2019년 3월 20일 수요일

나경원

선거제 개편 패스트트랙 강행 세력과 자유민주주의 지킬 세력으로 의회구도 재편해야. 그것이 폭정을 막아세우고 시장경제 가치를 복원하는 유일한 길이다. 야당들에게 호소한다. 50% 연동형 비례제 선거제 개편은 좌파 장기독재 다름없다. 막아내자. 
  
   문재인 대통령이 갑자기 수사반장을 자처한다. 그러기 전에 본인 주위부터 돌아봐야 한다. 버닝선 사건. 과연 지금 검경이 소신껏 수사할 수 있나. (관련자가) 조국 민정 수석 밑에서 1년간 근무하며 비리 정보 수집 민심 파악 업무를 했다고 한다. 측근 뿐만 아니라 가족도 마찬가지다. 딸의 부부 동남아 이주도 의아하다. 사위 취업 관련 의혹도 있다. 청와대는 한번도 해명하지 못하면서 의혹을 증폭시키고 질문을 봉쇄하고 있다.


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전라도 민심의 급변 계기는 1988년 총선(總選)
천영수(조갑제닷컴 회원)

 전두환에 대한 평가도 별로 나쁘지 않았다. 김대중을 구속시켰다는 데 대한 앙금이 남아 있었지만 대체로 우호적이었다는 게 더 정확한 표현일 것 같다.

실제 선거 결과를 통해 보면 그 실상을 좀더 정확히 들여다볼 수 있다. 전두환이 집권한 직후인 1981년도에 치러진 국회의원 선거에서 전두환이 이끄는 민정당이 전북 14개 의석 중 7석, 전남(광주 포함) 22개 의석 중 10석을 얻었다. 4년 뒤인 1985년도에는 전북 14개 의석 중 7석, 전남 22개 의석 중 11석을 얻어 전남에서 오히려 1석이 늘었다. 전두환의 민정당이 전라도 전체에서 절반의 지지를 얻은 것으로 이는 경상도와 똑같은 추세였다. 
  
  그런데 1988년도 선거에서부터 분위기가 완전히 바뀌었다. 전·남북을 통틀어 민정당이 단 1석도 얻지 못했다. 김대중이 창당한 평화민주당이 싹 쓸어간 것이다. 이 선거판에서 온갖 유언비어가 생산 난무했었다. 전두환과 5·18과의 고리도 이때부터 채워지기 시작한 것이다. 이전에는 '5·18 광주 학살'이란 말 자체가 없었고. 당연히 이를 전두환과 연결시키는 분위기가 있을 수 없었다. 김대중이 지역감정을 유발한 진원지임은 두말할 여지가 없는 사건이다. 
  
  정치를 하다 보면 지역감정을 건들지 않을 수도 없다. 그러나 이렇게 철저히 갈린 것은 역시 김영삼의 5·18 특별법 제정에서부터 비롯된 것이다. 김대중은 조심스러워 사심이 있어도 누울 자리를 보고 다리를 뻗는 편이었다. 그런데 김영삼은 막가파 스타일이었다. 자신의 정치적 난감한 처지를 타개하기 위해 단순히 전두환을 희생양으로 삼은 것 이상의 망국적 범행을 저지르고 말았다. 박정희와 전두환을 미워하다 대한민국에 불을 지른 격이다. 그 짓을 지금 문재인이 다시 저지르고 있으니 안타까운 일이다. 제발 전라도 사람들이 이제 이성을 찾았으면 하는 바람이다. (발췌)


  白丁    2019-03-20 오후 8:35
전라도인들의 별난 지역감정의 원인을 김대중의 지역감정 유발과 김영삼의 오십팔 특별법에서 찾으신 관점은 참으로 예리한 분석입니다. 노태우가 김영삼을 대권 후보로 낙점한 것은 대한민국 건국 후 최악의 실책이었지요. 나라 꼴이 이지경까지 이르게한 사태의 연원은 김영삼의 대통령 당선으로 비롯되었습니다. 亡國大道의 길을 닦은 장본인이지요. 노태우가 왜 김종필을 제끼고 김영삼을 택했는지 참으로 불가사의한 일입니다. 그 탓에 애꿎은 전두환까지 함께 감옥에 가고…부질없는 가정이지만 그때 김영삼 아닌 김종필로 대권이 이어졌으면 역사가 어떻게 흘러왔을까요.
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국땅에서 - In Our Homeland



김일성 김정일 김정은 신격화를 타도한다. 조국을 위하여 우리는 일어난다. 자유조선 만세! 만세
천리마 민방위 영상
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20일, '알릴레오 유튜브'를 방송중인 '유시민' 사람사는세상 노무현재단 이사장의 누나 유시춘의 아들 신모씨가 단순 마약 복용이 아닌 마약 밀수 혐의로 항소심에서 징역 3년을 선고 받은 사실이 '가로세로연구소'를 통해 전해졌다.


