펀드빌더
지구상에서, 한국에서만 발견되는 현상(몇 가지 例)
¶똑 같은 군비 증강을 해도 중국이 하면 '군사굴기'라고 부르고, 일본이
하면 '군국주의 야욕'이라고 부른다.
¶동서고금 어느 나라에나 존재하는 산업현장 안전사고(산업재해)에 대해
일제시대 때 발생했다면 '일제만행'이라고 특별히 다르게 부른다.
¶과거 세계 대전(태평양 전쟁) 당시, 미국, 영국, 프랑스, 독일, 러시아,
이탈리아, 중국 등 모든 나라가 각각의 국민을 동원한 것에 대해서는
아무 말 안하고, 오직 일본에 대해서만 마치 불법적 '강제동원' 혹은
'강제징용' '만행' 등을 저지른 것으로 간주한다. 당시 미국, 영국 국민
등도 전쟁터에 동원되거나 징용되어 공장 등에서 수고했는데, 당시
조선인들만은 마치 천국(달나라) 백성 신분이라도 되었던 것쯤으로
오늘날 한국인들이 착각을 하고 있다.(이쯤 되면, 망상 수준이다) (발췌)
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정리; 조갑제닷컴 조성호
<한국경제> 보도에 따르면, 12일 국회의원 회관(서울 영등포구 소재)에서 "원전 거짓과 진실- 성급한 탈원전 정책의 문제점" 토론회가 열렸다고 한다. 발제자로 참석한 황일순 서울대 에너지시스템공학과 교수는, "(脫원전 시) 전기 요금이 20% 정도 오른다는 게 정부 발표인데 면밀히 검토한 결과 세 배 정도로 오를 것으로 예상된다"고 주장했다고 한다.
그는 신규 원전 건설 중단 시 빚어질 에너지 안보(安保) 문제도 지적했다. 원전 건설 중단 후 대체 에너지 개발과 시설 건설이 지연되면, 10년쯤 뒤 "전력 대란"이 발생할 수 있다고 경고했다고 한다. (발췌)
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문재인 대통령이 지난 6일(현지 시각) 독일 쾨르버재단 초청 연설 문답에서 '한·미 관계'에 관한 질문을 받고 '한·중 관계'에 대해 답하는 동영상이 유튜브와 소셜미디어에 퍼지면서 '동문서답(東問西答)' 논란이 일고 있다.
출처 : http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2017/07/13/2017071300378.html
----> 권력으로 막고 있지만, 문죄인의 치매설은 계속해서 이렇게 증거가 나오고 있다. 역사상 최초의 치매 대통령을 뽑은 것 같다.
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허난성 루오양의 라오준 산의 잔도에서 잠을 자는 캠퍼들. 작년 중국 사진. 여름을 서늘하게 보내는 한 방법이다.
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두보의 시 登高」중에 있는 風急天高猿嘯哀라고 한다. 그리고 이백과 백거이 등의 시구도 있었다고 한다.
