2019년 4월 30일 화요일



https://twitter.com/trish_regan/status/1123215263716003843

시민들을 향해 총을 쏘는 마두로의 군대. 우리의 미래가 될지 모른다.
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산후조리 포기하고 무대 참가? 희로애락 가득한 정미애! [내일은 미스트롯] 2회 20190307



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독재기구 공수처 (황성욱 변호사의 법조이야기 ; 4월 30일)



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중국의 공격적 행위에 대해 미국이 무관용 정책을 만들고 있다.
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파멜라 워너라는 소녀가 1937년 북경에서 살해되었는데, 진범이 잡히지 않은 채 당시의 혼란스런 상황 속에서 묻히고 말았다. 그런데 2011년 폴 프렌치라는 사람이 그 사건을 소재로 소설을 발표해 국제적인 베스트셀러가 되었다. 그리고 이번에 다시 영국인 셰퍼드라는 사람이 다른 시각의 책을 발표했다. 


중국어로 번역된 프렌치의 소설
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미국 버몬트
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광화문 광장이 언제 촛불 전용 광장이 되어 있었네!
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죽을 때가 되었나, 이제 바른 소리 하네.
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사진 한 장으로 설명해주는 자본주의와 사회주의
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파괴는 좌파들의 전매특허이다.
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책 앞에 쓰인 글이 충격적이다. <책이 집필된 당시의 가치를 반영했으므로, 그리고 인종, 
젠더, 성 등에 관한 견해는 이후로 많이 변하였으므로, 옳지 않을 수 있다>는 내용이다. 인류의 모든 문화와 사상이 좌파들의 족쇄에 갇히게 되었다. 
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지구적으로 사고하고, 지역적으로 행동하라. 
하지만 지구적으로 사고하기에는 현재의 세계는 너무나 복잡하다. 
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수학은 실험과학이다, 정의는 처음이 아니라 나중에 온다.
우상숭배는 가짜 신만이 아니라, 거짓된 악마를 추대함으로써 시작된다.
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나이지리아 10대 소년이 주사기와 물로 포클레인 장난감을 움직이고 있다.



https://twitter.com/i/status/1121536806921670656

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좌파들의 비난과 항의로 인해, 노아 칼이라는 학자가 캠브리지에서 해직되었다.
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백인 우월주의의 특징들
개인주의, 객관성, 가부장주의 등
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아르헨티나 경제가 망가져가는 5가지 이유
 페소화의 구매력이 떨어지고 있다.
인플레정책을 고수하고 있다.
세금이 과하다.
GDP7.2%에 이를 정도로 정부의 지출이 과하다.
보호무역주의로 인해 산업이 경쟁력 상실하다

Five Reasons for the Weakness of the Argentine Economy
 
Daniel Lacalle
 
Argentina has been “printing money for the people” MMT-style for many years. Its wrongly-called “inclusive monetary policy” of the past-print money to finance massive government spending- has driven the country to massive inflation and depression.
 
This is the main reason why a country with an excellent education, human capital, and high economic potential has third-world inflation rates.
 
Argentina inflation rose to 54% annualized last week. Bonds spreads soared to 854 Bps, the two-year Credit Default Swap (CDS) is at 1094 bps; and the five-year at 948 Bps. But the country’s governments blame inflation on anything except its insane monetary policy
 
The Argentine economy is more fragile and vulnerable than similar ones. However, Argentina is also one of the countries with the highest economic potential. There are five essential factors to understand the weakness of the economy:
 
The Peso. Despite the dovish policies of the Federal Reserve and the change of course in the process of normalization, the Peso is, again, the worst performing currency against the dollar in 2019. The dollar index has not moved much against its basket of currencies, therefore, it is the disastrous monetary policy that made the Peso plummet. A weak currency is a danger to the stability of the country and the successive governments only seem to want to patch up the mistaken monetary policy of the Central Bank. A weak Peso does not make the Argentine economy more competitive or export more, as reality shows. If the country does not address in a serious and determined way the error of maintaining a currency in a constant process of destruction of its purchasing power, it will simply move from crisis to crisis again.

Monetary policy is also seriously inflationary. Not by mistake, but by design. Governments prefer to see high inflation and blame an inexistent external enemy than to stop financing the bloated public spending with newly printed currency. The loss of purchasing power of the currency is added to an inflation rate that should not correspond to a country with the potential and human capital of Argentina. Argentina has been, for many years, a country with the potential of a developed economy and a monetary policy of a third-world country. It has followed the MMT recommendations for years. Many claim that dollarization would be worse because it was already attempted and led to a crisis, except that this argument is false. Argentina did not dollarize, it carried out an exchange rate subterfuge by pegging the Peso to the US Dollar with a completely inflated exchange rate that led to the accumulation of imbalances. Argentina did not have dollars, it had pesos in disguise. Dollarization is what Ecuador did, abandoning the sucre, which allowed the country to avoid a Venezuelan-style hyperinflation.

Very high taxes. Argentina’s tax wedge remains the highest in the region and one of the highest for companies in the world,. This constant expropriation of wealth via currency devaluation, inflation and taxes work as a huge barrier to international investment, growth and job creation. In Argentina, one always hears that “tax revenues are low” and that therefore taxes cannot be cut. However, raising them puts a lid on job creation, productive investment and the attraction of capital, and revenues are even lower.

High government expenditure. Denying the depressive effect of extractive political spending, within a public expenditure that already reaches more than 45% of GDP, is a problem for a country with high potential. It not only is the highest public expenditure in the region but the most inefficient according to the Inter-American Development Bank. The inefficiency of public spending in Argentina reaches 7.2% of GDP.

The loopholes of protectionism. According to the global competitiveness index of the World Economic Forum, Argentina is ranked 92 out of 137 countries. The deterioration trend generated between 2012 and 2015 has been reduced for three years, but the challenges are important. One of them is to eliminate the loopholes of anti-trade and protectionist measures imposed from the short-sighted perception that protectionism would replace imports and strengthen the economy while printing money would spur growth. There are still significant recesses of that period that act as a disincentive to growth and, above all, as a warning to global investors who prefer to avoid long-term and capital intensive investment in Argentina.
It is true that some measures have been taken to reverse these elements of fragility, but reforms must be more courageous to prevent the economy from falling further in 2019 and 2020.
 
It is not easy to change wrong “neo Keynesian” policies of the Kirchner era without recognizing the enormous monetary and fiscal hole created by the previous administration, but if the reforms are not decisive and clear, the Argentine economy will continue to be fragile and more vulnerable to economic cycles than other similar ones. Argentina is a great country with terrible monetary and fiscal policies. With such potential for growth and employment, it is worthwhile to be brave and put an end to the remnants of past wrong policies.
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2019년 4월 29일 월요일

황교안

“2019년 4월30일 새벽, 저의 부르짖음을 들어주십시오”
  결국, 저들은 패스트트랙 지정안을 통과시켰습니다. 좌파 세력들은 의회 쿠데타에 성공했습니다. 문재인 세력들은 독재를 위한 마지막 퍼즐을 완성했습니다. 의회민주주의의 길을 파괴시키고 좌파독재의 길을 열었습니다.
  