● 유시민 누나의 아들이라는 사실 전해주는 기사 찾기 어려워... 사전 입막음 의혹? ●

2018년 7월 21일, 서울고법 형사2부(부장판사 차문호)는 마약류 관리에 관한 법률 위반(대마) 혐의로 재판에 넘겨진 영화감독 신모(37)씨에게 무죄를 선고한 원심을 뒤집고 징역 3년을 선고했다고 밝혔다. 그러나 신씨가 유시민 이사장의 누나인 유시춘의 아들인 사실을 전해주는 기사가 하나도 없어 사전 입막음 한 것이 아니냔 의혹도 불거지고 있다.  (발췌)  출처 프리덤코리아

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세계의 새로운 중국 정책은 분리, 저지, 패퇴가 되어야 한다.
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중국의 소수민족 학살을 저지해야 한다.
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아프리카의 4지 네트워크의 70%를 구축한 화웨이.
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 dank storage closet in the Beaver Falls Historical Museum in the bowels of the Carnegie Free Library on Seventh Avenue. / 
카네기 자유도서관 내의 비버 폴스 역사박물관의 서고에서 발견된 중국의 <홍루몽> 

셰익스피어의 원고를 찾은 것과도 비견되는 대단한 사건이다.
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국민을 개돼지 취급하는 인간들은 발상이 남다르다

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캠브릿지 대학이 정치적 올바름을 구실로 조던 피터슨의 방문 교수직을 철회했다. 
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사회 인구가 백만 명을 넘어가면, 도덕적인 신들이 나타난다.
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오길비가 말한 시장 조사의 문제: 사람들은 그들이 느끼는 대로 생각하지 않는다. 사람들은 그들이 생각하는 것을 말하지 않는다. 사람들은 그들이 말하는 것을 실행하지 않는다.
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좋은 고집이란, 결과를 얻을 때까지 작업의 방식을 바꿔가면서 계속나아가는 것이다.
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The Mismeasurements of Stephen Jay Gould



https://quillette.com/2019/03/19/the-mismeasurements-of-stephen-jay-gould/

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Smoke Gets in your eyes - Benny Goodman & Helen Forrest



Baby,
They asked me how I knew
My true love was true
I of course replied
"Something here inside
Cannot be denied"
They said someday you'll find
All who love are blind
When your heart's on fire
You must realise
Smoke gets in your eyes
So I chaffed and I gaily laughed
To think they would doubt my love
Yet today, my love has flown away
I am without my love
Now laughing friends deride
Tears I cannot hide
So I smile and say
"When a lovely flame dies,
Smoke gets in your eyes."

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지성인들이 지성을 버리고 과학에 적대적인 태도를 취하고 있다. 이로 인해 진정한 과학적 경제학자들, 즉 오스트리아 학파의 학자들이 고립되고 있다.
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토론에 들어가기 전에, 이론이 타당하면 실천 역시 가능하며, 인간 사고의 논리적 구조는 인종, 국가, 계층에 관계 없이 동일하다는 2가지 전제에 대한 동의가 필요하다.
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만일 좌파들 주장대로 부르주아 논리가 있고 프롤레타리아 논리가 있다면, 그들이 어떻게 상호 이해가 가능한가?  
막스주의자들은 부르주아의 주장을 반박하지 않고, 물리적으로 그를 파괴하려 한다.
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가격의 형성은 "내가  B보다  A를 선호한다"는 결정에서 시작한다. 또 가격의 형성에는 실재하는 사실이 중요할 뿐, 누가 , 왜라는 등의 심리적 요인은 필요가 없다.
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주관적 가치론을 반박하는 보편주의
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사회주의적 무정부주의의 문제
주관적 가치란 개인이 다양한 대체물과 비교해서 무엇인가를 평가한다는 뜻으로, 무엇의 가치가 아니라 그것이 어떻게 평가되는가가 중요하다.
 
