엄창환 전국청년정책네트워크 대표가 “박근혜 정부 때 있던 청년위원회도 없어져, 누구와 소통해야 되며, 누구와 이야기를 해야 되는지 알 길이 없다”며, 문재인 대통령 앞에서 울어버렸습니다. 문재인 대통령에게 속아서 소통 창구도 없어져 버리고, 일자리도 잃어버리고, 희망도 뺏겨버린 청년의 눈물이 저를 적십니다.
자기 딸이 태국으로 나간 지 몇 달이 지났는데도, 한국에서 요가강사하고 있다고 인도 국빈방문 중에 연설할 정도로 불통이니 다른 청년들과는 더 먹통일 수밖에 없지 않겠습니까?
청년과 불통
딸과도 먹통
오직 김정은 수석대변인?
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문재인이 대한민국을 적(敵)으로 본다면 대한민국도 그를 敵으로 간주해야!
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단두대를 설계하는 청와대 사람들
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역사에는 누구도 불가능하다고 여겼던 전쟁들로
점철되어 있다.
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중국이 미국의 기술 정보 절도를 중지하고, 미국과의 무역 협정 위반을 멈추기 전까지, 트럼프는 중국과의 새로운 협정에 합의하면 안 된다.
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미국과의 무역 전쟁으로, 중국은 최악의 경기 후퇴가 올 수 있다. 중국은 더욱 폐쇄적인 국가가 될 것이다.
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When Deng Xiaoping launched China on the path to economic reform in the late 1970s, he vowed to build “socialism with Chinese characteristics.” More than three decades later, China’s efforts to modernize have yielded something very different from the working people’s paradise Deng envisioned: an incipient kleptocracy, characterized by endemic corruption, soaring income inequality, and growing social tensions. China’s Crony Capitalism traces the origins of China’s present-day troubles to the series of incomplete reforms from the post-Tiananmen era that decentralized the control of public property without clarifying its ownership.
Beginning in the 1990s, changes in the control and ownership rights of state-owned assets allowed well-connected government officials and businessmen to amass huge fortunes through the systematic looting of state-owned property―in particular land, natural resources, and assets in state-run enterprises. Mustering compelling evidence from over two hundred corruption cases involving government and law enforcement officials, private businessmen, and organized crime members, Minxin Pei shows how collusion among elites has spawned an illicit market for power inside the party-state, in which bribes and official appointments are surreptitiously but routinely traded. This system of crony capitalism has created a legacy of criminality and entrenched privilege that will make any movement toward democracy difficult and disorderly.
Rejecting conventional platitudes about the resilience of Chinese Communist Party rule, Pei gathers unambiguous evidence that beneath China’s facade of ever-expanding prosperity and power lies a Leninist state in an advanced stage of decay. (아마존 책 소개)
중국이 경제 성장을 하는 기간에 당 관료와 이들에 붙어 먹은 가족, 친적, 지인들이 거대한 부패의 사슬을 형성해서, 중국의 부의 대부분을 가져갔다는 주장. 사실 이는 청나라 관료주의 시대와 유사하고, 우리의 관료주의 상황에서도 나타난 현상이다. 단지 중국은 우리보다 더 심하고 규모가 크다는 차이가 있을 뿐이다.
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97번째 도리스 데이 생일!
LES BROWN, DORIS DAY LONG AGO AND FAR AWAY 1944
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문재인의 4. 11 미국 방문 은 트럼프 의 초청이 아니고 긴급 소환령 이다
한국 기업에 대한 미국 최대의 투자자 그룹 인 유태인 투자자들 을 보호하려는 워싱톤의 최대 유태인 정치로비스트 그룹 AIPAC 이 트럼프에게 압력을 가해 문재인 이 현재 획책하려는한국 그로벌 재벌기업 에대한 강탈계획 추진을 중지하도록 강력히 요구하여 트럼프가 문재인을 소환하는것이라고 미국 현지언론이 백악관소식통 을 인용하여 보도하였다
트럼프 의 긴급 소환령으로 문재인이 크게 기대하고있던 4. 11 대한민국 상해 임시정부 수립 100 주년 기념식 연설 조차도 취소한체 겁에 질린 생쥐같이 한마디 일정조율이나 이의제기 건의 조차도 못하고 4. 11 일 워싱톤으로 급히 소환 당하게 생겼다.
