hungarian Empire, then the second-largest political unit in Europe. Only Russia was bigger, although Germany's population was slightly larger. Mises was born in 1881 in Lwów, the capital of what was known as Galicia. A kingdom and crownland of Austria, Galacia was called "Lesser Poland." At the time, the majority of the city was Polish; more than a quarter was Jewish; a small minority was Ukrainian; and a tiny percentage was Austro-German officials. However, the upper classes were distinctly Polish.
 
The eastern part of Galicia had belonged to Poland since the fourteenth century, but became Austrian at the first Polish partition in 1772, and it was returned to Poland in 1918. It is important to realize all this in order to understand Mises's cultural as well as psychological upbringing, and the roots of his life-philosophy. His Jewish roots, his Polish culture, his Austrian political frame and allegiance are all intertwined. Variety was the keynote of his background, and by the time he was twelve years old, he knew the Germanic, the Latin, the Cyrillic, the Greek, and the Hebraic script. As to languages, he spoke German, Polish, and French, and understood Ukrainian. The year he was born his grandfather — head of the Israeli Cult Community — was ennobled with the title Edler, which means The Noble, a distinction not so rare for Jews in the Austro-Hungarian Empire. His father, a very well-to-­do railroad enterpriser, made sure Ludwig got the very best classical education. He did the same for his other son, Richard, who became a professor of mathematics at the University of Berlin and then later at Harvard.
 
The Poles enjoyed complete freedom in "Lesser Poland," unlike in Russia or Prussia, and had two universities of their own. In the Austrian Parliament in Vienna, they played a very important role as true pillars of the multinational Habsburg Empire, and many Poles saw in that dynasty the future rulers of a liberated and resuscitated Poland.
 
We must keep in mind that long before the catastrophe of the partitions, the Poles, as an aristocratic nation, strongly upheld personal freedom. Movements for liberty, as a matter of fact, have typically been carried on by the nobility, which always opposed centralizing pressure and control. We saw this in England with the Magna Carta, in Hungary with the Golden Bull, in Aragon by the stubborn Grandes, and in France by the Fronde. In this respect, Poland went further; it became an elective monarchy in 1572 and called itself a republic. One of the slogans of this very independent nobility was: "Menace the foreign kings and resist your own!" Political power rested with the nobility, which (before the partitions) had no titles, and its claimants comprised a fifth of the population. (For a comparison, take Alpine Austria with a third of one percent or Prussia with much less!) It was a nobility without legal distinctions and a proverb said: "The nobleman in his farmhouse is equal to the magnate in his castle." And since all noblemen were equals, they could not be ruled by majorities. In the parliament, the Sejm, the opposition of a single man­ — the Liberum Veto — annulled any legal proposition.
 
A Sense of Freedom
This sense of freedom also pervaded the religious scene. Poland was not always a solidly Catholic country. In the sixteenth century it was one-third Presbyterian and one-third Unitarian (Socinian), but the Catholic Church regained its vast majority thanks largely to the Jesuits and their cultural endeavors: their schools accepted pupils from all denominations, and supported good architecture, painting, and, above all, theater. (The Jesuits were the initiators of our stage technology.) There was no inquisition, neither stake nor rope. Poland was, unlike England, the most tolerant European country. Polish liberty was such that when, in 1795, at the last partition, when the Free Royal Polish City of Danzig was incorporated by Prussia, the citizens, mostly German Lutherans, fought valiantly for their freedom. Many of the leading families emigrated, so the Schopenhauers went to Hanseatic Hamburg.
 
How did the Jews fare? They came to Poland in the fourteenth century, then a wholly agrarian country, at the invitation of King Casimir the Great, and they came mostly from Germany. In Germany they had the privilege to settle in ghettoes where they had complete self-government. (See Guido Kisch's magistral work, The Jews in Medieval Germany, Chicago, 1942.) Since by their own ritual they were not permitted to take more than 2,000 steps on the Sabbath, they could not dwell too far from the synagogue. Of course, efforts were made to convert them, and if they accepted baptism, they automatically — as relatives of our Lord — became members of the nobility. Antisemitism? As anywhere else, it came from very simple people to whom the descendants of Abraham seemed odd in their rituals, their clothing, their language, and their behavior, although orthodox Jews, above all, were people of great piety and honesty.
 
