중앙일보 [단독]1인당 나랏빚 1800만원 넘었다…文정부서 588만원 폭증 suzu**** 이 나라는 좌빨과 전라도 때문에 망한다 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 황교안, 정치생명 걸다 / 정치인들이 손 사래 치는 주제 / 이것 해결 없이 모든게 불가능, 확신을 갖고 나서 / 기성 정치인들 눈에 바보 같은 짓 / 누가 알겠가 [공병호TV] https://youtu.be/IbgAqNfApds --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 코로나 계엄령 치하에 살고 있다. 그런데 국민 중에 이를 알고 있는 사람은 소수이다. 대부분은 코로나가 치명적인 전염병이고, 따라서 이런 조치가 필요하다고 믿고 있다. 이는 어용 언론의 공이 크다고 할 수 있다. 언론은 유신 때보다 더 통제되고 있고, 정치는 독재체제를 방불케 하지만, 아마 대부분은 한국이 자유민주국가라고 굳건히 믿고 있을 것이다. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 경향신문 최재형 "문재인 정부는 ‘규제 지옥’···“취임 후 규제 모라토리엄 선언" --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 황교안 후보와 이제봉 교수의 만남. 혼신의 힘을 쏟아붓는 열정. https://youtu.be/zdA58DWbvSg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ (정보)기막힌 여론조사 지지율의 눈속임 ARABOJA 골든보이가즈아 http://www.ilbe.com/view/11360295428 중앙선관위 들어가 보면 여론조사 결과표라는게 있다 여론조사란게 전국민을 대상으로 하고 객관적 신뢰자료와 통계 방법을 이용하는 이상 그 지지율과 결과가 시행처가 다르더라도 비슷해야 하는데 다르고 지지율의 곡해된게 많다 윤석열을 크게 좋게 보진 않지만 신문에 잘 인용하는 대선후보 적합도 라는게 있다 누가 대선후보로서 적합한지 지지율을 조사한거다. 그런데 여기에 함정이 있다 여론조사 역선택 전국민을 대상으로 한거라 국민중에는 우파와 대깨문이 섞여있다. 그런데 표본조사 하는 국민중에 좌파성향의 국민이 일정비율 이상 섞여있다면 결과는 어찌될까 이표를 보는 방법은 그 후보지지율 밑으로 그 후보를 선택한 사람이 지지하고 있는정당이 나온다 지지정당으로 판단컨데 우파 성향 국민힘은 대략300명 좌파성향 민주당 380 정의당 40 열린민주70= 490 국민의당은 중도니 대략 60 우파성향을 60프로 36명 좌파성향24명 우파 성향 336명정도 좌514명 나머지는 미정으로 잡고 우선 요즘세상에 3:5의 비율로 우파성향의 국민을 표본으로 접은것도 웃기고 대선후보 적합도에 뜻밖에 홍준표가 17프로 . 170명 유승민이 10프로이다. 100명 그런데 여기에 여론조사 역선택의 함정이 있다 홍준표 찍은 인원중 더불어민주당이 좋고 문재인정권 긍정이 좋다는 비율이 24프로나된다. 압도적1위다. 좌파들이 압도적으로 홍준표와 유승민이 국민의힘 대선주자로 나오기를 바란다는것이다. 이통계의 함정이 머냐면 차라리 여권 야권 대선후보 적합도를 물었으면 1인1후보 표니까 정확한 대선후보 지지율이 나왔을것이다. 하지만 이통계를 보면 첫번째 함정은 모든국민중 좌파성향의 국민이 어떻게 표본조사를 했는지 부풀려져있고 두번째는 여야 대선후보를 동시에 묻지 않고 야권후보 적합도를 묻는 방식으로 필연적으로 여론조사의 역선택이 나오게 해 진정한 대선 지지율을 곡해하는점이 명백하다. 요즘 시국에 피부로 문재앙이나 좌파에 시선이 따가운데 어떻게 우파 와 좌파국민비율이 3.3 :5.1 이 나온다는 말인가 말이 되냐? 도대체 표본조사를 어떻게 하는지 두번째는 이런 우파국민과 좌파국민이 혼재된속에 그냥 대선후보 지지도를 묻지 않고. 질문을 야권 후보 누가 적합하냐 하면 좌빠리 대깨문 국민들은 꺙판치거나 이미지가 안좋은 우파후보를 역선택을 누를수밖에 없지 누가 자기맘대로 축구 상대팀을 고르라면 바르셀로나 레알을 고르냐 캄보디아 깡촌 축구팀을 고르지 홍준표 지지자 170명중 다불민주당 과 문재인지지자 464명중 24프로 110명은 실지 대선에서 이재명을 선택할거라는점이다. 유승민 지지자 100명중 . 문재인정권 지지자65명은 실지 대선에서 이재명을 찍을거라는거다 ㅡ 표본조사 비율이 좌우 의 밸란스가 안맞게 인터뷰가 진행되있고 ㅡ 질문문항을 여야 대선후보 지지 한명을 묻는게 아니라 . 여론조사 역선택이 가능하게 야권댜선주자를 묻는식으로 의도가 분명하게 지지율을 곡해하고 있다. ※ 이준석도 당원투표에선 2등으로 나경원 한테 졌는데 . 여론조사 로 역전한걸 보면 여론조사 역선택 힘으로 당대표가 된걸로 매우 의심된다 아래는 비슷한 시기의 다른데서 실시한 대선후보 지지도 검사다 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1971년의 범죄 1971년 닉슨의 선언으로 금본위제도가 완전히 폐기되고 법정화폐(fiat money) 시대로 전환된 이후로, 자유시장경제와 사회 질서는 서서히 국가의 간섭주의와 중앙정부의 계획으로 대체되었다. 더구나 코로나로 인한 세계적 봉쇄 이후로, 전세계의 부채는 기하급수로 늘어나 국제금융기구의 추산에 따르면 2021년 1분기 말에 모두 289조 달러가 되었는데, 이는 전세계 경제 산출량의 360%이다. 1971년의 금본위 포기는, 금본위라는 양화를 법정화폐라는 악화로 바꾼 범죄였고, 인류 역사상 최대의 어리석은 짓으로 기록될 것이다. The Crime of '71: When Nixon Ended the Dollar's Last Connection to Gold Thorsten Polleit Almost fifty years ago, on August 15, 1971, the US administration under President Richard Nixon (1913–94) abolished the gold redeemability of the US dollar. It was through this unilateral decision that the world's major currencies were turned into irredeemable money: money that is no longer backed by physical gold. This surprise coup put an end to the system of Bretton Woods, which had been adopted in 1944. From July 1 to 22 of that year, 730 delegates from forty-four nations met in the village of Bretton Woods in the US state of New Hampshire to determine the global monetary order for the period after the Second World War. Here it was agreed to give the US dollar the status of the world reserve currency. Thirty-five US dollars corresponded to one troy ounce of gold (i.e., 31.10347 … grams). All other currencies (the French franc, British pound, Swiss franc, etc.) were linked to the greenback at a fixed exchange rate, and they could be converted into greenbacks at any time. In this way they too were—at least indirectly—tied to physical gold. However, one should not think that the Bretton Woods system was