  결국, 촛불은 국민을 위한 촛불이 아니었습니다. 문재인 정권은 자유민주주의와 헌법을 지키라는 촛불정신을 날치기하고 강탈하고 독점하였습니다. 행정부를 불태우고 사법부를 불태우고 입법부를 불태웠습니다. 경제를 불태우고 민생을 불태우고 희망마저 불태웠습니다. 폭력을 위한 촛불이었습니다. 야합을 위한 촛불이었습니다. 독재를 위한 촛불이었습니다. 
  
  이제는, 이제는, 이제는 국민을 위한 정의의 횃불을 듭시다. 독재 세력들이 든 ‘독재 촛불’에 맞서, 우리는 ‘자유민주주의 횃불’을 높이 듭시다. 활활활 타오르는 불빛으로 투쟁합시다. 활활활 타오르는 분노로 투쟁합시다. 활활활 타오르는 저항으로 투쟁합시다. 그 타오름은 여의도를 밝히고, 광화문을 밝히고, 자유민주주의를 밝히고, 헌법을 밝히고, 경제를 밝히고, 민생을 밝히고, 희망을 밝히고, 대한민국을 밝힐 것입니다. 
  
  이제는, 이제는, 이제는 5천만 대한민국의 이름으로, 좌파독재에 맞서 저를 하얗게 불태우겠습니다. 2019년 4월30일 새벽, 저의 부르짖음을 들어주십시오. 함께 해주십시오.

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출처: 일베
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일단 시도해 보기 전에는 자신의 역량을 알 수가 없다. 문제는, 미국의 정책 담당자들이 미국이 쇠퇴하고 있다는 오판에 기초해, 시도조차 하지 않는다는 것이다. 

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중국이 대만 해협을 차단할 수도, 대만을 병탄할 수도 없다는 사실을 알려야 한다.
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2009년 시진핑이 멕시코에서 한 말
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중국이 말하는 일대일로

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Is China Really Becoming a Current Account Deficit Country? (Part 1 of 2)

Houze Song

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고위공직자부패수사처 
이 괴물같은 조직은 전국의 모든 일반 행정 기관과 사법권을 갖는 각종 수사기관들 위에 군림하여 호령하는 조직으로 설계되어 있다.
공수처는 두려워할 공(恐)자 공수처다. 

1. 관할권

우선 각급 기관의 범죄수사를 공수처가 직접 담당할 지, 검찰에 넘길지는 전적으로 공수처장이 결정한다. 검찰이 수사를 하는 중에도 공수처의 부패범죄수사와 중복되는 다른 기관의 범죄수사는 공수처로 이첩하여야 한다(법 제20조1항)  범죄수사의 최종 결정권자요 검찰을 수하에 두고 지시 명령할 수 있는 조직 위의 조직이며 최고의 통제권을 갖는 궁극적 권력이다. 

2. 감시하라! 고발하라!

문제는 21조 2항이다. 공무원이 직무수행 중 고위공직자의 범죄 사실 등을 알게 된 때에는 공수처에 이를 고발하여야 한다. 그리되면 고발과 감시가 국가 기관내부에 구조화된다.  고발하여야 할 자가 고발하지 않으면 당연히 직무유기의 처벌이 뒤따를 것이다. 

3. 검찰과 공수처의 관계는, 현재 경찰과 검사의 관계보다 더 지독하다!


공수처는 검사에게 사건을 송치할 때 공소제기에 대한 의견을 제시하도록 규정하고 있다. 검찰은 당연히 공수처 검사가 시키는 대로 할 수 밖에 없을 것이다. 

4. 인민의 칼춤을 춘다

공수처법 제22조 2항은 검찰이 "이건 불기소"라고 내린 결론이 마음에 들지 않으면 공수처는 그 이유를 언론과 대중에게 공개하고 사건을 여론의 인민재판으로 끌고 갈 수 있다. 무서운 인민재판이 시작되는 것이다.

5. 권력 위의 권력

법 제 25조는 ‘관계기관과의 협조’라는 이상한 제목을 갖고 있다. 공수처장은 이 법이 정하는 직무를 수행하기 위해 필요하다고 인정하는 경우 국가 또는 지방자치단체, 그 밖의 (모든) 공공기관의 장에게 협조를 요청할 수 있다.

6. 공포의 대왕

 고위 공무원은 물론 판사와 검사, 경찰에 이어 지자체장, 심지어 군 장성들도 이 법이 규찰하는 잠재적 피의자다. “협조해야 한다!”


7. 공수처장
 공수처는 관련된 모든 수사기관과 국가기관에 지원을 요청하거나 협조를 요청할 수 있다는 것이다. 이런 권력은 없었다. 대한민국이 그의 손 아래에 놓이게 되었다. 


정규재 대표 겸 주필의 논설 요약

[출처] 공수처가 재앙이자 괴물인 이유 ㄷㄷㄷㄷㄷㄷ
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22분부터
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스크루턴은 문명의 이슬람에 반대하는 게 아니라, 
이슬람주의자들에 반대하는 것이다.
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Stefan Gasic
It's so insightful that I had to draw a rare [for me] Sunday comic strip about it. Hopefully it does your piece justice ... can't help you with the math though ;-)
탈레브의 주장을 만화로 그린 것
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From Wendell Berry's The Unsettling of America, 1977.


웬델 베리의 놀라운 통찰. 전문가들은 한 가지에 특화된 사람들인데, 교육가들은 가르칠 게 없고, 의사들은 병의 값비싼 치료에 능숙하지만, 그 병의 예방에는 관심이 없다. 또 발명가, 제조업자, 세일즈맨 등은 그들의 제품이 미칠 영향에는 생각이 없다. 따라서 전문화는 장인정신, 배려, 양심, 책임감 등의 다양한 기능을 제도적으로 파괴하는 방법이기도 하다.