Poles and freedom! Not only in their own country did they practice it; Polish freedom fighters were active in many parts of the world. Two noblemen survive in the memory of the United States — Tadeusz Kosciuszko and Kazimierz Pulaski, the only U.S. general who died in the War of Independence on American soil. (Nor should one forget Henryk Dembinski and Józef Bem, who played a similar role in the Hungarian Rising of 1848–49.) In the battle of Liebnitz, the Poles and the German Knights diverted the Mongols from the plains of Northern Europe; the Poles defeated the Turks in 1683 at the gates of Vienna; and in 1920 they defeated the Bolsheviks in front of Warsaw. Three times they saved Western civilization. Does the world realize it? Of course not!
 
His Polish, more than his Jewish background, was decisive for Mises's earliest years, but that did not conflict with his attachment to Austria and the monarchy. Indeed, I met Mises for the first time in New York, in the company of our former crown prince, Archduke Otto von Habsburg, whom he greatly admired.
 
Young Ludwig did not study in one of the two linguistically Polish universities of Lwów or Cracow, but in Vienna. In order, however, to understand his intellectual growth, it is important to realize how the Continental system of education works. It differs radically from the Anglo-American pattern. After four years of elementary training, one enters — if the parents are ambitious — a school which remotely resembles a combination of high school and college lasting eight (in Germany, nine) years.
 
There are three models of that school: a classic one with eight years of Latin and six of Greek, a semi-classic with Latin and one or two modern languages, and a more scientific one with only modern languages. In all three types (the classic one being naturally more prestigious than the others), the local language, mathematics, geometry, history, geography, and religion are taught regularly; physics, chemistry, biology, and mineralogy only occasionally; and there is an introduction to philosophy in the classical for only two years. Often these very hard school years hung like a black cloud over families. Failure in just one subject required repetition of a whole year. This was the fate of Nietzsche, of Albert Einstein, and also of Friedrich August von Hayek! Young Mises, of course, got a classical education: the modern languages he learned privately.
 
Studying the Law
After getting his baccalaureate, Mises studied law. Here we have to explain the character of Continental universities which have no undergraduates: they are graduate schools pure and simple. They traditionally have four schools: of theology, law, medicine, and philosophy, the last covering a multitude of disciplines, almost all belonging to the humanities. The professors were chosen by the faculties, which constituted a self-perpetuating body.
 
On the Continent, the study of law — then as now — was radically different from legal studies in either Britain or in the United States. The first three semesters are dedicated entirely to the history and philosophy of civil and canon law. It is needless to say that in our countries we follow the tradition of a codified Roman law. Case histories play no role, because precedents would not bind us in any way. In the more practical areas which followed the long introduction, the study of economics is prominent.
 
Mises found the law lectures at the University of Vienna to be very one-sided and the teaching of economics, with a few exceptions, below par. Already as a young man he had a most critical sense. He was very much aware of the fact that our universities, all perfectly autonomous bodies, state-financed but not state-controlled, were inevitably dominated by cliques and factions; in the appointments, even family ties played a considerable role.
 
The rector was addressed as Your Magnificence, and the universities were so sacrosanct that the police were not permitted to enter them. Criminals hiding there had to be arrested by the Academic Legion, composed of students, and then were dragged outside where they were handed over to the "arm of the law." The freedom to teach was limitless. ("Academic freedom" is a term translated from German.) Even a professor, who, instead of lecturing, read newspapers, could not be dismissed. Every professor had tenure up to the age of sixty-five or sixty-seven, when he had to retire at eighty-two percent of his final salary. The qualities of the professor as a teacher bore no weight: the professor was expected not to be an educator, but a scholar who gave the students a chance to listen to him. It is obvious that this system had serious drawbacks, but the professors, nevertheless, had immense status. As a matter of fact, no career was considered to be so desirable as that of a university professor, with the possible exception of the diplomatic corps and the general staff.
 
