2017년 8월 25일 금요일

이것이 최고 지성이라 뻐기는 대한민국 기자들의 독해 능력인가? 아니면 픽션 작가들의 낙서인가? 필자의 관점에서는 이문건의 가장 중요한 대목은 '발포 명령 하달'이 아니라 '완전무장한 폭도가 1만 명'에 있다. 마지막 별표에 나와 있듯이 타 지역 주둔 부대(해병대)까지 추가 배치를 검토해야 할 정도로 심각한 상황이라는 것이다. 그렇다면 그 상황에서 군인들이 죽게 내버려 둘 수는 없는 일 아닌가? 따라서 실탄을 나눠주고 '유사시(위급한 상황에 처할 시) 발포(자위권 발동)를 해도 좋다'라고 해석할 내용이지 '시민들을 향해 무차별 사격하라'는 내용이 어디에 있는가? 또한 1인당 20발로 어떻게 '무차별 사격', '집단 살육'이 가능한가? (조갑제닷컴, 證人, 발췌)


------------------------------------------------------------------


한국 정부가 파악한 관동대지진 조선인 피살자는 290명

  1952년 12월, 제109회 국무회의에서 이승만 대통령의 지시로,
  한국 내무부에서 전국적 조사를 통해 '일본 震災時 피살자
  명부'라는 제목으로 파악한 관동대지진 조선인 피살자는 290명.

  이 중, 2015년에 국무총리 소속 대일항쟁기 강제동원피해 조사
  위원회가 최종 신원 확인한 것은 40명.  (펀드빌더, 발체)


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------


박선우(sps****)
2017.08.2611:20:10
문재인 정부에 발 들여놓은 소위 "고위"공직자들은 정부의 시책과 도덕성에 기여하기 위해 집을 팔아 헌납할줄 믿는다. 이것이 너희가 소위 "진보" 세력으로서 내세우는 "사회주의적" 도덕성 아니냐? 너희들 두 채 이상 가진 집은 다 팔아 가난한 사람들에게 싹 나눠줘라. 대통령이라는 문재인부터 서울-양산에 2주택자이니 양산의 2천평 대궐같은 집은 팔아서 다 내놓을줄 굳게 믿겠다.

김호우(baia****)
2017.08.2611:20:02
공산당은 서민들을 위하는 평등하게 나누는 정책을 편다고 하면서, 정작 뒤애서 저들은 뒤로챙겨먹어 김정은처럼 배불떼기가 되는 거다. 좌파떼부자들이 사는 민주당과 문재인과 푸른집얼라들이 하는 짓거리가 빵상빵상 이러하니 문제인데 이런것들이 입만열면 서민을 위한다는 거짓쑈에 속아서 빈민 서민들이 몰표를 주니 더 황당한거다


출처 : http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2017/08/26/2017082600176.html


-----------------------------------------------------------------



유재운(yjwo****)
2017.08.2611:19:58
박근혜에 뇌물죄를 적용하자니 뇌물을 준 사람이 필요하고 뇌물을 준 사람을 엮어 넣으려니 직접적인 증거가 없고 증거가 없으니 관심법을 적용한거지. 차라리 그냥 박근혜를 무능죄로 집어 넣으면 수긍할 수 있겠다. 최순실과 한 지갑이라는 논리도 우습고 마음속 청탁이라는 관심법도 해괴하기는 마찬가지다. 5년이 기고만장 할 만큼 커다란 권력이고 촛불이 그렇게 든든한 백이더냐?


출처 : http://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2017/08/25/2017082503180.html


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------



 
일제가 반토막 낸 이상룡 선생 본가, 완벽하게 복원하려면
 
김두규 우석대 교양학부 교수
 
 
신현호(s****)2017.08.2611:23:22
허황된 칼럼만 쓰시더니, 칼럼 쓰신 분이 재인에게 거짓정보를 주셨나보네요. 독자분들이 직접 확인하시는 게 좋습니다. 네이버지도에 가서 임청각의 위치를 보세요. 이미 강가에 바짝 붙여 지은 집인데, 철길이 반토막을 내었다니, 반토막난 임청각은 강 위에 있었나요? 재인은 지력도 부족하지만 누가 무슨 말을 하면 알아보지도 않고 그렇다고 믿으니 나라가 자꾸 선동에 휘말려갑니다.
 