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정책은 경험적 증거에 의해 뒷받침 되어야 한다.
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교육이란 계속적인 용서의 과정이어야 한다.
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중앙은행은 적절한 화폐의 공급을 통해 호황과 불황의 순환을 피할 수 있을까?
대부분의 경제학자들은 경제가 성장하면 돈에 대한 수요가 많아지므로, 시장에 돈을 더 투입해야한다고 믿는다. 만일 그렇게 하지 않으면 상품과 서비스의 가격이 떨어지고 경기 침체가 온다는 것이다.
따라서 연방준비위원회(중앙은행)의 기능은 돈에 대한 수요와 공급의 균형을 유지하는 일이다.
그들의 생각에는 돈에 대한 수요가 돈의 공급을 흡수하므로, 화폐 공급의 증가에는 영향을 미치지 않는다는 것이다.
하지만 로스바드가 지적했듯이, 돈은 그 자체로 소비될 수 없고, 또 생산과정에서 재화로서 직접 이용될 수도 없다. 돈의 역할은 교환의 매개체로서의 역할이다.
돈의 매개를 통해 다양한 상품들이 시장에서 사고 팔리는 것이다.
사람들이 돈을 원하는 이유는, 기타의 상품이나 서비스로 교환하기 위해서이다. 따라서 돈의 공급은 돈에 대한 수요에 의해 흡수되지 않고, 상품과 서비스에 대한 수요를 증가시킨다.
자유로운 시장에서는 돈이 부족하다거나 남아돈다는 현상은 나타나지 않는다. 단지 돈의 가치가 오르거나 내릴 뿐이다.
연방준비위원회가 시장에 돈을 퍼부으면, 호황과 불황의 악순환이 시작된다.
 
Can Central Banks Avoid Booms and Busts with the "Right" Amount of Money Creation?
 
Frank Shostak
 
Most economists are of the view that a growing economy requires a growing money stock, because economic growth gives rise to a greater demand for money, which must be accommodated.
 
Failing to do so, it is maintained, will lead to a decline in the prices of goods and services, which in turn will destabilize the economy and lead to an economic recession or, even worse, depression.
 
For most economists and commentators, the main role of the Fed is to keep the supply and the demand for money in equilibrium. Whenever an increase in the demand for money occurs, to maintain the state of equilibrium, the accommodation of the demand for money by the Fed is considered a necessary action to keep the economy on a path of economic and price stability.
 
As long as the growth rate of money supply does not exceed the growth rate of the demand for money, then the accommodation of the increase in the demand for money is not considered as money printing.
 
Note that on this way of thinking, the growth rate in the demand for money absorbs the growth rate of the supply of money, and hence no effective increase in the supply of money occurs. So from this perspective, no harm is inflicted on the economy.
 
The Meaning of Demand for Money
Now, a demand for a good is not a demand for a particular good as such but a demand for the services that the good offers. For instance, an individual demands food because food provides the necessary elements that sustain his life and well-being.
 
Demand here means that people want to consume the food in order to secure the necessary elements that sustain their life and wellbeing. This is, however, not the case with respect to money. According to Rothbard,
 
Money, per se, cannot be consumed and cannot be used directly as a producers' good in the productive process. Money per se is therefore unproductive; it is dead stock and produces nothing.
 
Money's main job is simply to fulfill the role of the medium of exchange. By fulfilling the role as a medium of exchange, money just facilitates the flow of goods and services between producers and consumers.
 
With the help of money, various goods become more marketable they can be exchanged for more goods than in a barter economy. What enables this is the fact that money is the most marketable commodity.
 
An increase in the general demand for money, let us say, on account of a general increase in the production of goods, doesn’t imply that individuals’ want to sit on the money and do nothing with it. The key reason an individual has a demand for money is in order to be able to exchange money for other goods and services.
 
Therefore, in this sense an increase in the supply of money is not going to be absorbed by a corresponding increase in the demand for money, as will be the case with various goods.
 
An increase in the supply of apples is absorbed by the increase in the demand for apples (i.e. people want to consume more apples). For instance, the supply of apples, which increased by 5%, is absorbed by the increase in the demand for apples by 5%. The same cannot however, be said with regard to the increase in the supply of money, which has taken place in response to the same increase in the demand for money.
 
Again, contrary to other goods, an increase in the demand for money implies an increase in the demand to employ money to facilitate transactions.
 
Consequently, an increase in the supply of money to accommodate a corresponding increase in the demand for money is going to set in motion all the negatives that an increase in the money supply does.
 
Furthermore, when we talk about demand for money, what we really mean is the demand for money's purchasing power. After all, people do not want a greater amount of money in their pockets but they want a greater purchasing power in their possession. According to Mises,
 
The services money renders are conditioned by the height of its purchasing power. Nobody wants to have in his cash holding a definite number of pieces of money or a definite weight of money; he wants to keep a cash holding of a definite amount of purchasing power.
 
Once the market has chosen a particular commodity as money, the given stock of this commodity will always be sufficient to secure the services that money provides.
 
In a free market, in similarity to other goods, the price of money is determined by supply and demand. Consequently, if there is less money, its exchange value will increase. Conversely, the exchange value will fall when there is more money.
 
Within the framework of a free market, there cannot be such thing as "too little" or "too much" money. As long as the market is allowed to clear, no shortage or surplus of money can emerge.
 
According to Mises:
 
As the operation of the market tends to determine the final state of money's purchasing power at a height at which the supply of and the demand for money coincide, there can never be an excess or deficiency of money. Each individual and all individuals together always enjoy fully the advantages which they can derive from indirect exchange and the use of money, no matter whether the total quantity of money is great, or small. . . . the services which money renders can be neither improved nor repaired by changing the supply of money. . . . The quantity of money available in the whole economy is always sufficient to secure for everybody all that money does and can do.
 
Conclusion
It is held that if the Fed accommodates an increase in the demand for money this accommodation should not be regarded as an increase in the supply of money as such. But this accommodation, as any other accommodation by the Fed, results in an increase in money supply, and thus an exchange of nothing for something. This sets in motion the menace of the boom-bust cycle.
 
 
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2019년 4월 28일 일요일

대한민국이 적화 위기에 처했다. 더블당이 4개 법안을 패스

트트랙에 올려 통과시키면, 사회주의 독재체제가 거의 완성

된다. 

이제 자한당은 더 이상 머뭇거릴 시간이 없다. 박 대통령의 

탄핵에서 문제를 풀어가지 않으면, 이 사태는 해결하기가 힘

들다. 자한당은 지난 탄핵이 불법이었고, 그들이 더블당의 반

역적 촛불 혁명의 조역이었음을 고백하고, 국민에게 용서를 

구해야 한다. 


광화문에 몰린 성난 군중이 두려웠거나, 아니면 뉴스를 온통 

뒤덮은 박 대통령의 가짜 뉴스를 믿었거나, 또는 파벌간의 다

툼에 눈이 어두워서, 어리석게도 좌파들의 통일전선 전술에 

놀아났고, 그래서 그들의 반역에 가담했다는 것을 국민앞에 

고백하고, 용서를 구한 다음, 나라가 적화 위기에 처했으니 

모두 나와 싸워달라고 호소해야 한다. 