To Be a Professor
I mention all these details because they played a major role in the life of Mises. As one can imagine, it was his ambition from his student days to become a professor. (The same was true of his brother, Richard.) Yet Ludwig's dream was never completely fulfilled, neither in his home country nor in the New World. The primary reason for this was that the universities of Austria, and especially that of Vienna, were dominated by two factions: the National Liberal and the Left. There was also a very small minority of professors who could be termed "Clerical" Conservatives. Bear in mind, however, that Emperor Francis-Joseph, who symbolized that whole age in Austria, was a Liberal in the worldwide (as opposed to the American) sense, and that the Liberal parties for a very long time dominated the Austrian scene until 1908, when the disastrous "one man-one vote" principle was introduced. Conservatism in Austria was limited to the church, the army, the aristocracy, and part of the peasantry. It had no influence in the administration, in the schools, and not really at court.
 
A Strange Synthesis
The synthesis of ethnic nationalism (German, Czech, Polish, Slovene, Italian, or Ukrainian), and classical liberalism, might seem a bit strange to Americans, but it was nevertheless a reality. A similar situation prevailed in Germany where Bismarck, originally a Conservative and a Prussian patriot, had broken with the Conservatives and received wholehearted support from the National Liberal party, whose backers were the grande bourgeoisie moneyed interests, big industry, and the adherents of a mild form of Pan-Germanism. The National Liberals were also motivated by an anticlerical bias directed against the Catholic rather than against the Lutheran clergy. Bismarck's Kulturkampf, his struggle against the Catholic Church leading to the imprisonment of bishops, the expulsion of the Jesuits, and the introduction of compulsory civil marriage (aping the French), fit very well into this pattern. Obviously, all this was not to the liking of Prussian Conservatives, to whom Bismarck was a man of the Left. Of course, the "Iron Chancellor" was anything but a traditionalist. The new German flag, Prussia's black and silver, was broadened with the red of the Revolution. Prussian Conservatives naturally stuck to the old colors.
 
In Germany, as well as in Austria, two areas, which prior to the German-Prussian War of 1866 had belonged to the Austrian-led German League, the National Liberals were, oddly enough, culturally and politically, though not economically, Liberals. As nationalists they wanted a strong state and thus they were by nature interventionists; in order to arrest the growth of socialism, they promoted the Provider State. Bismarck alternatively fought the Socialists (who called themselves Social Democrats) or cooperated with them, especially in the earlier days when Ferdinand Lasalle was still alive, a man hated by Marx who persecuted him with the worst antisemitic insults.
 
This fact has to be faced: our German Liberals were secretly state-worshippers because they hoped that a powerful state would break the "forces of yesterday." Hence they were by no means identical with, let us say, the British Liberals of the Gladstone type. Thus a situation arose, even in the Austrian universities, in which Liberals and Socialists were not so far apart. Yet, at the same time, one also could perceive the growth of some sort of Romantic Catholic Conservatism that was anti-capitalist, anti-liberal, and anti-socialist. It was desperately looking for an economic "Third Way" and, unavoidably, toyed with the idea of a state based on the ancient corporations and guilds rather than on parties. There always existed a Continental Catholic Conservatism based on a deep-seated suspicion of the Calvinist and Lutheran manufacturers and the Jewish bankers. (In 1930, of the ten regents of the Bank of France, five where Protestants, four were Jews, and one was "nondescript.") Hence, also, the Catholic opposition against "Old Liberalism." One finds this clearly in Article eighty of the famous Syllabus Errorum.
 
Four Schools
Here again we have to inject another digression. There are four genuine Liberalisms. Pre-Liberalism's outstanding representative is Adam Smith (and one might add: Edmund Burke). The Pre-Liberals did not use the Liberal label simply because this term was only born in 1812, when it was applied to the supporters of the Spanish Constitution of Cadiz. The Liberal appellation was promptly adopted in France, and in 1816 Southey used the Spanish word liberales for the first time in an English text, and Sir Walter Scott spoke of libéraux with a French spelling. Soon we see the rise of the "Early Liberals" on the Continent, mostly aristocrats with Catholic roots, initiating an intellectual movement which lasted until the end of the nineteenth century. Tocqueville, Montalembert, and Acton were its main representatives, but I would like to add the name of an agnostic Basel patrician — Jacob Burekhardt. This second phase of Liberalism had a primarily cultural and political, not an economic character. The Old Liberals constituted a third phase.
 