The Trouble With Socialist Anarchism
 
Per Bylund
 
The movie V for Vendetta has provoked public discussion of the meaning of anarchism. Murray Rothbard was an advocate of the stateless society, but he was never accepted by the anarchist movement and is still considered more a "capitalist lackey" than anarchist thinker. Indeed, anarcho-capitalism has always been considered an oxymoron by the self-proclaimed "true" anarchists.
 
Part of the reason is a general inability to understand different uses and definitions of words in the classical socialist and liberal traditions. Socialists refer to "capitalism" as the system in which the state hands out and protects capitalists' privileges and therefore oppression of labor workers. They don't see that capitalism, in the classical liberal tradition, means rather a free market based on free people, i.e., voluntary exchanges of value between free individuals.
 
A deeper and more interesting reason is anarchism's socialist roots. As shown in, e.g., the Anarchist FAQ, most if not all historical anarchist thinkers were proud to announce their ideas belonged to the progressive socialist tradition. The "founding father" of anarchism, Pierre-Joseph Proudhon, was socialist; American 19th century individualist anarchists often claimed to be socialists; and the Russian communist anarchists Mikhail Bakunin and Peter Kropotkin were obviously socialists.
 
There were however a few anarchists who were not explicit socialists, but they were few and relatively unknown if at all accepted as anarchists. The German egoist Max Stirner somehow managed to become generally accepted as an anarchist even though he never claimed to be a socialist. (He never claimed to be an anarchist, either).
 
It would be futile to claim the anarchist tradition is not originally and mostly socialist and that is not the point of this essay. I do not refute socialism's importance to anarchism in theory or in practice, but I will show how the definition of "socialism" is too rigid and statist, as opposed to what anarchists generally claim, and it seems to be based on an unfortunate misunderstanding of man and the market. The main problem is the socialist anarchists' refusal to think anew when new facts have been revealed.
 
Peter Kropotkin, the famous late 19th- and early 20th-century Russian communist anarchist, stated that there are essentially two kinds of socialism: statist socialism and anarchism. The difference between the two is that statist socialism wishes to take control of the state and use it to enforce socialism, whereas [socialist] anarchism wishes to abolish the state and thereby the oppressive capitalist economic system. Kropotkin's distinction solves quite a few inherent contradictions and problems in statist socialism, such as enforcing equality through letting a few rule the many via the state.
 
But some of the problems persist in the anarchist version of socialism. The problems arise due to the fact that socialists generally tend to have a static view of society, which makes them totally ignorant of how things change over time. Socialists would probably not admit this is the case, since they do know that things have been changing through the course of history (Karl Marx said so) and that things never seem to stay the same. But still they argue as if "ceteris paribus" is the divine principle of reality, and it is not.
 
Socialism does not allow for a time component (or, it is deemed unimportant and therefore omitted) in the analysis of the world or the economy. Things are generally thought to be as they are even though they were not the same in history and that they need to be changed in the future. In a socialist world people are equal and should stay equal; the individual choices of actors in the free marketplace (yes, socialist anarchists do talk about the market) do not change this fact. In this socialist view of the world there is simply no understanding whatsoever for that characteristic of the market that Ludwig von Mises called time preference.
 
This important piece of information about how the market works (that is, how people function) means a person usually prefers having a value now to having the same value some time in the future. This has nothing to do with earning interest on investments, but is rather a natural part of what it means to be a rational being (one would do better with a certain amount of food now than with that same amount food a week from now). Without knowledge about this (or even without time preference per se), calculating what "will be" on the market would be a whole lot easier (but totally wrong).
 
But time preference is not a part of the socialist perception of the world or economics. Understanding this fact makes it a lot easier to understand the socialist demand for teleological equality, i.e., equality as a measure of justice applicable both before and [especially] after interactions and exchanges have taken place in the market place. If the world and economy would be perpetually static and thus no values are ever created, then economic equality is theoretically possible. (It is perhaps even fair.)
 
But this is not the case, and thus the socialist analysis is wrong. This weakness, which we can call time ignorance, persists in the anarchist version of socialism.
 