 
---> 이름 임청각에서 알 수 있듯이, 이 집은 하천 바로 옆에 지어져 있다. 그리고 중앙선은 하천 옆으로 거의 일직선으로 지나면서 임청각을 관통한 것으로 보인다. 이는 풍수와 무관한 일이었다.

----------------------------------------

유동성 함정이란?
 
시장이 유동성 함정에 빠지면, 중앙은행이 돈을 풀고 금리를 낮춰 인플레를 높여야 한다는 게 주류 경제학자들의 생각이다.
이런 논리에 따르면 저축은 경제에 나쁘고 소비는 이롭다는 반상식적인 결론이 나온다. 또 불황이 저축 때문이라면, 이는 또한 사람들이 상품을 교환하지도 않으면서 끊임없이 돈을 요구한다는 황당한 결론에 이른다.
하지만 화폐에 대한 요구는 생산된 상품의 양을 변화시킬 수 없는데, 이는 다시 말해 실질 경제 성장을 변화사킬 수 없다는 말과 같다.
또 한편으로 화폐 공급의 변화는 실질 경제를 끌어올리는 어떤 힘도 갖고 있지 않다.
그리고 일반적 생각과는 달리, 유동성 함정은 소비자들이 대규모로 화폐를 요구해서 일어나는 게 아니고, 사실은 느슨한 화폐 정책이 실질 저축에 심각한 손상을 가해서 벌어지는 일이다.
정부가 화폐를 풀게 되면 이는 소비자 상품의 생산과 비교해 과도한 소비를 유발하고, 이는 다시 실질 저축을 감축시킨다. 이는 다시 경제 활동을 위축시키고, 경제는 불황에 빠지게 된다.
 
What Is the Liquidity Trap?
 
Frank Shostak
 
 
Some economists such as a Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman are of the view that if the US were to fall into liquidity trap the US central bank should aggressively pump money and aggressively lower interest rates in order to lift the rate of inflation. This Krugman holds will pull the economy from the liquidity trap and will set the platform for an economic prosperity. In his New York Times article of January 11, 2012, he wrote,
 
If nothing else, we've learned that the liquidity trap is neither a figment of our imaginations nor something that only happens in Japan; it's a very real threat, and if and when it ends we should nonetheless be guarding against its return which means that there's a very strong case both for a higher inflation target, and for aggressive policy ...(of the central bank).
 
But does it make sense that by means of more inflation the US economy could be pulled out of the liquidity trap?
 
The Origin of the Liquidity-Trap Concept
 
In the popular framework of thinking that originates from the writings of John Maynard Keynes, economic activity presented in terms of a circular flow of money. Spending by one individual becomes part of the earnings of another individual, and spending by another individual becomes part of the first individual's earnings.
 
Recessions, according to Keynes, are a response to the fact that consumers for some psychological reasons have decided to cut down on their expenditure and raise their savings.
 
For instance, if for some reason people have become less confident about the future, they will cut back on their outlays and hoard more money. Therefore, once an individual spends less, this worsens the situation of some other individual, who in turn also cuts his spending.
 
A vicious circle sets in: the decline in people's confidence causes them to spend less and to hoard more money, and this lowers economic activity further, thereby causing people to hoard more, etc.
 
Following this logic, in order to prevent a recession from getting out of hand, the central bank must lift the money supply and aggressively lower interest rates.
 
Once consumers have more money in their pockets, their confidence will increase, and they will start spending again, thereby re-establishing the circular flow of money, so it is held.
 
In his writings, however, Keynes suggested that a situation could emerge when an aggressive lowering of interest rates by the central bank would bring rates to a level from which they would not fall further.
 