Mises's Liberalism
This is where Mises more or less fitted in. The Old Liberals were strongly interested in economics, but also in cultural and political matters; they were "progressive," anticlerical, in philosophic matters profoundly skeptical, and convinced that dogmatic beliefs automatically led to intolerance. They frequently (though not always) failed to share the antidemocratic feelings of the Early Liberals, favored the separation of church and state, and not rarely were allied with (deistic) Free­masonry.
 
The Neo-Liberals appeared only after World War II. They were strongly inspired by Early Liberalism and differed from the Old Liberals by their greater sympathy for Christian values, their greater toleration for some state intervention, and their leanings toward Conservatism. Their most eloquent spokesman was Wilhelm Röpke. The rupture between Old and New Liberals became evident in 1961 when the Neo-Liberals left the Mont Pèlerin Society. However, what today is called Liberalism in the United States (and nowhere else) is the very opposite of all forms of Liberalism and is nothing but watered-down socialism. North America, being a gigantic island in the world ocean, is frequently the victim of the perversion of terms. I described the sad fate of the term "Liberalism" in the United States in an essay published by the Intercollegiate Review (Fall 1997). To confuse my readers even more, let me mention the fact that I write for a Polish periodical called Stáncyzk which calls itself Conservative, Liberal, and Monarchist.
 
National Liberalism
Still, the Germanic type of National Liberalism held illiberal, mercantilistic views in the domain of economics. Reflecting upon the collectivistic character of Nationalismus, our word for ethnicism, this is not so surprising. Any collectivism must come into conflict with genuine Liberalism. The old order, in our part of the world, was "vertical" and patriotic, not "horizontal" and nationalistic. Our dynasties, as a rule, had foreign origins, were ethnically mixed, and usually married foreigners. The same was true of the aristocracy. With the powerful rise of the middle classes all this was challenged. And it was obvious that Mises did not feel Jewish or Polish or German, but Austrian. With profound anxiety he looked into the future, terrified that collectivism — ethnic and socialist­ — would tear the monarchy asunder. He feared once the Dual Monarchy was destroyed, the area would fall under the sway of Berlin or Moscow or be partitioned between them. All these events took place between 1938 and 1945. The immediate menace, however, was what Sir Denis Brogan and Raymond Aron called "The Second War of Austrian Succession," which started in 1914, to be followed by a third one in 1939.
 
Mises Stands Alone
All these frightening historic events Mises faced as an isolated thinker. He never fully belonged to a specific camp. He was always a square peg in a round hole, a fact which Friedrich August von Hayek emphasized in his preface to Mises's memoirs entitled Erinnerungen (Stuttgart, 1978). He said that one knew Jews who were confirmed leftist intellectuals of the socialist stamp, one also knew Jewish bankers and industrialists who advocated free enterprise, but here was a solid thinker who stood for a truly rightist, genuinely liberal doctrine. To make matters worse, Mises was consciously a nobleman, a true gentleman, who rejected all compromise and never concealed his thoughts or his convictions. If somebody or something was plainly stupid, he said so, nor could he tolerate cowardice or ignorance. A man with these qualities was suspect to the philistines who were so well represented in the various departments of our universities. Thus he had difficulties even in becoming a privatdozent (an unpaid assistant professor) and later an ausserordentlicher Professor (let us call it an unpaid associate professor). He never became a full professor. Envy, the old cancer of Austria (and not only of Austria), made itself felt especially in the domains of intellectual and artistic life — and that included the universities.
 
Besides studying the humanities, Mises concentrated on economics. Without a certain philosophic, theological, psychological, historic, and geographic background, economics is not understandable. The "economist" who knows nothing but finance, production, and sales data is, according to Mises (and to all devotees of the Austrian School), a barbarian— and a bad economist. Of course, the Austrian, especially the Viennese scene, even during the First Republic, which lived off the intellectual capital accumulated during the monarchy, provided Mises with a rich heritage. It was also obvious that many brilliant minds were not connected with the university. Freud had merely the honorary title of a professor, but no professorship. (Nor had his antagonist, Alfred Adler.) Freud was politically a man of the Right — vide also his devastating judgment of Woodrow Wilson. The situation in Germany was not dissimilar: neither Schopenhauer nor Spengler were university professors.
 