이곳 미 현지 언론보도에 의하면 말이좋아 트럼프 대통령의 초청이지 이번 만남은 미국에 의해곧 쫒겨날 문제인 을 향해 트럼프가 최종적으로 북한에 취할 최고 수준의 추가제재 조치를 통보하고 문재인 주사파 정권이 현재 극비리에 북한에 퍼주고있는 여러가지 유형의 대북지원 사례를 경고하고 아울러 미국의 세컨더리 보복조치 통보를 하려는 일종의 문재인을 향한 협박성 최후 경고메세지 를 직접 전달하려는 만남이 될것이라고 미언론이 보도하고있다.
트럼프가 두번째로 우려하고 있는것은 문재인공산주의 독재정권이 현재 강력히 추진하고 있는 중국식 공산주의 ,사회주의 식 경제 조치로 말미암아 폭망하게될 한국의 10대 재벌기업에 투자하고있는 미국 투자자들의 엄청난 한국기업 투자손실을 방어 해주기 위해 문재인 에게 사실상 사회주의 경제체재 를 포기할것과 미국투자자들이 엄청난 투자를 하고있는 한국글로벌 10대 재벌기업 강탈획책을 당장 중지해줄것을 강력히 요구하고 경고하는 자리가 될것이라고한다.
결국 문재인은 중국과 북한의 지령을 받아 현재추진하고있는 재벌기업 강탈 음모 획책에 미국이 강력하게 쐐기를 박으려는것이다.
또한 미국은 대한항공이 현재 미국 록히드 마틴과 보잉의 첨단 우주항공기술로 항공기 제작과 정비씨스템까지 운용되고 있는 항공기 제작 업체이고 이러한 미국의 최첨단기술들이 중국과 북한 수중에 넘어가면 미국 안보에 심각한 위해가 되며 KAL 에 투자한 유태인 투자자들 의 상당한 투자손실이 우려됨은 물론 문재인이 강탈하려는 삼성, 엘지, SK 등 한국 10대 재벌기업이 폭망하개되면 이곳 기업에 투자하고.있는 미국 투자업체들의 천문학적 투자 손실도 트럼프 대통령 으로서는 쉽게 간과해 넘길수 없는 긴급 상황인 것이다.
이제는 트럼프 대통령 뿐만이 아니라 미국 의회까지도 문재인 을 미국의 동맹국 자유대한민국 의 대통령 이 아닌 중국 을 종주국 으로 섬기는 북한이 조정하는 남한 간첩의 수괴로 보고있는 시각으로 점점 변해가고 있는 상황이다
이번에 문제인을 소환하게끔 트럼프에 압력을 행사한 단체가 다름아닌 미국의 의회 와 정치, 경제, 외교를 장악한 미국 유태인 들의 최대 로비스트 그룹 AIPAC 이라는 유대인 단체이다
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바로 지난번 하노이 미북회담을 결렬시킨 미국 최고의 정치 파워그룹 인것이다
트럼프를 향한 미국내 최대 유태인 로비단체 AIPAC 과 미 의회 유태계 연방의원 (전체 의원 숫자의 15% 육박 ) 들이 이번 미북회담 에서CVID 핵폐기 합의를 반드시 받아내 줄것을 트럼프와 미 의회에 엄청난 로비와 압력 을 가한결과 트럼프가 하노이 미북정상회담을 결렬시켰다고 미국 불름버그 통신과 월스트리트 저널이 지난주 보도한바있다.
초강대국 미국의 기반을 유태인들이 거의 장악하고 있다고 해도 과언이 아니다. 그밖에 미국 최고의 명문대학 아이비리그 교수와 학생의 30%가 유태인 출신이며,미국상원의원의15 % 이상이 유태계이다.
또한 미국의 부통령과 상하원 의원의 절반 이상이 참가하는 AIPAC 즉 미국내 유태인들로 구성된 풀뿌리 참여단체는 미국 정치권의 최대 로비단체로 조국 이스라엘의 안전과 국익을 위해 미국의회를 상데로 막강한 영향력을 행사하고있다.
트럼프는 자신이 대통령이 되는데 최대의 지원을 해준 미국내 유태인들에게 엄청난 빚을 지고 있으며 감히 배신하지도 못한다.
미국은 현재 문 재인 이 더이상 험한꼴 당하기전에 조속한 하야 성명을 발표해 주기만을 학수고대하고 있는 상황이다.
D. K. R. L. in the. U. S. A
[출처] [펌] 4월11일, 긴급 소환령
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보 철거로 문재인 망했다!!! (이헌 변호사) /
신의한수
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마다가스카르에서 새로 발견된 화려한 색상의 수컷 자이언트 스틱 벌레
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삶은 구조의 축적에 달려 있다.