This, according to Keynes, could occur because people might adopt a view that interest rates have bottomed out and that rates should subsequently rise, leading to capital losses on bond holdings. As a result, people's demand for money will become extremely high, implying that people would hoard money and refuse to spend it no matter how much the central bank tries to expand the money supply.
 
Keynes wrote,
 
 
There is the possibility, for the reasons discussed above, that, after the rate of interest has fallen to a certain level, liquidity-preference may become virtually absolute in the sense that almost everyone prefers cash to holding a debt which yields so low a rate of interest. In this event the monetary authority would have lost effective control over the rate of interest.1
 
Keynes suggested that, once a low-interest-rate policy becomes ineffective, authorities should step in and spend. The spending can be on all sorts of projects what matters here is that a lot of money must be pumped, which is expected to boost consumers' confidence. With a higher level of confidence, consumers will lower their savings and raise their expenditure, thereby re-establishing the circular flow of money.
 
Do Individuals Save Money?
 
In the Keynesian framework the ever-expanding monetary flow is the key to economic prosperity. What drives economic growth is monetary expenditure. When people spend more of their money, this is seen as saving less.
 
Conversely, when people reduce their monetary spending in the Keynesian framework, this is viewed as saving more.
 
Observe that in the popular i.e., Keynesian way of thinking, savings is bad news for the economy: the more people save, the worse things become. (The liquidity trap comes from too much saving and the lack of spending, so it is held.)
 
However, to suggest that people could have an unlimited demand for money (hoarding money) that supposedly leads to a liquidity trap, as popular thinking has it, would imply that no one would be exchanging goods.
 
Obviously, this is not a realistic proposition, given the fact that people require goods to support their lives and well-being. (Please note: people demand money not to accumulate indefinitely but to employ in exchange at some point in the future).
 
Being the medium of exchange, money can only assist in exchanging the goods of one producer for the goods of another producer.
 
The state of the demand for money cannot alter the amount of goods produced, that is, it cannot alter so-called real economic growth.
 
Likewise, a change in the supply of money doesn't have any power to grow the real economy.
 
Contrary to popular thinking, a liquidity trap does not emerge in response to consumers' massive increases in the demand for money but comes as a result of very loose monetary policies, which inflict severe damage to the pool of real savings.
 
 
The Liquidity Trap and the Shrinking Pool of Real Savings
 
According to Mises,
 
 
"The sine qua non of any lengthening of the process of production adopted is saving, i.e., an excess of current production over current consumption. Saving is the first step on the way toward improvement of material well-being and toward every further progress on this way."2
 
As long as the rate of growth of the pool of real savings stays positive, this can continue to sustain productive and non-productive activities. Trouble erupts, however, when, on account of loose monetary and fiscal policies, a structure of production emerges that ties up much more consumer goods than the amount it releases. This excessive consumption relative to the production of consumer goods leads to a decline in the pool of real savings.
 
This in turn weakens the support for economic activities, resulting in the economy plunging into a slump. (The shrinking pool of real savings exposes the commonly accepted fallacy that the loose monetary policy of the central bank can grow the economy.)
 
Once the economy falls into a recession because of a falling pool of real saving, any government or central bank attempts to revive the economy must fail.
 
Not only will these attempts not revive the economy; they will deplete the pool of real savings further, thereby prolonging the economic slump.
 
Likewise, any policy that forces banks to expand lending "out of thin air" will further damage the pool and will reduce further banks' ability to lend.
 
Note that the essence of lending is real savings and not money as such. Real savings impose restrictions on banks' ability to lend. (Money is just the medium of exchange, which facilitates real savings.)
 
Also, note that without an expanding pool of real savings any expansion of bank lending is going to lift banks' nonperforming assets.
 
Contrary to Krugman, we suggest that if the US economy were to fall into a liquidity trap the reason for that is not a sharp increase in the demand for money, but because loose monetary policies have depleted the pool of real savings.
 
What is required in this case is not to generate more inflation but the exact opposite. Setting a higher inflation target, as suggested by Krugman, will only weaken the pool of real savings further and will guarantee that the economy will stay in a depressed state for a prolonged time.
 



댓글 없음:

댓글 쓰기