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저당탕 抵當湯
【製法用量】
水蛭30箇豬脂熬黑4兩 蝱蟲30箇去頭足翅4兩 桃仁20枚去皮尖研4兩 大黃酒浸4兩
【主治】
治太陽病六七日，表證仍在，脈微而沉，反不結胸，其人發狂者，以熱在下焦少腹鞕滿，小便自利者，必有畜血，令人善忘，所以然者，以太陽隨經瘀熱在裏故也。
【附方說明】
1.本方減水蛭十箇，蝱蟲桃仁，各減五箇，分為四丸每水煮一丸，名抵當丸(저당환)，治本病無善忘如狂之證者。〔水蛭即為馬蝗蚑，鹹寒有毒，乃食血之蟲，能通肝經聚血，最難死，雖炙為末，得水便活，若入腹中，生子為患，田泥和水飲下之，蝱 蟲即蚊蟲，因其食血，故用以治血，二藥險峻，世人罕用，故更製代抵當湯，吳鶴皋曰：古人用蚊蟲水蛭治血積，以其善吮血耳，若天鼠矢乃食蚊而化者也。當亦可以治血積，本草稱其下死胎，則其能攻血塊也何疑。〕
2.附：代抵當丸，大黃〔四兩〕、生地、歸尾、桃仁穿山甲、玄明粉〔各一兩〕、蜜丸。〔桃仁歸尾生地潤以通之，桂心熱以動之，大黃玄明粉苦寒鹹寒以推蕩之，加穿山甲引之以達於瘀所也。〕
출처: yibian
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養生導讀：
抵當湯的功效是什麼？那麼，抵當湯的功效是什麼呢？抵當湯在古代就開始使用了，主要用於血瘀、蓄血，閉經等症，對女性來說是非常有用的藥方。
1、方名：
抵當湯
2、方名由來：
「抵當者，抵當隨經之熱，而使之下瀉也。」
3、組成：
水蛭（熬）30個，虻蟲30個（去翅足，熬），桃仁20個（去皮尖），大黃3兩（酒洗）。
4、用法：
上藥四味，以水500毫升，煮取300毫升，去滓溫服100毫升，不下更服。
5、主治：
傷寒瘀熱在里，血蓄下焦，不結胸而少腹硬滿，小便自利，大便硬而色黑易解，身黃有微熱，脈沉結，或狂躁，或喜忘，或經水不利者。太陽病6-7日，表證仍在，脈微而沉，其人發狂者，以熱在下焦，少腹當硬滿，下血乃愈；血證諦也；陽明病，本有久瘀血，屎雖硬，大便反易，其色必黑者；病人無表里證，發熱7-8日，下後脈數不解，合熱則消谷善飢，至6-7日不大便者。婦人經水不利下。血結胸，漱水不欲咽。
6、方解：
抵當湯由大黃、桃仁、水蛭、虻蟲四藥組成。前二者是植物藥，後二者是蟲類藥，此方集活血藥之大成，故為破血逐瘀之峻劑，非一般活血劑所能比擬。湯中的水蛭、虻蟲為蟲類藥，水蛭咸苦且平，入血分，破血逐瘀，虻蟲苦而微寒，破血逐瘀，效近水蛭，而性尤峻猛。兩藥相配，直入血絡，行血破瘀，藥力峻猛，有單刀直入之勢；桃仁、大黃為植物藥，桃仁活血化瘀；大黃瀉熱導瘀。四藥合用，其行血破瘀之力最強，瘀血得下，諸證方愈。
7、各家論述：
（1）、《註解傷寒論》：苦走血，咸勝血，虻蟲、水蛭之咸苦以除蓄血；甘緩結，苦泄熱，桃仁、大黃之苦以下結熱。
（2）、《金鏡內台方議》：血在上則忘，血在下則狂。故與水蛭為君，能破結血；虻蟲為臣輔之，此咸能勝血也；以桃仁之甘辛，破血散熱為佐；以大黃之苦為使，而下結熱也。且此四味之劑，乃破血之烈駃者也。
（3）、《傷寒附翼》：歧伯曰，血清氣澀，疾瀉之，則氣竭焉；血濁氣澀，疾瀉之，則經可通也。非得至峻之劑，不足以抵其巢穴，而當此重任矣。水蛭，蟲之巧於飲血者也；虻，飛蟲之猛於吮血者也；茲取水陸之善取血者攻之，同氣相求耳；更佐桃仁之推陳致新，大黃之苦寒，以蕩滌邪熱。名之曰抵當者，謂直抵其當攻之所也。
8、現代臨床應用：
抵當湯臨床主要應用於瘀血證。癥瘕積聚、月經不調或閉經，以及晚期血吸蟲病、結核性腹膜炎、結核性胸膜炎、肺結核、跌打損傷。
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抵當湯類概述
抵當湯類，包括了桃核承氣湯、抵當湯、抵當丸三方。此證為太陽之邪隨經入腑，血熱互結於下，而成「太陽病蓄血證」 。
저당탕류는 도핵승기탕, 저당탕, 저당환 3가지를 말하는데, 태양의 사기(邪氣)가 경락을 따라 부(腑)로 들아가고, 혈열(血熱)이 하초에서 결합하여, 태양병 축혈증(蓄血證)이 된 증상을 치료한다.