그리고 이제부터는 제2의 6. 25 전쟁의 심정으로 우파의 모

든 역량을 결집해 문죄인 좌파세력과 싸우지 않으면, 가망이 

없다.
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나경원 원내대표
우리 자유한국당의 헌법수호 대국민 저항을 두고 ‘불법이다. 폭력이다. 기득권을 지키려는 발악이다’라는 등의 고도의 프레임 공작으로 지금 민주당이 왜곡하고 있다. ‘우리는 왜 저항하는가. 우리는 왜 싸워야 하는가’ 오늘 이 자리를 통해서 국민들 앞에 쉽게 설명 드리겠다.
헌법이 있다. 헌법을 지키기 위한 저항권은 민주시민의 절대적인 권력이다. 권리이다. 헌법파괴 세력과 싸우지 않는 정치인, 이는 최대의 직무유기이다. 지금 문재인 정권과 좌파야합 세력은 헌법을 파괴하고 있다. 그것에 대한 반대투쟁은 방어권이다.
패스트트랙은 한마디로 법안심사 기간을 못 박아버리는 제도이다. 결국 야당의 법안심사권을 무력화하는 것이다. 아직도 사개특위, 정개특위는 6월까지 활동시한이 있다. 그러나 이 패스트트랙에 태움으로서 야당을 압박하고, 야당의 법안심사권을 박탈하는 것이다. 선거법에 대해서 말한다. ‘선거법, 공수처법은 국민이 여망하는 것이다’ 이것 또한 기망이다. 민주당이 만든 선거법, 연동형 비례대표제가 무엇인가. 이해찬 당대표도 모르고, 심상정 의원도 모른다. 국민은 알 필요 없다고 한 선거법이다. 핵심은 무엇이냐. 우리가 직접 뽑는 우리의 대표자인 국회의원 수는, 지역구 국회의원 수는 줄이고, 우리가 뽑을 수 없는 정당의 지도부가 찍는 그런 비례대표만 확대하는 선거이다. 한마디로 국민이 직접 뽑을 수 있는 국민주권을 박탈하는 것이 연동형 비례대표제이다.
그리고 저희가 제출한 법안을 봤다. 보시면 법안에 표만, 수학표만 지금 6개가 나온다. 계산할 수 없다. 또 법안을 보면 동수일 경우에는 추첨을 한다는 것도 나온다. 우리가 투표를 해서, 추첨까지 해서 6개의 수학계산을 통해서 나눈다는 것이 국민들이 납득하겠나. 이 연동형 비례대표 선거는 한마디로 민주당의 2중대, 3중대를 만들어서 민주당과 정의당이 안정적 과반을 확보한 다음에 결국은 입법부를 무력화시키겠다는 것이다. (발췌)
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국제 왕따 된 남-북 '폐쇄적 민족주의'
문재인 대통령도 문정인도 정세현도 이종석도 임종석도 조국도 이해찬도 이번에 국제사회의 중압이 얼마나 자신들의 ’종족적 민족주의‘ 자주 운운 따위로는 도저히 어쩌지 못하는 것이라는 것을 조금은 알았을 법도 한데 그들의 옹고집은 이런 냉엄한 현실적 경험을 통해서도 좀처럼 가셔지지 않는다. 그게 그들의 불행이자 대한민국의 불행이다.
  
  더군다나 남과 북의 ’종족적 민족주의‘ 밀교 집단에는 한 가지 믿는 구석이 있다. 미국 러시아 기타 국제사회가 아무리 우호적이지 않다 하더라도 ’남조선 혁명‘ ’한국 변혁‘에서만은 그들이 단단한 인프라를 쌓고 있다고 자부하는 게 그것이다. ”너희 외세가 아무리 잘난 체 해도 남한 변혁운동에서만은 우리의 뿌리가 깊다“는 자부심인 것이다. 그래서 그들은 국제사회에서 잃은 것을 남한 광화문 광장에서, 국회에서, 사법부에서, 공수처에서, 파업현장에서, 국민연금 의결권 행사에서 100% 만회하고도 남을 것이라고 생각할 것이다.
  
  그래서 남한의 ’민족해방 민중민주주의 변혁‘은 이번의 패스트 트랙 소동과 연동형 비례대표제 소동을 통해 입법부를 제압하고 그 여세를 몰아 내년 총선 이후에 민중민주주의 헌법 개정으로 질주할 것이다. 이 과정에서 대한민국 수호세력이 싸움을 충분히 잘 하지 못할 경우 대한민국의 간판이 내려지는 최악의 사태를 맞이할 수도 있다. 인간의 기준에서 그럴지라도 하늘의 뜻만은 그렇지 않기를 빌어볼 따름이다. (발췌)
  
  류근일 2019/4/27
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좌파들이 내년 총선을 겨냥해 벌써부터 
좌우 대립을 한일 대립이라는 프레임으로 만들어가고 있다.
자유우파들도 여기에 대한 대응을 해야 할 것이다.
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중국이 인터넷에서 타이완, 티벳, 티엔안먼 등의
단어를 검열하고 있다.
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미국 당국이 도발적으로 행동하는 중국의 경비선과 어선들을 중국 해군과 동일하게 대처하겠다고 경고하다.
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홍콩의 범죄자를 중국으로 송환하는 법에 반대해 홍콩의 주민들이 항의하고 있다. 
이 법이 통과되면, 중국 당국이 홍콩 주민을 아무나 잡아서 중국으로 송환할 수 있게된다.
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말레이시아 역시 중국의 5지를 도입할 듯하다.
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공산당 포스터들. 주문안이란 사람이 위챗에 올렸다가 삭제되었다고 한다.
Incredible communist posters edited a la motivational poster style to mock the 996 work hours. Source unknown but was posted on 一周文案 wechat before being censored



1. 힘내라, 11시간 더 일하면 퇴근한다.
2. 2년전 1회 합방을 기념합시다.
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애기엄마 이선희' 정미애의 애절함이 담긴 민요 -히든싱어3 2회



160401 정미애 - 그중에 그대를 만나



160401 정미애 - 인연


https://youtu.be/XjyH-9_wJmc

히든싱어 이선희편 정미애 아름다운강산


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멀쩡한 산업이 환경 단체의 로비에 영향을 받은 정부 정책으로 소모되고 있다. 아마 메이 총리가 프래킹을 허용하지 않는 것 같다.
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기후 변화를 늦추기 위해 외계인이 지구에 식민지를 건설하고, 지구인과 결혼해 2세를 생산하고 있다는 놀라운 주장을 펼친 옥스퍼드 대학 교수.
찾아보니 <지영해>라는 한국인이고, 과학전공이 아니라 동양학부이고 오래 전부터 이런 해괴한 주장을 해왔다.
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모성 본능 유전자
Mother bird refuses to abandon her eggs. Why does she risk her neck like this? Because any genes giving rise to the tendency have a good chance of being located as well in her offspring. In effect, those genes are looking after copies of themselves located in other bodies.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1122648271791382529


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1930년대부터 시작된 수백건의 논문들에 따르면,  반(反)편견 훈련은 편견을 감소시키거나 행동을 변화시키지 못한다.
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“Administrators everywhere on the planet, in

all businesses and pursuits, and at all times in

history, have been the plague.” -

모든 산업과 부문에 걸쳐, 그리고 역사의 모든 시대에 걸쳐, 

세계의 관료들은 역병과 같은 존재였다.