Socialist Time Ignorance
Kropotkin defines this kind of socialism as "an effort to abolish the exploitation of Labour by Capital," and Benjamin Tucker says "the bottom claim of Socialism [is] that labour should be put in possession of its own." Well, that doesn't sound that bad. Another way of saying the same thing would be that every individual has a natural right to that which he produces, and that it is a violation of his natural rights to forcefully remove this product of his labor from his hands.
 
Whether you call it natural rights or not, this is the essence and common theoretical basis for how value is generated in both classical liberalism and Marxism. Whenever an individual invests his time, skill, and effort into trying to achieve a value, he creates value and is as its creator the rightful owner of that value. It is hard to argue the individual is not the rightful owner of his labor; John Locke even went so far as to call labor the "unquestionable property of the labourer." If the individual doing the work does not own his labor, then who does?
 
The difference between classical socialism and liberalism is not in the definition of ownership or how it arises, but in its meaning. Pierre-Joseph Proudhon, even though he is famous for stating "property is theft" (meaning property privileges causing exploitative conditions), also stated that "property is freedom" in the sense that man is only free when he is the sole owner of that which is in his possession and that which he creates. What he was referring to is wage labor being exploitation of the labor worker by the privileged capitalist.
 
To understand this view, we need to remember time preference is not applicable (or not allowed). From the socialist perspective, any difference in value between input and output is either fraud or theft (to use libertarian terminology). If you invest labor (input) to achieve a value of $100 and receive pay (output) of $95 dollars you are being oppressed.
 
This is part of why capitalism, using the socialist definition, is oppressive. Whoever "offers" a job (i.e., the capitalist) makes a profit simply because the value of the workers' invested labor is greater than what they receive in pay. (The reason they can do this, socialists claim, is because of state-enforced property privileges indirectly forcing labor workers into wage slavery.)
 
Another way of saying this is that surplus value is released for the managers and owners of industry through paying labor workers only part of their labor input. In this static view of how the world works under the capitalist economic system, employment sure is usury and "wage slavery." I can't argue with that, and I will not argue with the identification of many historical and contemporary employment schemes being de facto usury due to privileges handed out to capitalists by the political class.
 
The analysis, however, is fundamentally wrong, and it is so simply because socialists don't understand time preference. It is of value (but not necessarily monetary value) to many a worker frequently to receive a fixed amount of pay for invested labor instead of taking the risks of producing, marketing, and selling a product in the market place (even if the enterprise is not carried out individually but in cooperation with other workers).
 
It is also true in reverse: the "capitalist" values money now more than money later; thus, profits at a later time need to be greater than labor costs now to "break even." The point here is that if a worker would voluntarily choose between multiple different alternatives there is reason to believe employment is sometimes (or, in perhaps often) an attractive choice.
 
The reason this is so, is because of division of labor, risks in the market place, and so on. But it is primarily because of time preference, meaning a worker might value a fixed wage now and at predetermined intervals more than investing his labor now and gain the full value later. The laborer could therefore be in equilibrium when investing labor generating $100 worth of products a month from now even if he is paid only $95 now.
 
To some people less money now than more money later is indeed usury, but that is only a fact that strengthens the theory of time preference as put forth by Austrian economists. People have different perceptions of value and do value different things at different times, and therefore one individual may very well find employment is to his benefit while other individuals cannot for the world accept such terms. And the same individuals might think very differently at a different point in time.
 
Values are Subjective
This necessarily brings us to another important point that is closely related to the nature of time preference, and that is the identification of values as subjective. Monetary values are objective in the sense that $1 is always $1 (or, in other words, 1=1 or "A is A"), but receiving the amount of $1 could mean a lot to one individual and at the same time mean close to nothing to another. Of course, socialist anarchists and even statist socialists understand the relativity of values, e.g., that $1 to a poor person means a lot more than it ever would to a wealthy person (even though it is still only $1). That's why socialists often claim rich people have nothing to fear from taxes (even large sums don't mean much to them) whereas poor people can gain "a lot."
 
But relative value in this sense means only that the individual assessment of the value of $1 is relative to how many dollars he or she already has (or can easily get). This is different from the identification of values as subjective.
 
A subjective value does not necessarily mean a certain amount of money is compared to another amount. Values are subjective in the sense that something of value means you consider yourself being better off with it than without it. This has nothing to do with amounts of monetary units or comparing apples with apples; subjective value is the individual assessment of something as compared with the same individual's assessment of the alternatives. Values are subjective in the sense that the individual alone makes the assessment and makes it according to his or her individual preferential hierarchy. Thus, subjective value does not depend on what is being valued, but rather on how it is perceived!
 