其證輕者，則見少腹急結，其人如狂等證，治用桃核承氣湯；若蓄血重者，則少腹硬滿，其人發狂，小便自利，或周身發黃，治療用抵當湯；若其人熱與血瘀均輕，但少腹脹滿而不硬痛，亦不見發狂等證者，則用抵當丸治療。
二、抵當湯
【藥物組成】
水蛭(熬) 虻蟲(去足翅熬)各三十個 桃仁(去皮尖)二十個 大黃(酒洗)三兩
【煎服法】
上四味，以水五升，煮取三升，去滓，溫服一升，不下更服。
【適應證】
太陽病蓄血重證，少腹硬，小便自利，其人發狂或發黃，舌質紫或有瘀斑，脈沉澀或沉結。
【原文】第124條、125條、237條、257條。
【方義】
水蛭、虻蟲均為蟲類，善能破血逐瘀，消癥化積；益以大黃、桃仁，用以蕩滌血熱之結。
【選注】
尤在涇：「抵當湯中，水蛭、虻蟲食血去瘀之力倍於芒硝，而又無桂枝之甘辛、甘草之甘緩，視桃仁承氣湯為較峻矣。蓋血自下者，其血易動，故宜緩劑，以去未盡之邪；瘀熱在里者，其血難動，故須峻藥，以破固結之勢也。」
【按語】
《本經》謂水蛭「治惡血、瘀血，破血瘕積聚」，虻蟲「逐瘀血、破血積、堅痞癥瘕。」二藥直入血分破其堅結，更配泄熱逐瘀的大黃與潤利活血的桃仁，則攻逐之力更比桃仁承氣湯為峻猛。
本方治婦女血瘀經閉，瘀血癲癇，跌打損傷，瘀血凝聚等證，其效果也很理想。
【方歌】
抵當湯中用大黃，虻蟲桃蛭力最強；
少腹硬滿小便利，攻瘀逐熱治發狂。
【醫案選錄】
張意田治冉口焦姓人，七月間患壯熱舌赤，少腹悶滿，小便自利，目赤發狂已三十餘日。初服解散，繼則攻下，但得微汗，而病終不解。診之脈至沉微，重按疾急。夫表證仍在，脈反沉微者，邪陷於陰也。重按疾急者，陰不勝真陽，則脈流薄疾，並乃狂矣。此隨經瘀血結於少腹也，宜服抵當湯。乃自製虻蟲、水蛭，加桃仁、大黃煎服。服後下血無算，隨用熟地一味搗爛煎汁，時時飲之，以救陰液。
(摘《續名醫類案》)
三、抵當丸
【藥物組成】
水蛭(熬)二十個 虻蟲(熬，去翅足)二十個 桃仁(去皮尖)二十五個 大黃三兩
【煎服法】
上四味，搗分四丸。以水一升，煮一丸，取七合服之。晬時當下血，若不下者，更服。
【適應證】
用於下焦蓄血，少腹脹滿而不堅硬，病情較抵當湯為輕。
【原文】第126條。
【方義】同抵當湯。
【選注】
方有執：「名雖丸也，猶煮湯焉。夫湯盪也，丸緩也。變湯為丸，而猶不離乎湯，其取欲緩不緩，不盪而盪之意歟。」
【按語】
抵當丸不是蜜丸，而是水丸。藥量只有抵當湯四分之一，然連渣吞服，其效力較湯為持久，故用於瘀血而病勢較緩者為宜。
【方歌】
抵當丸即抵當湯，搗藥成丸煮水漿；
連渣服之只一顆，緩攻瘀血正不傷。
【醫案選錄】
常熟鹿苑錢欽伯之妻，經停九月，腹中有塊攻痛，自知非孕。醫予三棱、莪術多劑未應，當延陳保厚先生診。先生曰：三棱、莪術僅能治血結之初起者，及其已結，則力不勝矣。吾有藥能治之，顧藥有反響，受者幸勿罵我也。主人諾。當予抵當丸三錢，開水送下。入夜，病者在床上反覆爬行，腹痛不堪，果大罵醫者不已。
天將旦，隨大便下污物甚多，其色黃白紅夾雜不一，痛乃大除。次日複診，陳先生詰曰：昨夜罵我否？主人不能隱，具以情告，乃予加味四物湯調理而瘥。
(《經方實驗錄》第84頁 作者/劉渡舟)
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婦人經水不利下，抵當湯主之。」（《金匱要略·婦人雜病脈證並治第二十二》第14條）