something like a reestablishment of the gold standard. Not even close. At best, it was something of a pseudo–gold standard. Although the US dollar was defined in terms of its physical gold weight, gold no longer circulated in day-to-day business in the world's major economies. In the US, President Franklin D. Roosevelt (1882–1945) in 1933 had made gold ownership illegal for American citizens. Banks and consumers had to hand over their gold to the US Treasury. In return, they received US dollar banknotes and balances at the US central bank. Only in international payment transactions between central banks was the US dollar still redeemable in gold. At the conference of Bretton Woods there was a consensus that there could be no reliable world currency system without gold playing a role. The proposals for the design of the world monetary system which competed at the conference—the so-called Keynes Plan and the White Plan—all assigned an anchor function to gold. The yellow metal was seen as a kind of perfect money; at least no one could say how something better could be substituted for it. At the end of the day, however, only a “dollar currency standard” was agreed upon at Bretton Woods. That is, the world relied on the promise given by the US that it would exchange the US dollar in full for physical gold upon request. Not a good decision, it would turn out. But at first the Bretton Woods system worked reasonably—despite a number of structural shortcomings. The economies around the world recovered; world trade and world capital movements expanded. Soon, however, dark clouds gathered. As early as the 1950s, the US began to get bogged down in an increasingly bellicose foreign policy. They financed the costs of the Korean and Vietnam Wars mainly by spending new US dollars not backed by physical gold. As expected, goods price inflation began to take off. The purchasing power of the US dollar declined noticeably, and with it confidence in the world reserve currency declined. More and more nations began to demand their US dollars holdings converted into physical gold. The American gold reserve—at that time it amounted to about two-thirds of the world's monetary gold—melted like snow in the sun. The US was threatened with insolvency in terms of gold payments. And this is why President Nixon pulled the emergency brake in the summer of 1971 and decided not to redeem the US dollar in gold anymore—as had been contractually agreed upon. The decision to end the gold redeemability of the greenback was probably the largest act of monetary expropriation of modern times. The monetary system of the world was fundamentally changed in one fell swoop. In fact, all currencies became nonredeemable paper money, or “fiat money,” money that can be increased by any amount deemed politically desirable at any moment in time. The preferred method of producing new fiat money is through credit expansion on the part of central banks and commercial banks. Unsurprisingly, chronic price inflation comes with fiat money: the phenomenon where the prices of goods and services keep rising over time. What is more, the issuing of fiat money through bank lending causes recurring waves of speculation, bubbles, and financial and economic crises. Most notorious are the so-called boom and bust cycles: in an effort to keep expanding the fiat money supply, central banks artificially suppress market interest rates, thereby inducing a pseudo-upswing (“boom”), which sooner or later has to end in a recession (“bust”). And since during a cycle debt typically swells faster than economic performance increases, the overall debt pyramid keeps growing and becomes overwhelming over time. Furthermore, fiat money makes the state bigger and more powerful. The state’s central bank provides it with any desired amount of money created out of thin air on credit, provided at most favorable funding costs. As a result, the state can literally buy anything and expand