모든 것을 뭉뚱그려서 하나의 커다란 덩어리로 만들려는 정치 이념은, 긍정적인 변화는 반드시 구조를 보존해야 한다는 사실을 무시한다.
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기회 비용이란?
당신이 기업가가 된다면 모든 결정은 맞교환이 된다. 그리고 기회 비용을 계산하는 일을 매일 해야 한다.
결정을 할 때는 항상 기회 비용을 생각해야 한다. 또 다른 방법은 어떨까
Per Bylund On Opportunity Cost
Hunter Hastings
Per Bylund
Hunter Hastings talks with Per Bylund about Opportunity Costs. Why is this important? Because, for entrepreneurs, all costs are opportunity costs; and opportunity costs are the only costs. Opportunity cost is the core of economics, and to develop an understanding of how to apply economic principles to real life, it’s the place we must start.
Opportunity cost is the fundamental trade-off. The value of any action or choice is defined by the value of what I am foregoing — of what I can’t do as a result of choosing. If I decide to make my product out of stainless steel, I can’t also make it out of aluminum. The value I create by choosing stainless steel must be greater than the value I gave up by not choosing aluminum.
We calculate opportunity cost as the NPV of different alternatives. The NPV of the second best choice is the opportunity cost of the first.
The entrepreneur must understand the mind of the consumer in order to see opportunity costs in the way the consumer sees them. Opportunity cost is a subjective evaluation on the consumer’s part. How do they look at alternatives when they are considering the entrepreneur’s offer? Would they assign greater value to the aluminum product compared to the stainless steel product? An entrepreneur needs to be able to answer that question in order to calculate how to design a good deal in the consumer’s eyes.
The way to do this is to solve an equation: consumer value = the value of what I am offering minus the customer’s perceived opportunity cost of acquiring it. We must understand what is the first alternative for the consumer (including doing nothing — not buying). That’s one part of the consumer’s opportunity cost. Second, what are the additional opportunity costs of buying — such as the difficulty of getting to the store to buy the product, or the difficulty of ascending the learning curve to use an app. These are the second component of opportunity cost for the consumer — the alternative is not to have to face these costs and may be preferable.
It’s possible to segment consumers by understanding their attitudes to opportunity costs. Book buyers on amazon prefer the low cost and fast delivery. Their opportunity cost is going to the book store, where there is a limited selection and prices are higher. Book buyers who go to the brick and mortar store prefer mingling with other book buyers and perhaps getting a cup of coffee — experiences that are unavailable on amazon. For these consumers, the opportunity cost of foregoing such experiences on amazon is high — so high that it makes amazon’s low price unattractive. These attitudes are held by different kinds of book buyers.
The entrepreneur’s first opportunity cost is the value of choosing another career, such as a corporate job. Many entrepreneurs could make more money — and do so with more continuity and security — as a corporate employee. That’s the opportunity cost. But it may not compensate for the excitement and fulfillment of doing what you love as an entrepreneur. Be sure to calculate the opportunity costs carefully!
Once you’re an entrepreneur, every decision is a trade-off, and calculating opportunity cost is an everyday task it’s important to master. Every resource allocation decision is an opportunity cost decision. How much should I spend on product development, if that means less money for marketing and sales? Whom should I hire versus what tasks should I outsource? Once the decision is made the opportunity cost is locked in. This is especially critical for small and start-up businesses with limited resources and tough cash flow constraints. Always think in terms of opportunity costs when making decisions: what’s the alternative?
The allocation of time is often the most important opportunity cost of all. A classic example is engineering time spent perfecting the product versus getting a just-about-good-enough product to the consumer for evaluation and feedback. The engineering trade-off is that the product is not the best it can be. More time would help. The business trade-off is that customer feedback is the most important resource of all, especially negative feedback which tells you how to improve. Delaying it could be fatal. The entrepreneur must weigh these two alternative uses of time. That’s how the concept of the MVP (minimum viable product) and agile programming emerged. They’re both ways to make the best trade-offs of time allocated to the most important tasks.
The entrepreneur must always be thinking of trade-offs. What am I losing or foregoing by making this choice? That’s the opportunity cost. Calculate it, estimate it and put a value on it. Focus on what you are not doing in order to choose the right thing to do.
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세계적인 경기 부진의 원인
세계적 경기 부진의 근본적인 원인은 지난 10여 년간 인위적으로 낮춘 금리이다. 하지만 미제스가 지적했듯이, 인위적인 저금리는 투자 오류를 조성한다.