這個「不利下」不是指月經不調，這是指經閉，經閉不利下，用其他的藥月經也不下。這在臨床上也常有，最近我在臨床上遇到一個精神病患者，她的月經就是吃抵當湯才下的，我給她用了抵當湯以後，她的經血中有挺大一塊血塊，現在她的這個精神病大致是好了。她以前拿斧子砍人，在精神病院治療過很長時間，現在這個人挺好。之前我用其他的祛瘀藥都不行，她的月經就是不來，這個抵當湯是真有力量，我用這個方子，但是加了芒硝，因為她的大便特別干，人也癲狂。——《胡希恕經方故事》
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나는 책 <Inheritors of the Earth: How Nature is Thriving in and Age of Extinction(멸종의 시대에 자연은 어떻게 번성하는가)>를 통해, 세계의 생물다양성이 축소되기만 한다는 비관적 견해를 받아들일 수 없다고 주장했다.
這個「不利下」不是指月經不調，這是指經閉，經閉不利下，用其他的藥月經也不下。這在臨床上也常有，最近我在臨床上遇到一個精神病患者，她的月經就是吃抵當湯才下的，我給她用了抵當湯以後，她的經血中有挺大一塊血塊，現在她的這個精神病大致是好了。她以前拿斧子砍人，在精神病院治療過很長時間，現在這個人挺好。之前我用其他的祛瘀藥都不行，她的月經就是不來，這個抵當湯是真有力量，我用這個方子，但是加了芒硝，因為她的大便特別干，人也癲狂。——《胡希恕經方故事》
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저당탕의 임상 응용 抵當湯的臨床應用
作者：王 付
來源：《中國中醫藥報》
抵當湯是張仲景《傷寒雜病論》治療瘀熱證的重要基本代表方，筆者結合多年來應用抵當湯治療體會，認合理運用抵當湯既能治療常見病，又能治療多發病，能治療疑難病，於此試將臨床應用研究，略述於次，以拋磚引玉。
1．治健忘（神經衰弱）
健忘多見於神經衰弱，辨治健忘的基本方法有益心健脾、補腎益腦、養心安神等。由於心主血脈與神明，心血滋養神明則思維敏捷，記憶強健。若血行不暢而為瘀，瘀血阻滯於心，導致神明既不得心血所養，又被瘀血濁氣所肆虐，以此而變生為以健忘為主的病證表現，所以治療時應當考慮選用活血化瘀方藥。
如夏某，男，43歲。在5年出現健忘，近2年來健忘加重，雖經CT及磁共振檢查，均未發現明顯異常，作血細胞分析檢查，也未發現異常。刻診：健忘，輕微頭痛，唇口乾燥，咽乾不欲飲水，飲水且不欲下嚥，舌邊顏色較暗，脈細略澀。遂辨證為瘀熱阻結，脈絡不通，清竅失榮，其治當活血化瘀，通竅醒神，以抵當湯加味：大黃6g，桃仁9g，水蛭9g，虻蟲9g，桂枝10g，石菖蒲12g，遠志12g，茯苓18g，五味子10g。6劑，1日1劑，水煎2次分3服。二診，記憶力略有好轉，頭痛減輕，又以前方治療40餘劑，記憶力基本恢復。隨訪1年，切尚好。
用方體會：根據張仲景論抵當湯主治“喜忘”，如唇口乾燥辨為熱，舌邊色澤較暗辨為瘀，尤其是飲水且不欲下嚥而辨為瘀熱證。治以抵當湯瀉熱祛瘀，方中桃仁、水蛭、虻蟲活血化瘀通竅；大黃瀉熱祛瘀；桂枝通達血脈；石菖蒲、遠志開竅醒神；茯苓瀉濁益氣安神；五味子斂陰安神。諸藥相互為用，以取得預期治療效果。
2．治發狂（精神分裂癥）
發狂是精神分裂癥的主要癥狀表現，辨治發狂的基本方法有鎮靜安神、化痰開竅、清心醒神等。若瘀血在心，導致心神既不得心血所養，又被瘀血濁氣所困擾，以此而演變為心神不得守藏而躁越於外即發狂，所以治療發狂應當考慮選用活血化瘀方藥。