its power; it can most conveniently grow out the welfare and warfare state. The state’s expansion inevitably comes at the expense of the freedoms of citizens and entrepreneurs. That said, the move away from gold money some fifty years ago has had very far-reaching consequences for Western economies and societies. It was instrumental in undermining and pushing back the free economic and societal order, replacing it with state interventionism and state planning. On top of that, things are likely to take dramatic turn, as the fiat money system seems to be about to reach its limits. Following the politically dictated lockdown crisis in 2020/21, global debt has reached alarming record levels. The International Institute of Finance (IIF) estimates that at the end of the first quarter of 2021, global debt stood at $289 trillion, or 360 percent of global economic output. Looked at soberly, it is a mountain of debt that no one can or will repay. The world's major central banks have reduced market interest rates to or even below zero, and keep the electronic printing presses running for financing struggling states and banks through the issuance of huge amounts of newly created fiat money. In other words, policymakers have unabashedly resorted to inflation to keep the system afloat. As experience shows, inflation all too easily begets more inflation, which could in the extreme prove to be self-destructive for the world’s fiat money system. If the fiat monetary system is to be saved from collapse, the economies will unfortunately have to throw overboard what little is left of the free economic and social system, for basically all the remaining corrective forces of the free market will have to be put to rest. In fact, governments will have to take recourse to more regulation, prohibitions, taxes, controls etc. In other words, the free economic and societal system will fall victim to the effort of preserving the fiat money system. Seen in this way, the move away from gold money, which reached its dramatic end point in the summer of 1971, was much more than just historical occurrence well in the past. It is was a rather fateful event, the final nail in the coffin of the idea of sound money; we may even speak of the "crime of 1971." It actually can also be seen as a kind of Mephistophelian trade: good gold money was exchanged for bad fiat money—as in the Faustian bargain, supreme moral values, or the personal soul, were surrendered to an evil spirit. In any case, the decoupling of money from gold and the entrusting of the money-producing enterprise to the state and its central bank henceforth will probably prove to be one of the greatest follies in human history. Dr. Thorsten Polleit is Chief Economist of Degussa and Honorary Professor at the University of Bayreuth. He also acts as an investment advisor. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 중국의 정부 관리 경제가 침체하고 있다. China: The Regime's Managed Economy Is Stagnating Daniel Lacalle China is a lesson for those in the West that see China’s rising interventionism as a good idea. Political interventionism means bad capital allocation, worse job creation, and the worst type of inequality, the one that is politically driven. 경제에 대한 정치적 개입은 자본 배정에 오류를 부르고, 고용율을 떨어뜨리고, 불평등을 심각하게 심화한다. 중국의 개입주의를 긍정적으로 보는 사람들에게 중국의 사례는 하나의 교훈이 될 것이다. https://mises.org/wire/china-regimes-managed-economy-stagnating ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 인플레에 공격을 당한 가정 경제 Inflation's Assault on the Family Oliver Adamson In the era of global lockdowns, we've seen increasing supplies of money, decreasing supplies of goods, and governments financing their citizens to forgo work and stay home. The resulting price inflation should surprise no one. 세계적인 봉쇄 정책 이후로, 정부는 지출을 대규모로 늘렸고, 그로 인한 인플레는 가정 경제를 긴축하게 하고 있다. 정부가 시민들에게 돈을 나눠주고 집에 있도록 한 탓에, 가격 상승이 놀랍도록 가파르다. https://mises.org/wire/inflations-assault-family --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------