It's not a Recession, It's a "Global Economic Slowdown"
George Pickering
For much of the past several months it has been almost impossible to open the pages of any business section, or skim through any article on current economic events, without encountering the same ominous phrase: global economic slowdown.
The quickness with which this new buzzword has crept its way into the centre of the public conversation offers a striking illustration of the general mood in the financial world at present, especially outside the relatively lively U.S. economy. Whatever might be said about the shallowness of Keynes’ “animal spirits” interpretation of the causes of business cycles, it is difficult to shake the impression that a general, intangible economic pessimism has been a major reason why "global economic slowdown" — a phrase which has often been explained and justified only very vaguely — has so readily been adopted as the default prediction for 2019’s economic outlook.
However, the seemingly instinctive eagerness of pundits to adopt the phrase has sometimes left its true meaning and import under-explored, leaving open several key questions: What really is the global economic slowdown? What are its causes? And could it be a precursor to the next crisis?
The first thing to note about the new "global economic slowdown" buzzword is that, at least at present, it is for the most part a prediction that the coming months will bring slow or stagnant growth, rather than an assertion that we’re currently back in full blown crisis conditions. This partly accounts for the choice of softer language in its name: “slowdown” certainly has a somewhat less apocalyptic timbre to it than “recession” or “crash.”
However, it is no coincidence that predictions of a more pronounced slowdown have been on the rise over the past few months, given the noticeable stuttering of the global economy since the end of 2018. Even in the U.S. economy, consumer spending in December 2018 exhibited its greatest drop since 2009, with personal income falling for the first time in three years in January, and factory activity hitting a two-year low in February. All of this contributed to a predicted annual growth rate of just 0.5% for the first quarter of 2019, and a flatlining dollar since the end of 2018. The outlook is even worse outside the relative oasis of prosperity that is the U.S. economy at present. Both Britain and the Eurozone grew by just 0.2% in the final quarter of 2018, Italy has entered its fifth recession in two decades, and recent news of a major German manufacturing slump suggests more dark clouds on the horizon for the European economy. In light of this dismal backdrop, it is easy to understand how economic analysts have so easily slipped into their current predictions of a significant worldwide slowdown for the remainder of 2019.
So what has caused this worldwide weakening of growth, which so many are expecting to develop into a global economic slowdown? Most pundits have painted the situation as something of a perfect storm, with numerous factors from different regions having combined in a manner likely to produce a worldwide impact. The Chinese economic slowdown has been one of the most talked-about of these factors, especially after Beijing’s announcement that it will be cutting its growth forecast for the rest of the year, down to between 6% and 6.5%, compared with last year’s official figure of 6.6%. Chinese exports have also taken a significant hit since the beginning of the year, with February’s export figures suggesting a 20.7% decline compared with the same month last year, doubtless due in part to the ongoing tariff war between China and the US. The weakness of the European economy, mired as it is in the uncertainty surrounding Brexit amongst other factors, has also been cited as a millstone around the neck of the global economy.
However, the media focus on these individual symptoms risks drawing attention away from the slowdown’s underlying systemic cause: the past decade of artificially low interest rates. In the aftermath of the global financial crisis of 2007/8, central banks around the world responded by implementing near-zero interest rate policies, which they then maintained for an unprecedented length of time as the slump dragged on. In response to the tentative recovery of the past two or so years, however, numerous key central banks have begun the gradual process of normalizing interest rates once again. As Ludwig von Mises explained with his Austrian Business Cycle Theory, such an extended period of artificially low interest rates will have induced businesses into a myriad of ‘malinvestments’: risky, long-term projects which only appear profitable for as long as the unsustainably low interest rates persist. When the risk of runaway inflation eventually forces central banks to raise interest rates again, the new, higher cost of borrowing reveals that many of these projects cannot be completed profitably, forcing businesses to either significantly scale back their activities or face heavy losses, or both.
The timing of this current stutter in the global economy certainly seems to support the view that, in line with Mises’ theory, recent interest rate hikes have begun revealing the unsteady foundations on which the past few years’ recovery has been built. Sensing this, central banks around the world have been following the Fed’s dovish turn since January, reconsidering or outright reversing their previously planned interest rate hikes. However, such attempts to delay the inevitable readjustment can only result in even greater numbers of malinvestments being made in the meantime, with the result being that when the correction finally does arrive, a mere "global economic slowdown" may be the least of our worries.
George Pickering is a 2018 Mises Institute Research Fellow and a student of economic history at the London School of Economics.
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