如馬某，男，34歲。有精神分裂癥多年，近因病證發作而前來診治。刻診：心胸煩熱，失眠多夢，煩躁不安，大便乾結五六日1次，口唇暗紫，舌下靜脈怒張明顯，舌質較暗，苔薄黃略膩，脈沉略澀，遂辨為瘀熱擾動心神證，給以抵當湯加味：桃仁12g，大黃9g，水蛭10g，虻蟲10g，芒硝3g，黃連15g，朱砂（沖服）2g，生甘草10g。6劑，1日1劑，水煎2次合併分3服，並繼續服用西藥如安定等。二診，心煩急躁明顯好轉，大便通暢，又以前方6劑，病證基本得以控制，之後，守前方治療40餘劑。為了鞏固療效，復將前方改湯劑為丸劑，每丸6g，每天服2次，又治療半年餘。至今已3年，病證未再明顯發作，若欲發作，即服用前方6劑以控制病情。
用方體會：根據張仲景論抵當湯主治“發狂”，如心胸煩熱，失眠多夢等辨為熱；口唇暗紫，脈沉略澀等辨為瘀血，以此而診為瘀熱擾動心神證，遂用抵當湯治療，方中大黃、芒硝瀉熱通下；水蛭、虻蟲、桃仁破血逐瘀；黃連、朱砂重鎮清心安神；生甘草既清熱除煩，又解朱砂之毒。方藥相互為用，以奏其效。再則，治療精神分裂癥，必須配合西藥，以此才能取得最佳治療效果。
3．治身黃（肝實質彌漫性損傷）
肝實質彌漫性損傷（黃疸指升高）是引起身體發黃（黃疸）的重要原因之一。辨治身黃應當別陰陽屬性。若瘀血阻滯經脈，導致血氣不利，鬱而化熱，瘀熱相搏而薰蒸則可演變為身黃，所以治療身黃應當考慮選用活血化瘀方藥。
如呂某，39歲，男。經B超檢查確診為肝實質彌漫性損傷，幾經治療，可穀丙轉氨酶和穀草轉氨酶且常常在200U/L以上，黃疸指數也常常在120單位以上。刻診：腹脹，不欲飲食，大便乾結，脅痛固定不移，夜間疼痛加重，煩悶鬱熱，面目身黃且鮮明，神疲乏力，舌紅邊紫，苔黃膩，脈細沉數，辨為瘀熱發黃證，遂用抵當湯加味，桃仁12g，大黃9g，水蛭10g，虻蟲10g，茵陳30g，梔子15g，黃芪15g，白芍15g，柴胡15g，炙甘草10g。6劑，1日1劑，水煎2次合併分3服。二診，腹脹有好轉，面目身黃均減輕，又以前方治療15劑，復查轉氨酶及黃疸指數恢復正常，為了鞏固療效，又以前方每週5劑，連續治療月餘，至今已2年，病證未再復發。
用方體會：身黃是肝實質彌漫性損傷的常見癥狀表現，若西藥治療，病情得以控制，一般不需要再服用中藥；若西藥治療，病情得以控制，可停藥後病證又發作，對此最好採用中藥或中西藥結合治療。根據張仲景論抵當湯主治“身黃”，以此而辨為瘀熱發黃證，給予抵當湯治療，方中大黃、梔子，以清瀉鬱熱；水蛭、虻蟲、桃仁活血破血祛瘀；茵陳利濕瀉熱；柴胡疏肝泄熱；白芍斂肝柔肝，兼防瀉肝傷肝；黃芪、甘草益氣補虛，方藥相互為用，以取其效。
4．治閉經（多囊卵巢）
多囊卵巢是引起女子閉經的常見原因之一，也是閉經中最難治病證之一。筆者從瘀熱角度選用抵當湯加味治療多囊卵巢，則取得比較好的治療效果。
如曹某，女，29歲。主訴：月經自初潮至今從未正常，服用西藥即來月經，未用方藥治療則沒有月經。經彩超檢查：診斷為多囊卵巢，雖以媽富隆治療，但治療效果不佳，停藥後又出現多囊卵巢，病情總是反覆。刻診：月經先後無定期，經下夾血塊，心煩，口渴欲飲水，舌質紅而邊略暗，脈細略澀，辨治為胞宮瘀熱證，以抵當湯加味：桃仁12g，大黃9g，水蛭6g，虻蟲6g，茯苓15g，丹皮15g，白芍15g，桂枝15g，炙甘草10g。6劑，1日1劑，水煎2次合併分3服。連續用藥4月，經彩超復查，多囊卵巢基本消失。為了鞏固療效，以前方改湯劑為丸劑治療1年餘，卵巢恢復正常。