Vienna's Intellectual Scene
The intellectual scene in Vienna was rich, richer than in Berlin, because Vienna, until 1918 was the metropolis of an empire comprising a dozen nationalities and six large religious bodies. The German-speaking area had, however, no intellectual center like France — ­with Paris and the Sorbonne. The University of Vienna was just one of the many places of higher learning, but there remains the impressive fact that if one speaks of the "Austrian School" one has to make it clear which of the Austrian Schools is meant. There is a musical, ethnological, philosophical and, last, but by no means least, an Austrian Economic School known all over the world except in Austria itself. Mises was one of the most outstanding representatives of this Austrian School, along with Friedrich August von Hayek.
 
The Chamber of Commerce
Given the opposition Mises encountered at the university, he looked for steady employment in the Handelskammer, the semi-official Chamber of Commerce. After 1920, the Austrian government was mostly in the hands of the Christian Social Party, a Clerical­ — Conservative party, which eventually fathered the dictatorship of Dollfuss and his Patriotic Front. This party had to fight the international socialists, and, later, the National Socialists. Mises, as an agnostic and a genuine Liberal, had no innate enthusiasm for the Christian Socials, but, judging Austria's precarious situation dispassionately, knew that a decent, responsible man had to collaborate with that government. As a financial and economic advisor, he had close contacts with the Federal Chancellor, Monsignor Seipel, whom he called "a noble priest," a wonderful man who eventually died from a bullet fired by a Socialist fanatic. (Dollfuss was later murdered by the National Socialists.) Mises's advice was often taken, but at other times ignored. Let us bear in mind that in the years of a clerical government, this aristocratic Jewish intellectual was an "odd man out," and fit into no established pattern.
 
The Menace of Socialism
Mises had a most constructive mind, but given the situation of the First Austrian Republic, he was and remained a pessimist because he realized that he lived in an age when the appetites and the idiocies of the masses dominated the scene. The sole advantage he saw in democracy was the same one emphasized by Sir Karl Popper, i.e., the bloodless transition from one government to another, though Mises also knew only too well that such a change could be for the worse, infinitely worse if one remembers the years 1932–33 in Germany. Reading his Erinnerungen one is struck by his contempt not only for the Spiesser, the philistine, but also for the unthinking masses. One should not forget that, as Allan Bloom told us in The Closing of the American Mind, first-rate European minds were always on the Right. Mises, naturally, had no political ambitions, but as an independent thinker, he wanted to be heard. He always expressed his views in a straightforward manner, and tolerated no cant.
 
In the First Republic (1918–1933), he saw not only the incompetence of the various governments, the totalitarian menace of socialism, and German nationalism — racism degenerating into National Socialism, but also the bottomless ignorance and weakness of the Western Powers, which gave the small Alpine Republic no effective help. The only possible protector of Austria was Fascist Italy, which, unlike France or Britain, bordered on the remainders of the Danubian monarchy, but Anthony Eden drove Mussolini into Hitler's hands. "The British are simply unteachable!" was Mises's frequent outcry. He foresaw the Anschluss (blessed by the "democracies") and, just in time, accepted an invitation from the Institut Universitaire des Hautes Etudes, a postgraduate school in Geneva, where after 1934 he taught while still keeping in touch with his beloved Chamber of Commerce in Vienna. But even in Geneva he did not feel completely safe and the Swiss government, terrified by the aggressiveness of the Third Reich, tried to silence the refugees living within its borders. Thus, Mises strove for the safer shores of the New World, and succeeded in attaining them during the war.
 
Mises as Teacher
How effective was he as a teacher? His lectures at the University of Vienna were well attended and he put the emphasis, quite naturally, on his seminar. But most professors disliked Mises, and a student whose record proved that he had studied under him was treated with the utmost severity. Thus some of the students asked Mises to admit them to his seminar without entering this fact in the Index, the passbook. Needless to say these timid students did not receive "credit" (to use an American expression) for the seminar. They simply wanted to profit from the richness of the thought of this intellectual giant. The works of his colleagues are by now all forgotten, but the unpopular Mises lives on, and will do so for all time to come. Whether those in power will follow his advice and take heed of his admonitions is, of course, a very different matter.
 