Therefore, a laborer's analysis of whether employment is beneficial does not only involve the monetary value of invested labor and received payment, but also everything else he values. Employment could be of great value to a risk aversive individual, since the risk of losing money is very low, whereas the same deal for someone else, who perhaps gets a kick out of taking risk, is nothing but outright slavery. People are different.
 
This brings us to a third and last important point that follows directly from the fact that values are subjective: there are only individuals. Even though cultural and social identities tend to make people think in the same direction, they are still not the same and they do think differently. Socialists in general obviously fail to realize this.
 
As has been shown in the example of employment versus no employment, individuals value things differently. Some individuals would accept wage labor and be fully satisfied with it (and even find it the best available alternative), while others cannot find employment to their benefit at all. Individuals are uniquely different, and that means they do have different preferences.
 
This is one of the main reasons state policies are always oppressive and never can work satisfactorily: they provide one system or solution for one kind of people, and that has to cause problems when applied on a population such as the 300 million unique individuals living in the United States.
 
Anarchism: A World of Sovereigns
The fact that "there are only individuals" is also a great argument for anarchism. There cannot be a single system forced on any two individuals without it fitting one individual better than the other, and thus such a system would create legal inequalities (and therefore be oppressive). Also, since there are only individuals there is no reason to believe some individuals should have the power to rule other individuals. If there are only individuals, all of them should be sovereign self-owners and enjoy an equal full right to their selves.
 
But this fact means also that people are different and that some people will value certain things while other people value completely different things. Some people will have high time preference for certain values, while others will have low time preference. Some people will be able to use their time and skill to create a lot of value to others (assessed subjectively), while others create value only recognized by a few. And individual choices will always be individual choices, the decisions made depending on the individual's subjective assessment of values he chooses to identify.
 
Socialism, as commonly defined by the socialists (of both anarchist and statist varieties), fails to realize this fact and therefore categorically dismisses market solutions, functions, and institutions that arise voluntarily and spontaneously. It might be true that socialists themselves would never accept wage labor, but many others would perhaps happily accept employment as being beneficial to them individually or collectively.
 
The same is true with the famous Marxian credo, usually advocated also by socialist anarchists, that the laborer is free only when he has taken ownership of the means of production. But how can we say a certain kind of profession or "class" shares the exact same values? That necessarily presupposes an extreme class consciousness, where individuals no longer exist. If "class consciousness" is instead interpreted rather as a sense of class belonging and unity in certain values, time preference and subjectivity of values would still apply!
 
A free-market anarchist can embrace many of the socialist-anarchist goals, such as equality in the right to self, one's labor, and any fruits thereof. We can support the socialist anarchist goal to abolish the state as an inherently evil institution forcing individuals to relinquish that which is theirs by natural right. But we also see the shortcomings of socialism as currently defined; time preference is a fundamental piece of information on how people, and therefore the market and society, function.
 
Because of time preference it is not possible to dismiss totally the notion that inequalities might arise in the free marketplace. Individuals will act in accordance with their perception of what is most beneficial to them and the people, gods, or artifacts important to them. Some value monetary wealth while others value health, leisure, family, a nice house, or fast cars. People will choose differently depending on their situation and their preferences, and even if they start off in a state of egalitarianism some choices will be better (with respect to something, e.g., amount of monetary assets) and some poorer.
 
It is not unlikely some people will choose to accumulate wealth (to whatever degree possible without the existence of state privileges) while others will eagerly spend what they earn on entertainment or engage in conspicuous consumption. The choice should be the individual's and there is no way we can say it is "right" or "wrong" it is for the individual to decide.
 
Thus, if we truly believe in the individual as a self-owner and sovereign we shouldn't claim to know what he or she will (or should) choose, and we cannot say what he or she will not choose. In a society of only free individuals, all of them will be equal in their right to self and thus we cannot tell people they cannot trade their labor in the future for value now. They will do what they perceive to be in their interest, and I will do what I perceive to be in mine, and what is in our interests personally or mutually is for us to decide individually.
 

This is the reason one cannot say employment and capital accumulation vanishes when the state is abolished. Indeed, the opposite is true. This is also the reason Murray Rothbard truly was an anarchist, even though he did not accept the illusion of a world without time preference.

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