用方體會：從中醫辨治多囊卵巢，主要有瘀熱證與寒瘀證。根據張仲景論抵當湯主治“經水不利下”，如心煩，渴欲飲水而辨為熱；月經無定期，舌質紅略暗而辨為瘀，選用抵當湯治療，方中桃仁、水蛭、虻蟲，活血化瘀；大黃攻瀉瘀熱；丹皮涼血散瘀；桂枝通經散瘀；茯苓滲利瘀濁；白芍益血緩急；甘草益氣帥血而行。方藥相互為用，以取其效。
研究與應用抵當湯，必須審明病機與病證表現，才能合理使用抵當湯，以取得預期治療效果。
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가만 두면 문제는 당사자들에 의해 해결되지만, 원칙을 내세우는 IYIs (intellectuals yet idiots, 지적 멍청이)와 관료, 외부인들에 의해 문제가 꼬이고 복잡해진다.
역사는 대체로 평화로웠고 가끔 전쟁이 점철되었을 뿐이지, 기나긴 전쟁 속에 가끔 평화가 찾아온 것은 아니었다.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood
One of the problems of the interventionista –wanting to get involved in other people’s affairs “in order to help”, while genuinely wanting to do good, results in disrupting some of the peace-making mechanisms that are inherent in human’s affairs, a combination of collaboration and strategic hostility. As we saw in the prologue, the error continues because someone else is paying the price.
As I am writing these lines the problem has lasted seventy years, with too way many cooks in the same tiny kitchen, most of whom never have to taste the food. I conjecture that when you leave people alone, they tend to settle for practical reasons.
People on the ground, those with skin in the game are not too interested in geopolitics or grand abstract principles, but rather in having bread on the table, beer (or, for some, nonalcoholic beverages such as yoghurt drinks) in the refrigerator, and good weather at outdoors family picnics. Also they don’t want to be humiliated in their human contact with others.