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현재 대학은 관리자들을 위한, 그리고 관리자에 의해 운영되는 기관이다.
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버텀업 가짜 뉴스가 탑다운 가짜 뉴스보다 낫다.

--->한국의 가짜 뉴스들은 더불당과 좌파들에 의해 만들어져

서 아래로 퍼져가는 탑다운 가짜 뉴스이다.
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Free Speech for Me, But Not for Thee

 
현대 시장 사회에서 자본과 토지의 소유자들은 자본과 토지를 다른 사람들의 만족을 위해 사용해야만, 거기에서 이익을 얻을 수 있다.
부자들이 저축하고 재투자 하면, 그로써 기업들은 대중을 위해 상품을 생산하고, 나아가 대중에게 혜택을 주게 된다.
개인 기업에 대한 투자는 부자들이 할 수 있는 최대의 경제적 자선 행위이다.
하지만 현대의 새로운 경제학의 주장은 저축이 불황과 실업의 원인이라는 것이다.
대부분의 저축은 곡식이 아닌 돈으로 이뤄지고, 나아가 이런 저축은 집과 토지, 도구 등을 개선하는 데 사용된다.
기업가들은 저축을 이용해 기존의 기계류와 기타 자본 장비의 양과 질을 증가시키거나 개선해서, 소비와 자본재의 산물(産物)을 증가시킨다. 다시 말해 해마다 사람들이 먹을 케이크를 점점 키우는 것이다.
저축은 생산에서 소비를 제외하고 남은 것이다. 그리고 투자란 소비되지 않은 이 여분을 이용해, 추가로 생산 수단을 만드는 것이라고 정의한다.
따라서 투자가 있으려면 사전에 저축이 있어야 하고, 저축이 있어야만 자본의 형성이 가능하다.
케인즈는 저축이 없으면 투자도 없다는 사실을 망각하고, 투자는 칭찬하면서 저축은 비난한다.
상품의 생산에 투자되지 않은 저축은 단지 지연된 소비일 뿐이다.
 
Private Property, Public Purpose
 
Henry Hazlitt
[Chapter 19 of The Conquest of Poverty (1996)]
 
The socialists and communists propose to cure poverty by seizing private property, particularly property in the means of production, and turning it over to be operated by the government.
 
What the advocates of all expropriation schemes fail to realize is that property in private hands used for the production of goods and services for the market is already for all practical purposes public wealth. It is serving the public just as much asin fact, far more effectively thanif it were owned and operated by the government.
 
Suppose a single rich man were to invest his capital in a railroad owned by himself alone. He could not use this merely to transport his own family and their personal goods. That would be ruinously wasteful. If he wished to make a profit on his investment, he would have to use his railroad to transport the public and their goods. He would have to devote his railroad to a public use.
 
And unlike a government agency, the private owner is obliged by self-preservation to try to avoid losses, which means that he is forced to run his railroad economically and efficiently. And also unlike a government agency, the private capitalist is nearly always obliged to face competitionwhich means to make the services he provides or the goods he sells superior or at least equal to those provided by his competitors. Therefore the private capitalist normally serves the public far better than the government could if it took over his property. Looked at from the standpoint of the service they provide, the private railroads today are worth vastly more to the public than to their owners.
 
Though socialists chronically fail to understand it, there is nothing original in the theme just stated. It was hinted at in Adam Smith:
 
Every individual is continually exerting himself to find out the most advantageous employment for whatever capital he can command. It is his own advantage, indeed, and not that of the society, which he has in view. But the study of his own advantage naturally, or rather necessarily leads him to prefer that employment which is most advantageous to the society.
 
At another point Adam Smith was even more explicit:
 
Every prodigal appears to be a public enemy, and every frugal man a public benefactor. The principle which prompts to save, is the desire of bettering our condition. An augmentation of fortune is the means by which the greater part of men propose and wish to better their condition. And the most likely way of augmenting their fortune, is to save and accumulate some part of what they desire. [The funds they accumulate] are destined for the maintenance of productive labor. The productive powers of the same number of laborers cannot be increased, but in consequence either of some addition and improvement to those machines and instruments which facilitate and abridge labor; or of a more proper division and distribution of employment. In either case an additional capital is almost always required.
 
Productive Use of Henry Ford's Income
One of them was George E. Roberts, director of the U.S. Mint under three Presidents, who was responsible for the Monthly Economic Letter of the National City Bank of New York from 1914 until 1940.
 
An example often cited by Roberts was Henry Ford and his automobile plant. Roberts pointed out in the July letter of 1918 that the portion of the profits of Henry Ford's automobile business that he had invested in the development and manufacture of a farm tractor was not devoted to Ford's private wants; nor was that portion which he invested in furnaces for making steel; nor that portion invested in workingmen's houses.
 
If Henry Ford had exceptional talent for the direction of large productive enterprises the public had no reason to regret that he had an income of $50,000,000 a year with which to enlarge his operations. If that income came to him because he had a genius for industrial management, the results to the public were probably larger than they would have been if the $50,000,000 had been arbitrarily distributed at 50 cents per head to all the [then, 1918] population of the country.
 
In brief, only that portion of his income which the owner spends upon his own or his dependents' consumption is devoted to him or to them. All the rest is devoted to the public as completely as though the title of ownership was in the State. The individual may toil, study, contrive and save, but all that he saves inures to others.
 
In the history of economic thought, however, it is astonishing how much this truth was neglected or forgotten, even by some of Smith's most eminent successors. But the theorem has been revived, and some of its corollaries more explicitly examined, by several writers in the present century.
 
But the Ford Motor Company, from the profits of which the original owner drew so little for his own personal needs, is not a unique example in American business. Perhaps the greater part of private profits are today reinvested in industry to pay for increased production and service for the public.
 
Let us see what happened, for example, to all the corporate profits in the United States in 1968, fifty years after George Roberts was writing about the Ford Company. These aggregate net profits amounted before taxes to a total of $88.7 billion (or one eighth of the total national income in that year of $712.7 billion).
 
Out of these profits the corporations had to pay 46 percent, or $40.6 billion, to the government in taxes. The public, of course, got directly whatever benefit these provided. Corporate profits after taxes then amounted to $48.2 billion, or less than 7 percent of the national income.
 
These profits after taxes, moreover, averaged only 4 cents for every dollar of sales. This meant that for every dollar that the corporations took in from sales, they paid out 96 centspartly for taxes, but mainly for wages and for supplies from others.
 
But by no means all of the $48.2 billion earned after taxes went to the stockholders of the corporations in dividends. More than half$24.9 billionwas retained or reinvested in the business. Only $23.3 billion went to the stockholders in dividends.
 
There is nothing untypical in these 1968 corporate reinvestment figures. In every one of the six years preceding 1968 the amount of funds retained for reinvestment exceeded the total amount paid out in dividends.
 