The Private Seminar
Besides the official seminars attended by ordinary students, Mises, always eager to spread his ideas, also held a private seminar. In one large room of the Chamber of Commerce, he invited every fortnight a group of postgraduate students and persons of distinction, men and women, who later in their lives left their mark in the field of economics and other domains. Here I would like to mention Friedrich Engel von Jánosi, a noted Austrian historian, who also taught in American universities. But the three best known economists in the group were Friedrich August von Hayek, Gottfried von Haberler, and Fritz Machlup, all three later became professors in the United States. Hayek, I would like to point out, did not start out as an economist, but as a biologist. He took part in the last year of World War I (trying, like Mises, who was quite gravely wounded, to prevent the "world from being made safe for democracy"). This experience changed his mind. He decided to take up a career which would bring him in contact with people, with real life, and not leave him isolated in a laboratory. But, as one knows from his writings, he never gave up his interest in the hard sciences as well as the other humanities, above all political science.
 
Economics, too, can be housed in an ivory tower, but in such a structure Mises refused to live. He who remained a bachelor for such a long time enjoyed wholeheartedly the social life of imperial Vienna and even of the much shabbier republican Vienna. What could Vienna offer to a cultured man like Mises? There was a plethora of authors — Schnitzler, Zweig, Broch; composers like von Webern, Mahler, Berg, Schönberg; and philosophers like Carnap, Schlick, and Wittgenstein. Max Weber was guest-professor in Vienna and he became a close friend of Mises. There were also names such as Robert von Musil, Rainer Maria Rilke, Hugo von Hofmannsthal, painters like Kokoschka, Klimt or Schiele, and not forgetting the great medical men, many of them members of the nobility, who enjoyed in Vienna a status available nowhere else. In the republic they were honored on coins and stamps. In addition, there were the great entertainments: first-rate concerts, the two opera houses, the Burgtheater, the Emperor's private theater, but quite naturally accessible to the public, the Theater in der Josefsstadt, Reinhardt's repertory theater, where the most original plays were staged, and many other well subsidized theaters. Mises was a great theater goer and the other fine arts meant a great deal to him. As a cultured Continental, he obviously loved to read what we, in German, called schöngeistige Literatur (and in French belles lettres) — not just "fiction." When I met Mises the first time he deplored the death of Robert von Musil in his Swiss exile. I can understand why Mises admired the work of Musil, a somewhat kindred and "very Austrian" soul. Mises needed the arts to counter his growing melancholia mixed with a real indignation at the gradual collapse of Western civilization and culture to which he was so deeply attached.
 
Mises in America
In the United States, Mises had a considerable resonance in what are called conservative and libertarian circles. His university career, however, was hampered by pettiness and prejudices similar to those he had encountered in Vienna — although they came from very different quarters. Without the aid of generous foundations, his living conditions would have remained rather limited. It is a well-known fact that scholarly books of a truly high level do not become bestsellers (although Human Action was a selection of the Book of the Month Club).
 
Mises, as one could expect, had a good grasp of the American scene. He quickly discovered the socio-psychological reasons why academic America was veering to the Left. To the halls of academe Mises seemed a very eccentric thinker laboring under the "Germanic shortcoming" of a far too systematic, rigid, and uncompromising way of reasoning. He was, indeed, not prepared to "assimilate" to his surroundings. He was perhaps not generally liked, but had faithful disciples and, very deservedly, genuine admirers. He preached individualism and was an individualist. Adverse to all shilly-shallying, he did not strive for popularity, but for truth. To many Americans and Englishmen, some of his ideas appeared hyperbolic, as for instance, to hand over the mail to private enterprise (today a reality in many countries). He was not a "regular fellow," but very much a gentleman of the old school, and, above all, a great scholar who had rediscovered forgotten permanent truths and deflated new superstitions. He never gave up. He battled until his last breath. Perhaps he remembered the first line of the Polish National Hymn, which he heard often in his childhood: "Poland is not lost yet!" Since then it has risen twice from the ashes. Well, freedom is not lost yet, if we, like Ludwig Edler von Mises, really fight for it.
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