Had the Palestinians settled in 1947, they would have been better off. But the idea was to throw the Jews and neo-crusaders in the Mediterranean; Arab rhetoric came from Arab parties who were hundreds, thousands of miles away arguing for “principles” when Palestinians were displaced, living in tents. Then came the war of 1948. Had Palestinians settled then, things would have worked out.
We are largely collaborative –except when institutions get in the way.
Where are the Lions?
As I was writing Antifragile, I spent some time in South Africa in a wild reserve, doing Safari-style tours during part of the day and tinkering with the book in the afternoons. I went to the reserve to “see the lions”. In an entire week I only saw one lion and it was such a big event that it caused a traffic jam of tourists coming from all the neighboring camp-style resorts. People kept shouting “Kuru” in Zulu as if they had found gold. Meanwhile, on the twice-daily failed tours to find the lions, I saw giraffes, elephants, zebras, wild boars, impalas, more impalas, even more impalas. Everyone else was like me looking for Kurus and getting peaceful animals: a South African fellow we encountered on another car in the middle of the Savannah cracked the joke while pointing his finger at a hill: “look we saw two giraffes and three impalas over there”.
It turned out that I had squarely made the error that I warn against, of mistaking the lurid for the empirical: there are very, very few predators compared to what one can call collaborative animals. The camp in the wild reserve was next to a watering hole, and in the afternoon it got crowded with hundreds of animals of different species who apparently got along rather well with one another. But of the thousands of animals that I spotted cumulatively, the image of the lion in a state of majestic calm dominates my memory. It may make sense from a risk management point of view to overestimate the role of the lion –but not in our scientific interpretation of world affairs.
If the “law of the jungle” is about anything, it is mostly collaboration with a few perceptional distortions caused by our otherwise well-functioning risk management intuitions. Even predators end up in some type of arrangement with their prey.
History Seen From the Emergency Room
History is largely peace punctuated by wars, rather than wars punctuated by peace.
First, historians are mostly motivated by stories of wars, not organic collaboration on the ground between a broader set of non-institutional players, merchants, barbers, prostitutes, and others. Peace and commerce might be of some interest to them, but it’s not quite their job –and while the French Annales school brought some awareness that history is the life of an organism, not episodes of lurid wars, they failed to change much. Even myself, while aware of the point and writing a chapter on it, tend to find accounts of real life boring.[1]
Journalism is about “events” not absence of events and most historians are nothing but glorified journalists with high fact-checking standards who just try to be a little boring to be taken seriously.
Second, historians, as non-rocket scientists, fail to get a central mathematical property, confusing intensity and frequency. Wars should be seen in intensity, not frequency.
Third, accounts of past wars are fraught with overestimation biases. What Captain Weisenborn, Pasquale Cirillo, and I discovered, when we tried doing a systematic study of violence (debunking a confabulatory thesis by the science journalist Steven Pinker), was that war numbers have been historically inflated… by both sides. (발췌)
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김문수 전 경기도 지사, 페이스북 20일
댐건설도 반대하고 4대강 보도 방류하니 수력발전도 늘릴 수 없습니다.
문재인 대통령은 원자력발전, 화력발전, 수력발전 모두 "환경과 안전"을 이유로 중단 또는 감소시키겠다고 합니다.
그러면 전력부족사태는 어떻게 해결해야지요?
저는 환경관리기사와 전기안전기사 국가기술자격증을 가지고 2년간 공장에서 일한 경험이 있는데, 저로서는 도저히 납득할 수 없는 에너지정책을 너무 쉽게 발표하시는 문재인대통령에게 전기부족문제를 어떻게 해결해 나갈지 묻지 않을 수 없습니다.
풍력발전, 태양열발전, 조력발전 등 신재생에너지를 말하지만,
독일 같은 신재생에너지 선진국에서도 전력이 부족하여 이웃 프랑스의 원자력발전소에서 전기를 수입하고 있습니다.