Moreover, even the $25 billion figure understates corporate reinvestment in 1968. For in that year the corporations suffered $46.5 billion depreciation on their old plant and equipment. Nearly all of this was reinvested in repairs to old equipment or to complete replacement. The $24.9 billion represented reinvestment of profits in additional or greatly improved equipment.
 
And even the $23.3 billion that finally went to stockholders was not all retained by them to be spent on their personal consumption. A great deal of it was reinvested in new enterprises. The exact amount is not precisely ascertainable; but the U.S. Department of Commerce estimates that total personal savings in 1968 exceeded $40 billion.
 
Thus because of both corporate and personal saving, an ever-increasing supply is produced of finished goods and services to be shared by the American masses.
 
In a modern economy, in brief, those who save and invest can hardly help but serve the public. As Mises has put it:
 
In the market society the proprietors of capital and land can enjoy their property only by employing it for the satisfaction of other people's wants. They must serve the consumers in order to have any advantage from what is their own. The very fact that they own means of production forces them to submit to the wishes of the public. Ownership is an asset only for those who know how to employ it in the best possible way for the benefit of the consumers. It is a social function.
 
The Most Effective Charity
It follows from this that the rich can do most good for the poor if they refrain from ostentation and extravagance, and if instead they save and invest their savings in industries producing goods for the masses.
 
F. A. Harper has gone so far as to write: "Both fact and logic seem to me to support the view that savings invested in privately owned economic tools of production amount to an act of charity. And further, I believe it to beas a typethe greatest economic charity of all."
 
Professor Harper supports this view by quoting from, among others, Samuel Johnson, who once said: "You are much surer that you are doing good when you pay money to those who work, as a recompense of their labor, than when you give money merely in charity."
 
So, saving and sound investment may be the most important benefit that the rich can confer on the poor.
 
This theme has found expression in this century by a deplorably small number of writers. One of the most persuasive was Hartley Withers, a former editor of the London Economist, who published an ingratiating little book in 1914, a few weeks before the outbreak of the First World War, called Poverty and Waste. The contention of his book is that when a wealthy man spends money on luxuries he causes the production of luxuries and so diverts capital, energy, and labor from the production of necessaries, and so makes necessaries scarce and dear for the poor. Withers does not ask him
 
to give his money away, for he would probably do more harm than good thereby, unless he did it very carefully and skilfully; but only to invest part of what he now spends on luxuries so that more capital may be available for the output of necessaries. So that by the simultaneous process of increasing the supply of capital and diminishing the demand for luxuries the wages of the poor may be increased and the supply of their needs may be cheapened; and he himself may feel more comfortable in the enjoyment of his income.
 
Yet in spite of the authority of the classical economists and the inherent strength of the arguments for saving and investment, the gospel of spending has an even older history. One of the chief tenets of the "new economics" of our time is that saving is not only ridiculous but the chief cause of depressions and unemployment.
 
Adam Smith's arguments for saving and investment were at least partly a refutation of some of the mercantilist doctrines thriving in the century before he wrote. Professor Eli Heckscher, in his Mercantilism (Vol. II, 1935), quotes a number of examples of what he calls "the deep-rooted belief in the utility of luxury and the evil of thrift. Thrift, in fact, was regarded as the cause of unemployment, and for two reasons: in the first place, because real income was believed to diminish by the amount of money which did not enter into exchange, and secondly, because saving was believed to withdraw money from circulation."
 
An example of how persistent these fallacies were, long after Adam Smith's refutation, is found in the words that the sailor-turned-novelist, Captain Marryat, put into the mouth of his hero, Mr. Midshipman Easy, in his novel by that name published in 1836:
 
The luxury, the pampered state, the idlenessif you please, the wickednessof the rich, all contribute to the support, the comfort, and the employment of the poor. You may behold extravaganceit is a vice; but that very extravagance circulates money, and the vice of one contributes to the happiness of many. The only vice which is not redeemed by producing commensurate good, is avarice.
 
Mr. Midshipman Easy is supposed to have learned this wisdom in the navy, but it is almost an exact summary of the doctrine preached in Bernard Mandeville's Fable of the Bees in 1714.
 
Now though this doctrine is false in its attack on thrift, there is an important germ of truth in it. The rich can hardly prevent themselves from helping the poor to some extent, almost regardless of how they spend or save their money. So far from the wealth of the rich being the cause of the poverty of the poor, as the immemorial popular fallacy has it, the poor are made less poor by their economic relations with the rich. Even if the rich spend their money foolishly and wastefully, they give employment to the poor as servants, as suppliers, even as panderers to their vices. But what is too often forgotten is that if the rich saved and invested their money they would not only give employment to just as many people producing capital goods, but that as a result of the reduced costs of production and the increased supply of consumer goods which this investment brought about, the real wages of the workers and the supply of goods and services available to them would greatly increase.
 
What is also forgotten by the defenders of luxury spending is that, though it improves the condition of the poor who cater to it, it also increases their dissatisfaction, unrest, and resentment. The result is envy of and sullenness toward those who are making them better off.
 
From Malthus to Bernard Shaw
The first eminent economist who attempted to refute Adam Smith's proposition that "every prodigal appears to be a public enemy, and every frugal man a public benefactor" was Thomas R. Malthus. Malthus's objections were partly well taken and partly fallacious. I have examined them rather fully in another place; and I shall content myself here with quoting a few lines from the answer that a greater economist than Malthus, David Ricardo, made at the time (circa 181421): "Mr. Malthus never appears to remember that to save is to spend, as surely as what he exclusively calls spending. I deny that the wants of consumers generally are diminished by parsimonythey are transferred with the power to consume to another set of consumers."
 
It remained for a few influential modern writers to launch an all-out attack on saving. One of them was Bernard Shaw. In a shamelessly ignorant and silly book, Shaw actually argued that net saving in a community was not even possiblebecause food does not keep! "The notion that we could all save together is silly. Peter must spend what Paul saves, or Paul's savings will go rotten. Between the two nothing is saved. The nation as a whole must bake its bread and eat it as it goes along. When you see the rich man's wife (or anyone else's wife) shaking her head over the thriftlessness of the poor because they do not all save, pity the poor lady's ignorance, but do not irritate the poor by repeating her nonsense to them."
 
Shaw's statement is nonsense compounded. He talks as if men and women, in the Britain and America of 1928, existed at the level of the lower animals, and lived by bread alone. It might have occurred to him that in a modern society food production and food consumption form only a small fraction of total production and consumption. In the United States today, food and beverages account for only 13 percent, or about one eighth, of the gross national product. It should further have occurred to Shaw that even though each individual crop is harvested only during a few weeks of the year, the food supply must be at least sufficiently conserved to last a nation the year round.
 
And even in the most primitive agricultural societies some food has to be saved even beyond a year, if the society is to survive. The tribe that consumes that part of the corn that it should be setting aside as seed for next year's crop is doomed to starvation.
 
But neither in a modern nor in a primitive society is it primarily food that is saved from year to year. So far as the individual is concerned, what he nominally saves is money. (This used to consist of the precious metals, gold and silver, which kept extremely well, and did not constantly lose their value like today's universal paper currencies.) What the individual really saves is the consumption goods and services he refrains from demanding, so releasing labor and other resources for the production of more and better capital goods. The great bulk of primitive as of modern savings went into improving housing, land, and tools.
 
Shaw's argument falls into a reductio ad absurdum when it proves that there can be no net saving at all by the nation as a whole. What would Shaw make of the present U.S. Department of Commerce figures showing that there is in fact net national saving every year? (In the five years 196771 gross private domestic investment averaged annually about 14 percent of the U.S. gross national product.) If Shaw had merely looked around him, he would have seen how saving went into enlarging and improving the nation's productive equipment and into an increase in each decade in labor's productivity and in real wages.
 
Shaw threw himself into economic controversy all his life; but he never condescended to look up the facts and never understood even some kindergarten economic principles.
 
We have yet to discuss the views of the most influential opponent of saving in our timeJohn Maynard Keynes.
 
It is widely believed, especially by his disciples, that Lord Keynes did not condemn saving until, in a sudden vision on his road to Damascus, the truth flashed upon him and he published it in The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money in 1936. All this is apocryphal. Keynes disparaged saving almost from the beginning of his career. He was warning his countrymen in a broadcast address in January, 1931, that "whenever you save five shillings, you put a man out of work for a day." And long before that, in his Economic Consequences of the Peace, published in 1920, he was writing passages like this:
 
The railways of the world which [the nineteenth century] built as a monument to posterity, were, not less than the Pyramids of Egypt, the work of labor which was not free to consume in immediate enjoyment the full equivalent of its efforts.
 
Thus this remarkable system depended for its growth on a double bluff or deception. On the one hand the laboring classes accepted from ignorance or powerlessness, or were compelled, persuaded, or cajoled by custom, convention, authority and the well-established order of Society into accepting, a situation in which they could call their own very little of the cake that they and Nature an the capitalists were cooperating to produce. And on the other hand the capitalist classes were allowed to call the best part of the cake theirs and were theoretically free to consume it, on the tacit underlying condition that they consumed very little of it in practice. The duty of 'saving' became nine-tenths of virtue and the growth of the cake the object of true religion. There grew round the nonconsumption of the cake all those instincts of puritanism which in other ages has withdrawn itself from the world and has neglected the arts of production as well as those of enjoyment. And so the cake increased; but to what end was not clearly contemplated. Individuals would be exhorted not so much to abstain as to defer, and to cultivate the pleasures of security and anticipation. Saving was for old age or for your children; but this was only in theorythe virtue of the cake was that it was never to be consumed, neither by you nor by your children after you. (Pp. 1920.)
 
This passage illustrates the irresponsible flippancy that runs through so much of Keynes's work. It was clearly written tongue-in-cheek. In the very next sentences Keynes made a left-handed retraction: "In writing thus I do not necessarily disparage the practices of that generation. In the unconscious recesses of its being Society knew what it was about," etc.
 
Yet he let his derision stand to do its harm.
 
If we accepted Keynes's original passage as sincerely written, we would have to point out in reply: (1) The railways of the world cannot be seriously compared with the pyramids of Egypt, because the railways enormously improved the production, transportation, and availability of goods and services for the masses. (2) There was no bluff and no deception. The workers who built the railroads were perfectly "free" to consume in immediate enjoyment the full equivalent of their efforts. It was the capitalist classes that did nearly all the saving, not the workers. (3) Even the capitalist classes did consume most of their slice of the cake; they were simply wise enough to refrain from consuming all of it in any single year.
 
How to Bake a Bigger Cake
This point is so fundamental, and both Keynes and his disciples have so confused themselves and others with their mockery and intellectual somersaults, that it is worth making the matter plain by constructing an illustrative table.
 
Let us assume that in Ruritania, as a result of net annual saving and investment of 10 percent of output, there is over the long run an average increase in real production of 3 percent a year. Then the picture of economic growth we get over a ten-year period runs like this in terms of index numbers:
 

(These results do not differ too widely from what has been happening in recent years in the United States.)
 
What this table illustrates is that total production in Ruritania increases each year because of the net saving (and consequent investment), and would not increase without it. The saving is used year after year to increase the quantity and improve the quality of existing machinery or other capital equipment, and so to increase the output of both consumption and capital goods.
 
Each year there is a larger and larger "cake." Each year, it is true, not all of the currently produced cake is consumed. But there is no irrational or cumulative consumer restraint. For each year a larger and larger cake is in fact consumed; until even at the end of five years (in our illustration), the annual consumers' cake alone is equal to the combined producers' and consumers' cakes of the first year. Moreover, the capital equipmentthe ability to produce goodsis now 12 percent greater than in the first year. And by the tenth year the ability to produce goods is 30 percent greater than in the first year; the total cake produced is 30 percent greater than in the first year, and the consumer's cake alone is more than 17 percent greater than the combined consumers' and producers' cakes in the first year.
 
There is a further point to be taken into account. Our table is built on the assumption that there has been a net annual saving and investment of 10 percent a year; but in order to achieve this, Ruritania will probably have to have a gross annual saving and investment of, say, twice as much, or 20 percent, to cover the repairs, depreciation and deterioration taking place every year in housing, roads, trucks, factories, equipment. This is a consideration for which no room can be found in Keynes's simplistic and mocking cake analogy. The same kind of reasoning which would make it seem silly to save for new capital would also make it seem silly to save enough even to replace old capital.
 
In a Keynesian world, in which saving was a sin, production would go lower and lower, and the world would get poorer and poorer.
 
In the illustrative table I have by implication assumed the long-run equality of saving and investment. Keynes himself shifted his concepts and definitions of both saving and investment repeatedly. In his General Theory the discussion of their relation is hopelessly confused. At one point (p. 74) he tells us that saving and investment are "necessarily equal" and "merely different aspects of the same thing." At another point (p. 21) he is telling us that they are "two essentially different activities" without e'ren a "nexus."
 
Let us, putting all this aside, try to look at the matter both simply and realistically. Let us define saving as an excess of production over consumption; and let us define investment as the employment of this unconsumed excess to create additional means of production. Then though saving and investment are not always necessarily equal, over the long run they tend to equality.
 
New capital is formed by production combined with saving. Before there can be a given amount of investment, there must be a preceding equal amount of saving. Saving is the first half of the action necessary for more investment. "To complete the act of forming capital it is of course necessary to complement the negative factor of saving with the positive factor of devoting the thing saved to a productive purpose. [But) saving is an indispensable condition precedent to the formation of capital.
 
Keynes constantly deplored saving while praising investment, persistently forgetting that the second was impossible without the first.
 