우리나라는 북한에서 사다 쓸 전기자체가 없습니다.
아니면 바다 건너 일본이나 중국에서 해저케이블을 깔아서 사다 써야 하는데 가격이나 조건이 매우 어렵습니다.“
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탈원전 선언해놓고, 반대가 너무 심하니까, 또 자기들이 생각해보아도 미친 짓이라는 것을 깨달았는지, 이제 와서는 입장이 없다며 발을 빼고 있다. 이데올로기에 빠진 한심한 좌파 인간들.-----------------------------------------------------------------------
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나는 책 <Inheritors of the Earth: How Nature is Thriving in and Age of Extinction(멸종의 시대에 자연은 어떻게 번성하는가)>를 통해, 세계의 생물다양성이 축소되기만 한다는 비관적 견해를 받아들일 수 없다고 주장했다.
The sixth mass genesis? New species are coming into existence faster than ever thanks to humans
July 10, 2017 by Chris D Thomas, The Conversation
Animals and plants are seemingly disappearing faster than at any time since the dinosaurs died out, 66m years ago. The death knell tolls for life on Earth. Rhinos will soon be gone unless we defend them, Mexico's final few Vaquita porpoises are drowning in fishing nets, and in America, Franklin trees survive only in parks and gardens.
Yet the survivors are taking advantage of new opportunities created by humans. Many are spreading into new parts of the world, adapting to new conditions, and even evolving into new species. In some respects, diversity is actually increasing in the human epoch, the Anthropocene. It is these biological gains that I contemplate in a new book, Inheritors of the Earth: How Nature is Thriving in and Age of Extinction, in which I argue that it is no longer credible for us to take a loss-only view of the world's biodiversity.
The beneficiaries surround us all. Glancing out of my study window, I see poppies and camomile plants sprouting in the margins of the adjacent barley field. These plants are southern European "weeds" taking advantage of a new human-created habitat. When I visit London, I see pigeons nesting on human-built cliffs (their ancestors nested on sea cliffs) and I listen out for the cries of skyscraper-dwelling peregrine falcons which hunt them.
Climate change has brought tree bumblebees from continental Europe to my Yorkshire garden in recent years. They are joined by an influx of world travellers, moved by humans as ornamental garden plants, pets, crops, and livestock, or simply by accident, before they escaped into the wild. Neither the hares nor the rabbits in my field are "native" to Britain.
The sixth mass genesis? New species are coming into existence faster than ever thanks to humans
Many conservationists and "invasive species biologists" wring their hands at this cavalcade of "aliens". But it is how the biological world works. Throughout the history of the Earth, species have survived by moving to new locations that permit them to flourish – today, escaped yellow-crested cockatoos are thriving in Hong Kong, while continuing to decline in their Indonesian homeland.
Nonetheless, the rate at which we are transporting species is unprecedented, converting previously separate continents and islands into one biological supercontinent. In effect, we are creating New Pangea, the greatest ecological pile-up in the Earth's long history. A few of the imported species cause others to become extinct – rats have driven some predator-naïve island birds to extinction, for example. Ground-nesting, flightless pigeons and rails that did not recognise the danger were no match for a deadly combination of rodents and human hunters.
But despite being high-profile, these cases are fairly rare. In general, most of the newcomers fit in, with limited impacts on other species. The net result is that many more species are arriving than are dying out – in Britain alone, nearly 2,000 extra species have established populations in the past couple of thousand years. (발췌)
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In every undertaking, the more humans try to be demi-gods, the more they become half-monsters.”- @nntaleb
모든 일에서 인간이 반신(半神)이 되려하면, 그는 더욱 더 반(半)괴물이 되어 간다. -- 탈레브
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NassimNicholasTaleb
Free markets eventually lead to free speech.
Censorship by social media not compatible w/ free enterprise!
Markets => Ideas, not reverse.
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