Of course it is most desirable economically that whatever is saved should also be invested, and in addition invested prudently and wisely. But in the modern world, investment follows or accompanies saving almost automatically. Few people in the Western world today keep their money under the floor boards. Even the poorer savers put their money out at interest in savings banks; and those banks act as intermediaries to take care of the more direct forms of investment. Even if a man deposits a relatively large sum in an inactive checking account, the bank in which he deposits, trying always to maximize its profits or to minimize losses, seeks to keep itself "fully loaned up"that is, with close to the minimum necessary cash reserves. If there is insufficient demand at the time for commercial loans, the bank will buy Treasury bills or notes. The result in the United States, for example, is that a bank in New York or Chicago would normally lend out five sixths of the "hoarder's" deposit; and a "country bank" would lend out even more of it.
Of course, to repeat, a saver can do the most economic good, both for himself and his community, if he invests most of his savings, and invests them prudently and wisely. Butcontrary to the message of the mercantilists and the Keynesianseven if he "hoards" his savings he may often benefit both himself and the community and at least under normal conditions do no harm.
 
Three Kinds of Saving
To understand more clearly why this is so it may be instructive to begin by distinguishing between three kinds of ( or motives for) saving, and three groups of saversroughly the poor, the middle class, and the wealthy.
 
Let us call the most necessary kind, which even the poorest must practice, "rent-day saving." Men buy and pay for things over different time periods. They buy and pay for food, for the most part, daily. They pay rent weekly or monthly. They buy major articles of clothing once or twice a year. A man who earns $10 a day cannot afford to spend $10 a day on food and drink. He can spend on them, say, not more than $6 a day, and must put aside $4 a day from which to pay out part at the end of the month for rent, light, and heat, and another part for a winter overcoat at the end of six months, and so on. This is the kind of saving necessary to ensure one's ability to spend throughout the year. "Rent-day saving" can symbolize all the saving necessary to pay for regularly recurrent and unavoidable living expenses. Obviously this kind of saving, sustained only for weeks or a season, and varying in time as among individuals, can in no circumstances be held responsible for business depressions. It is utter irresponsibility on the part of the Bernard Shaws to ridicule it.
 
The next kind of saving, which applies especially to the middle classes, is what we may call "rainy-day saving." This is saving against such possible though not inevitable contingencies as loss of a job, illness in the family, or the like.
 
It is this "rainy-day saving" that the Keynesians most deplore, and from which they fear the direst consequences. Yet even in extreme cases it does not, except in very special cyclical circumstances, tend to bring about any depression or economic slowdown.
 
Let us consider, for example, a society consisting entirely of "hoarders" or "misers." They are hoarders or misers in this sense: that they all assume they are going to live till 70 but will be forced to retire at 60; and they want to have as much to spend in each of their last ten years as in their 40 working years from 20 to 60. This means that each family will save one fifth of its annual income over 40 years in order to have the same amount to spend in each of its final ten years.
 
We are deliberately assuming the extreme case, so let us assume that the money saved is not invested in a business or in stocks or bonds, is not even put in a savings bank, earns no interest, but is simply "hoarded."
 
This of course would permit no economic improvement whatever. But if it were the regular permanent way of life in that community, at least it would not lead to a depression. The people who refrained from buying a certain amount of consumers' goods and services would not be bidding up their prices; they would simply be leaving them for others to buy. If this saving for old age were the regular and expected way of life, and not some sudden unanticipated mania for saving, the manufacturers of consumer goods would not have produced an oversupply to be left on their hands; the older people in their seventh decade would in fact be spending more than similarly aged people in a "spending" society, and the unspent savings of those who died would revert to the spending stream. Over a long period, year by year, there would be just as much spent as in a "spending" society.
 
Let us remember that money saved, in an evenly rotating economy, where there is neither monetary inflation nor deflation, does not go out of existence. Savings, even when they are not invested in production goods, are merely deferred or postponed spending. The money stays somewhere and is always finally spent. In the long run, in a society with a relatively stable ratio between hoarders and spenders, savings are constantly coming back into the spending stream, through old-age spending or through deaths, keeping the stream at an even flow.
 
What we are trying to understand is merely the effect of saving per se, and not of sudden and unanticipated changes in spending and saving. Therefore we are abstracting from the effects produced by unexpected changes in spending and saving or changes in the supply of money. If even a heavy amount of saving were the regular way of life in a community, the relative production and prices of consumers' and producers' goods would already be adjusted to this. Of course, if a depression sets in from some other cause, and the prices of securities and of goods begin to fall, and people suddenly fear the loss of their jobs, or a further fall in prices, this may lead to a massive and unanticipated increase in saving (or more exactly in non-spending) and this may of course intensify a depression already begun from other causes. But depressions cannot be blamed on regular, planned, anticipated saving.
 
Some readers may contend that I have not yet imagined the most extreme case of savinga society, say, all the members of which perpetually save more than half as much as they earn, and keep saving, not for old age, or for any reasonable contingency, but simply because of a "religion" of saving. In brief, these would be the cake nonconsumers of Keynes's satire. But even such an imaginary society involves a contradiction of terms. If the members of that society intended always to live at their existing modest or even mean level, why would they keep exerting themselves to produce more than they ever expected to consume? That would be pathologic to the point of insanity. Keynes's allegory of the extent of supposed nineteenth-century thrift was purely an hallucination.
 
We come finally to the third type of savingwhat we may call "capitalist" saving. This is saving that is put aside for investment in industryeither directly, or indirectly in the form of savings bank deposits. It is saving that yields interest or profits. The saver hopes, in his old age or even earlier, to live on the income yielded by his investments rather than by consuming his saved capital.
 
This type of "capitalist" saving was until recently confined to the very rich. Indeed, even the very rich were not able to take advantage of this type of saving until the modern development of banks and corporations. As late as the beginning of the eighteenth century we hear of London merchants on their retirement taking a chest of gold coin with them to the country with the intention of gradually drawing on that hoard for the rest of their lives. Today the greater part even of the American middle classes, however, enjoy the advantage of capitalist saving.
 
To sum up. Contrary to age-old prejudices, the wealth of the rich is not the cause of the poverty of the poor, but helps to alleviate that poverty. No matter whether it is their intention or not, almost anything that the rich can legally do tends to help the poor. The spending of the rich gives employment to the poor. But the saving of the rich, and their investment of these savings in the means of production, gives just as much employment, and in addition makes that employment constantly more productive and more highly paid, while it also constantly increases and cheapens the production of necessities and amenities for the masses.
 
The rich should of course be directly charitable in the conventional sense, to people who because of illness, disability or other misfortune cannot take employment or earn enough. Conventional forms of private charity should constantly be extended. But the most effective charity on the part of the rich is to live simply, to avoid extravagance and ostentatious display, and to save and invest so as to provide more people with increasingly productive jobs, and to provide the masses with an ever-greater abundance of the necessities and amenities of life

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